Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 03:51:28

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
82.9 overbought
20d Trend
+25.5%
5d Trend
+7.3%
EMA20 Dist
+10.2%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
100%
Bounce Ratio
4.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

42
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
13.4/35
Total Return
14.9/25
Win Rate
6.8/15
Profit Factor
2.4/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 43.2/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 42.4

30-Day Momentum

26
+1.9%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
9
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 30.6 Conf: 0.84×
Declining (-17 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$14,420.77
Current Value
$16,119.52
Period P&L
$1,698.79
Max Drawdown
-16.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.25

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
21
Winners / Losers
14 / 7
Best Trade
+4.26%
Worst Trade
-3.56%
Avg Trade Return
+0.60%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$639,824.51
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,698.79
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,698.79
Gross Return
+11.78%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.78%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GILD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 21 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $14,420.77 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 2:55pm ET $124.52 114 $14,195.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:50am ET $127.74 114 $14,562.36 $14,668.68 +$367.08
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 9:55am ET $126.11 116 $14,628.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 10:10am ET $128.65 116 $14,923.40 $14,963.32 +$294.64
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 10:10am ET $128.16 116 $14,866.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $133.63 116 $15,500.50 $15,597.26 +$633.94
(+4.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 10:00am ET $135.66 114 $15,465.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 10:45am ET $131.46 114 $14,986.44 $15,117.89 $-479.37
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 11:25am ET $130.15 116 $15,096.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 12:15pm ET $132.79 116 $15,403.64 $15,424.71 +$306.82
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 10:05am ET $138.62 111 $15,386.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 2:45pm ET $134.43 111 $14,921.73 $14,959.62 $-465.09
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $130.40 114 $14,866.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $130.34 114 $14,858.76 $14,952.21 $-7.41
(-0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 10:35am ET $134.75 110 $14,822.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $130.02 110 $14,302.42 $14,432.13 $-520.08
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 2:50pm ET $130.59 110 $14,364.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 3:30pm ET $133.99 110 $14,738.90 $14,806.13 +$374.00
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 9:55am ET $132.21 111 $14,675.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 9:40am ET $135.43 111 $15,032.73 $15,162.99 +$356.86
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 10:25am ET $135.74 111 $15,067.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 10:15am ET $138.59 111 $15,383.49 $15,479.34 +$316.35
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 12:50pm ET $143.13 108 $15,458.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:35am ET $146.27 108 $15,797.16 $15,818.46 +$339.12
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.8h held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 10:05am ET $145.23 108 $15,684.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 10:05am ET $146.52 108 $15,824.16 $15,958.32 +$139.86
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 10:35am ET $148.96 107 $15,938.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $143.65 107 $15,370.55 $15,390.15 $-568.17
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 2:45pm ET $148.84 103 $15,330.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:35am ET $151.92 103 $15,647.76 $15,707.90 +$317.75
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 10:35am ET $148.96 107 $15,938.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $150.02 107 $16,052.14 $15,821.32 +$113.42
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
8d held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 12:55pm ET $150.82 104 $15,685.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:35am ET $146.11 104 $15,195.44 $15,331.48 $-489.84
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 10:15am ET $146.15 104 $15,199.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 10:15am ET $144.74 104 $15,053.48 $15,185.36 $-146.12
(-1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 10:50am ET $144.54 105 $15,176.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 9:45am ET $147.47 105 $15,484.35 $15,493.01 +$307.65
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.9h held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 10:05am ET $147.18 105 $15,453.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 3:20pm ET $150.15 105 $15,765.75 $15,805.38 +$312.37
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.3h held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 3:20pm ET $150.98 104 $15,701.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 10:20am ET $154.00 104 $16,016.06 $16,119.52 +$314.14
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,119.52
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,119.52
Total Return: +61.20%
Back to Rebel Contraire