Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-21 10:12:58

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
82.9 overbought
20d Trend
+25.5%
5d Trend
+7.3%
EMA20 Dist
+10.2%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
100%
Bounce Ratio
4.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

36
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.4/35
Total Return
13.7/25
Win Rate
6.4/15
Profit Factor
1.9/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 36.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 36.4

30-Day Momentum

13
+0.5%
30d Return
57%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 16.8 Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-23 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$14,612.21
Current Value
$14,301.60
Period P&L
$-310.57
Max Drawdown
-16.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.04

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
19
Winners / Losers
11 / 8
Best Trade
+2.26%
Worst Trade
-3.72%
Avg Trade Return
-0.09%
Avg Hold Time
3.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$551,584.84
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-310.57
Net P&L (after fees)
$-310.57
Gross Return
-2.13%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.13%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GILD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 19 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $14,612.21 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $137.06 106 $14,528.36
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 10:05am ET $139.87 106 $14,826.22 $14,910.03 +$297.86
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 10:25am ET $137.98 108 $14,901.84
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 10:25am ET $138.96 108 $15,007.68 $15,015.87 +$105.84
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 11:30am ET $139.37 107 $14,912.59
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 11:30am ET $139.49 107 $14,925.43 $15,028.71 +$12.84
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 11:45am ET $137.98 108 $14,901.30
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 12:30pm ET $140.76 108 $15,202.08 $15,329.49 +$300.78
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 1:55pm ET $142.70 107 $15,268.90
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $137.97 107 $14,762.79 $14,823.38 $-506.11
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 10:25am ET $140.24 105 $14,724.68
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $138.05 105 $14,495.77 $14,594.48 $-228.90
(-1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET $134.26 108 $14,499.54
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:40am ET $129.81 108 $14,019.48 $14,114.42 $-480.06
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 10:40am ET $129.04 109 $14,065.36
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 10:40am ET $131.96 109 $14,383.64 $14,432.70 +$318.28
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
9 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 12:50pm ET $130.62 110 $14,368.20
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 11:00am ET $133.39 110 $14,672.90 $14,737.40 +$304.70
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
10 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 11:10am ET $134.89 109 $14,703.01
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $129.87 109 $14,155.83 $14,190.22 $-547.18
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
11 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 11:10am ET $133.85 106 $14,188.10
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 12:15pm ET $136.64 106 $14,484.09 $14,486.21 +$295.99
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
12 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 1:35pm ET $132.73 109 $14,467.57
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 1:35pm ET $130.35 109 $14,207.61 $14,226.25 $-259.96
(-1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
13 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 2:25pm ET $130.89 108 $14,136.12
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:50am ET $133.59 108 $14,427.72 $14,517.85 +$291.60
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
14 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 10:35am ET $134.45 107 $14,386.15
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $132.47 107 $14,174.29 $14,305.99 $-211.86
(-1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:55am ET $128.41 111 $14,253.51
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 12:15pm ET $130.98 111 $14,538.78 $14,591.26 +$285.27
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 12:15pm ET $127.69 114 $14,556.66
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:00am ET $123.70 114 $14,101.80 $14,136.40 $-454.86
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 10:25am ET $123.25 114 $14,050.50
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 11:05am ET $126.01 114 $14,365.14 $14,451.04 +$314.64
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 11:25am ET $124.76 115 $14,347.40
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 11:30am ET $127.46 115 $14,657.90 $14,761.54 +$310.50
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 11:50am ET $126.62 116 $14,687.92
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 11:05am ET $122.65 116 $14,227.98 $14,301.60 $-459.94
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,301.60
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,301.60
Total Return: +43.02%
Back to Rebel Contraire