Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:36:33

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
43.2 neutral
20d Trend
-4.5%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-2.7%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
74%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

63
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
24.9/35
Total Return
18.7/25
Win Rate
8.4/15
Profit Factor
4.2/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 62.9/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 62.6

30-Day Momentum

58
+11.2%
30d Return
83%
Win Rate
6
Trades
8.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 78.4 Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$23,942.97
Current Value
$27,845.01
Period P&L
$3,902.05
Max Drawdown
-25.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.28

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
22
Winners / Losers
16 / 6
Best Trade
+3.50%
Worst Trade
-6.07%
Avg Trade Return
+0.73%
Avg Hold Time
2.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,078,630.31
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,902.05
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,902.05
Gross Return
+16.30%
Net Return (after fees)
+16.30%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GOOGL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 22 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $23,942.97 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 12:30pm ET $340.58 70 $23,840.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $348.39 70 $24,386.95 $24,489.31 +$546.35
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 9:35am ET $351.06 69 $24,223.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 12:45pm ET $358.22 69 $24,717.18 $24,983.35 +$494.04
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.2h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 3:10pm ET $359.59 69 $24,811.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 3:10pm ET $366.70 69 $25,302.31 $25,474.12 +$490.77
(+2.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 3:30pm ET $367.84 69 $25,380.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $355.51 69 $24,530.19 $24,623.35 $-850.77
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 9:35am ET $356.75 69 $24,615.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 9:35am ET $363.54 69 $25,084.26 $25,091.86 +$468.51
(+1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 10:00am ET $370.77 67 $24,841.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 2:35pm ET $358.85 67 $24,042.95 $24,293.23 $-798.63
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.6h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 10:15am ET $358.32 67 $24,007.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $347.11 67 $23,256.37 $23,542.16 $-751.07
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $342.07 68 $23,260.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $321.29 68 $21,847.72 $22,129.12 $-1,413.04
(-6.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 10:30am ET $318.94 69 $22,006.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $327.80 69 $22,618.54 $22,740.80 +$611.68
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 9:45am ET $325.48 69 $22,458.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 11:15am ET $332.23 69 $22,923.87 $23,206.21 +$465.41
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 12:40pm ET $335.24 69 $23,131.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 2:50pm ET $342.13 69 $23,607.14 $23,681.79 +$475.58
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 3:05pm ET $334.36 70 $23,405.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $341.50 70 $23,905.00 $24,181.59 +$499.80
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.4h held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 12:05pm ET $374.48 64 $23,966.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET $383.88 64 $24,568.00 $24,783.19 +$601.60
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 10:30am ET $360.45 68 $24,510.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 10:30am ET $352.19 68 $23,948.92 $24,221.69 $-561.50
(-2.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 10:50am ET $342.74 70 $23,992.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 9:35am ET $350.20 70 $24,514.00 $24,743.54 +$521.85
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 10:25am ET $343.60 72 $24,738.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $347.78 72 $25,040.15 $25,044.85 +$301.31
(+1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 10:25am ET $343.60 72 $24,738.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $346.58 72 $24,953.76 $25,259.77 +$214.92
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
9d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 10:25am ET $339.55 74 $25,126.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 10:50am ET $346.96 74 $25,675.04 $25,808.11 +$548.34
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 1:25pm ET $338.37 76 $25,716.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $335.79 76 $25,520.04 $25,612.03 $-196.08
(-0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.8d held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 11:10am ET $329.04 77 $25,336.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:35am ET $340.54 77 $26,221.58 $26,497.53 +$885.50
(+3.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 10:05am ET $346.24 76 $26,314.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $356.73 76 $27,111.48 $27,294.77 +$797.24
(+3.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 9:55am ET $354.48 76 $26,940.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:40am ET $361.72 76 $27,490.72 $27,845.01 +$550.24
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $27,845.01
Net Profit/Loss: +$17,845.01
Total Return: +178.45%
Back to Rebel Contraire