Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:00:39

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
36.7 neutral
20d Trend
-7.0%
5d Trend
-5.4%
EMA20 Dist
-4.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
59%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

50
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
19.5/35
Total Return
15.5/25
Win Rate
7.2/15
Profit Factor
1.8/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 50.4/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 50.2

30-Day Momentum

5
-5.6%
30d Return
43%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 6.8 Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-45 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$791.86
Current Value
$17,332.29
Period P&L
$-4,223.11
Max Drawdown
-13.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.39

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
20
Winners / Losers
8 / 12
Best Trade
+3.18%
Worst Trade
-4.70%
Avg Trade Return
-0.99%
Avg Hold Time
3.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$726,640.21
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-4,223.11
Net P&L (after fees)
$-4,223.11
Gross Return
-533.32%
Net Return (after fees)
-533.32%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 20 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $791.86 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 9:35am ET $1,085.05 19 $20,615.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $1,034.09 19 $19,647.71 $20,291.81 $-968.15
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 9:35am ET $1,085.05 19 $20,615.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $1,048.90 19 $19,929.10 $19,605.05 $-686.76
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:40am ET $1,047.37 18 $18,852.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 11:25am ET $1,015.62 18 $18,281.16 $19,033.55 $-571.50
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 1:10pm ET $1,060.54 17 $18,029.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $1,094.27 17 $18,602.51 $19,606.87 +$573.32
(+3.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 10:55am ET $1,135.00 17 $19,295.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 12:20pm ET $1,099.02 17 $18,683.34 $18,995.21 $-611.66
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 2:00pm ET $1,075.54 17 $18,284.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 9:40am ET $1,097.66 17 $18,660.22 $19,371.25 +$376.04
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 11:10am ET $1,067.31 18 $19,211.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 1:15pm ET $1,035.15 18 $18,632.70 $18,792.37 $-578.88
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 1:35pm ET $1,040.42 18 $18,727.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 9:45am ET $1,005.00 18 $18,090.00 $18,154.81 $-637.56
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 1:40pm ET $1,022.98 17 $17,390.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $1,049.94 17 $17,849.06 $18,613.13 +$458.32
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 10:35am ET $1,070.02 17 $18,190.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 3:25pm ET $1,037.11 17 $17,630.87 $18,053.66 $-559.47
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 3:40pm ET $1,040.36 17 $17,686.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 3:40pm ET $1,034.69 17 $17,589.73 $17,957.27 $-96.39
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 9:30am ET $1,038.76 17 $17,658.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET $1,040.20 17 $17,683.40 $17,981.75 +$24.48
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:45am ET $1,018.29 17 $17,310.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 3:00pm ET $1,040.90 17 $17,695.30 $18,366.12 +$384.37
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 3:00pm ET $1,037.23 17 $17,632.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 2:40pm ET $1,059.16 17 $18,005.72 $18,738.93 +$372.81
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:00am ET $1,039.37 18 $18,708.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $1,005.52 18 $18,099.36 $18,129.63 $-609.30
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 10:55am ET $1,018.05 17 $17,306.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:25am ET $1,038.47 17 $17,653.99 $18,476.77 +$347.14
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 2:55pm ET $1,037.75 17 $17,641.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 2:55pm ET $1,032.89 17 $17,559.13 $18,394.15 $-82.62
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:45am ET $1,033.84 17 $17,575.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:50am ET $1,002.45 17 $17,041.69 $17,860.48 $-533.67
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 10:20am ET $965.96 18 $17,387.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:25pm ET $935.59 18 $16,840.71 $17,313.91 $-546.57
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 3:35pm ET $953.46 18 $17,162.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 3:35pm ET $954.48 18 $17,180.57 $17,332.29 +$18.38
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $17,332.29
Net Profit/Loss: +$7,332.29
Total Return: +73.32%
Back to Rebel Contraire