Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 11:59:37

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.5 neutral
20d Trend
-7.1%
5d Trend
-7.2%
EMA20 Dist
-4.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

8
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
4.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.1/10
Raw Quality 8.2/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 8.2

30-Day Momentum

2
-4.2%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9 Conf: 0.70×
Cooling (-6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,788
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,703.46
Current Value
$8,792.19
Period P&L
$-911.24
Max Drawdown
-25.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.28

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
6 / 10
Best Trade
+2.48%
Worst Trade
-3.11%
Avg Trade Return
-0.60%
Avg Hold Time
3.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$290,242.13
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-911.24
Net P&L (after fees)
$-911.24
Gross Return
-9.39%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.39%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DIS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $9,703.46 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 12:45pm ET $107.61 90 $9,684.90
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 9:55am ET $110.01 90 $9,900.90 $9,919.43 +$216.00
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.2h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:50am ET $106.11 93 $9,868.31
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $104.41 93 $9,710.13 $9,761.25 $-158.18
(-1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 12:40pm ET $106.43 91 $9,685.13
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $103.39 91 $9,408.49 $9,484.61 $-276.64
(-2.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 11:40am ET $103.20 91 $9,391.20
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $99.99 91 $9,099.09 $9,192.50 $-292.11
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 11:10am ET $101.24 90 $9,111.60
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $99.47 90 $8,952.30 $9,033.20 $-159.30
(-1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 1:50pm ET $100.32 90 $9,028.80
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $99.19 90 $8,927.55 $8,931.95 $-101.25
(-1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $97.80 91 $8,899.80
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 12:20pm ET $94.81 91 $8,627.71 $8,659.86 $-272.09
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 1:55pm ET $92.57 93 $8,609.01
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:55am ET $94.46 93 $8,784.78 $8,835.63 +$175.77
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:20am ET $94.76 93 $8,813.14
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 3:40pm ET $96.71 93 $8,994.00 $9,016.49 +$180.86
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $96.64 93 $8,987.52
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $96.22 93 $8,948.46 $8,977.43 $-39.06
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:10am ET $98.46 91 $8,960.31
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 10:10am ET $99.44 91 $9,049.49 $9,066.61 +$89.18
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 12:30pm ET $102.62 88 $9,030.56
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $105.17 88 $9,254.96 $9,291.01 +$224.40
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:40am ET $106.18 87 $9,237.66
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:40pm ET $102.93 87 $8,954.91 $9,008.26 $-282.75
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 1:50pm ET $102.43 87 $8,911.41
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 1:50pm ET $100.77 87 $8,766.99 $8,863.84 $-144.42
(-1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 3:00pm ET $103.54 85 $8,801.32
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 10:35am ET $100.42 85 $8,535.28 $8,597.79 $-266.05
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
16 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 11:30am ET $106.95 80 $8,556.00
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $109.38 80 $8,750.40 $8,792.19 +$194.40
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
22h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,792.19
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,207.81
Total Return: -12.08%
Back to Rebel Contraire