Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:10:22

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
58.5 neutral
20d Trend
+2.0%
5d Trend
+2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
82%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

9
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 8.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 8.5

30-Day Momentum

3
-12.0%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,312.82
Current Value
$8,167.06
Period P&L
$-1,145.75
Max Drawdown
-18.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.19

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
22
Winners / Losers
10 / 12
Best Trade
+5.50%
Worst Trade
-5.17%
Avg Trade Return
-0.55%
Avg Hold Time
3.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$412,498.55
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,145.75
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,145.75
Gross Return
-12.30%
Net Return (after fees)
-12.30%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 22 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $9,312.82 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 3:40pm ET $340.14 27 $9,183.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 10:00am ET $348.14 27 $9,399.78 $9,528.68 +$215.87
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 1:05pm ET $349.78 27 $9,444.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 10:10am ET $356.96 27 $9,637.92 $9,722.54 +$193.86
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 3:40pm ET $340.14 27 $9,183.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $358.85 27 $9,688.95 $10,227.58 +$505.04
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
11.7d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 10:05am ET $349.44 29 $10,133.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $337.23 29 $9,779.53 $9,873.35 $-354.23
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 12:00pm ET $340.23 29 $9,866.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 12:00pm ET $337.24 29 $9,779.96 $9,786.64 $-86.71
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 12:00pm ET $342.97 28 $9,603.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:35am ET $351.77 28 $9,849.70 $10,033.18 +$246.54
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 10:00am ET $334.10 30 $10,022.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 1:30pm ET $323.35 30 $9,700.50 $9,710.83 $-322.35
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 1:50pm ET $330.83 29 $9,594.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $341.08 29 $9,891.18 $10,007.79 +$296.96
(+3.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 10:25am ET $346.77 28 $9,709.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $334.02 28 $9,352.48 $9,650.57 $-357.22
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:50am ET $331.26 29 $9,606.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $339.80 29 $9,854.11 $9,898.14 +$247.57
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 10:05am ET $340.59 29 $9,877.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 11:55am ET $347.45 29 $10,076.05 $10,097.08 +$198.94
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 12:00pm ET $351.14 28 $9,832.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 12:00pm ET $349.08 28 $9,774.24 $10,039.26 $-57.82
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 12:25pm ET $357.07 28 $9,997.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 10:05am ET $344.76 28 $9,653.28 $9,694.58 $-344.68
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.7h held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 10:15am ET $345.59 28 $9,676.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 9:45am ET $333.88 28 $9,348.50 $9,366.70 $-327.88
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 11:25am ET $340.46 27 $9,192.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:55am ET $347.74 27 $9,388.98 $9,563.26 +$196.56
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.5h held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 10:05am ET $335.36 28 $9,390.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 10:05am ET $336.17 28 $9,412.90 $9,585.94 +$22.68
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 11:55am ET $336.46 28 $9,420.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 11:55am ET $329.01 28 $9,212.28 $9,377.34 $-208.60
(-2.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 11:55am ET $336.46 28 $9,420.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $319.06 28 $8,933.73 $8,890.18 $-487.16
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 12:30pm ET $320.47 27 $8,652.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $310.02 27 $8,370.54 $8,608.03 $-282.15
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $307.93 27 $8,314.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $310.62 27 $8,386.74 $8,680.52 +$72.49
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:45am ET $306.48 28 $8,581.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:45am ET $296.91 28 $8,313.48 $8,412.56 $-267.96
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:55am ET $300.63 27 $8,117.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 11:15am ET $291.54 27 $7,871.58 $8,167.06 $-245.50
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,167.06
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,832.94
Total Return: -18.33%
Back to Rebel Contraire