Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-06-30 04:08:01

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
15
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.38%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.28%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.83
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.6
Quiet
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
48.3 neutral
20d Trend
+3.5%
5d Trend
-2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.0%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
51%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Jun 29, 2026

57
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
24.0/35
Total Return
15.7/25
Win Rate
8.3/15
Profit Factor
3.6/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 58.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 57.5

30-Day Momentum

3
-9.8%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-54 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-30 → 2026-06-29
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$19,185.11
Current Value
$17,707.22
Period P&L
$-1,477.96
Max Drawdown
-11.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.16

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
18
Winners / Losers
8 / 10
Best Trade
+3.15%
Worst Trade
-5.05%
Avg Trade Return
-0.42%
Avg Hold Time
3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$688,235.91
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,477.96
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,477.96
Gross Return
-7.70%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.70%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GLD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 18 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $19,185.11 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 12:30pm ET $416.63 46 $19,164.75
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 12:40pm ET $425.80 46 $19,586.80 $19,607.23 +$422.05
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 1:35pm ET $438.92 44 $19,312.54
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $422.53 44 $18,591.32 $18,886.01 $-721.22
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.9h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 11:05am ET $428.80 44 $18,867.20
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $440.24 44 $19,370.56 $19,389.37 +$503.36
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:55am ET $437.40 44 $19,245.60
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:55am ET $440.24 44 $19,370.78 $19,514.55 +$125.18
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 10:35am ET $442.56 44 $19,472.64
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 10:35am ET $442.52 44 $19,470.88 $19,512.79 $-1.76
(-0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 10:45am ET $435.67 44 $19,169.70
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $431.63 44 $18,991.72 $19,334.81 $-177.98
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 10:40am ET $418.55 46 $19,253.35
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 10:15am ET $427.41 46 $19,660.86 $19,742.32 +$407.51
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
8 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 10:50am ET $419.59 47 $19,720.73
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $430.15 47 $20,217.05 $20,238.64 +$496.32
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
9 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 9:45am ET $435.79 46 $20,046.34
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 9:45am ET $431.60 46 $19,853.37 $20,045.67 $-192.97
(-1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
10 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 10:55am ET $429.65 46 $19,763.90
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:40am ET $415.78 46 $19,125.88 $19,407.65 $-638.02
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
11 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 9:45am ET $419.23 46 $19,284.35
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $415.36 46 $19,106.56 $19,229.86 $-177.79
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
8d held
12 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 10:50am ET $407.47 47 $19,151.09
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:40am ET $416.01 47 $19,552.47 $19,631.24 +$401.38
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:55am ET $408.80 48 $19,622.16
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:35pm ET $396.53 48 $19,033.44 $19,042.52 $-588.72
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 2:45pm ET $397.90 47 $18,701.30
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $380.65 47 $17,890.64 $18,231.86 $-810.66
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $373.94 48 $17,949.12
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:45pm ET $382.19 48 $18,345.12 $18,627.86 +$396.00
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 2:05pm ET $387.37 48 $18,593.76
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $399.58 48 $19,179.84 $19,213.94 +$586.08
(+3.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:55am ET $397.82 48 $19,095.36
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 3:30pm ET $385.82 48 $18,519.36 $18,637.94 $-576.00
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 3:30pm ET $384.23 48 $18,443.04
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 9:30am ET $364.84 48 $17,512.32 $17,707.22 $-930.72
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $17,707.22
Net Profit/Loss: +$7,707.22
Total Return: +77.07%
Back to Rebel Contraire