Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:00:54

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
48.3 neutral
20d Trend
+3.5%
5d Trend
-2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.0%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
51%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

57
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
24.8/35
Total Return
15.8/25
Win Rate
7.8/15
Profit Factor
3.4/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 58.5/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 57.3

30-Day Momentum

2
-6.2%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-55 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$17,707.15
Current Value
$17,985.58
Period P&L
$278.36
Max Drawdown
-11.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.06

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
8 / 9
Best Trade
+2.29%
Worst Trade
-3.22%
Avg Trade Return
+0.11%
Avg Hold Time
3.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$608,056.66
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$278.36
Net P&L (after fees)
$278.36
Gross Return
+1.57%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.57%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GLD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $17,707.15 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 12:35pm ET $369.87 47 $17,383.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 12:35pm ET $369.82 47 $17,381.54 $17,704.87 $-2.35
(-0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 12:50pm ET $373.79 47 $17,568.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 12:50pm ET $380.88 47 $17,901.35 $18,038.09 +$333.22
(+1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 1:55pm ET $380.17 47 $17,868.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $372.33 47 $17,499.74 $17,669.61 $-368.48
(-2.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 11:20am ET $374.97 47 $17,623.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $368.26 47 $17,308.22 $17,354.24 $-315.37
(-1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 11:45am ET $373.68 46 $17,189.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 10:00am ET $381.36 46 $17,542.56 $17,707.52 +$353.28
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 11:10am ET $371.63 47 $17,466.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 11:10am ET $370.03 47 $17,391.41 $17,632.32 $-75.20
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 12:00pm ET $367.83 47 $17,287.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 2:45pm ET $376.02 47 $17,672.94 $18,017.48 +$385.16
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 3:45pm ET $377.12 47 $17,724.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 3:45pm ET $374.39 47 $17,596.33 $17,889.17 $-128.31
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 11:15am ET $390.97 45 $17,593.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET $399.85 45 $17,993.25 $18,288.77 +$399.60
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 9:50am ET $396.90 46 $18,257.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $405.37 46 $18,647.02 $18,678.21 +$389.44
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 9:50am ET $401.34 46 $18,461.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 9:50am ET $403.12 46 $18,543.52 $18,760.09 +$81.88
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 11:10am ET $411.03 45 $18,496.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET $420.45 45 $18,920.35 $19,184.09 +$424.00
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 10:00am ET $427.66 44 $18,817.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 12:00pm ET $414.55 44 $18,240.20 $18,607.25 $-576.84
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 1:05pm ET $406.46 45 $18,290.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $403.56 45 $18,160.20 $18,476.75 $-130.50
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 11:00am ET $405.13 45 $18,230.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $392.07 45 $17,643.15 $17,889.28 $-587.47
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 10:30am ET $392.69 45 $17,671.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:35am ET $400.67 45 $18,030.15 $18,248.38 +$359.10
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:45am ET $399.08 45 $17,958.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:45am ET $393.23 45 $17,695.57 $17,985.58 $-262.80
(-1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $17,985.58
Net Profit/Loss: +$7,985.58
Total Return: +79.86%
Back to Rebel Contraire