HOOD Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 37 trades in period
+27.86%
Last 3 Months Return
$13,463.67
Current Value
65%
Win Rate
$10,530.08
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
29
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
3.5/35
Total Return
12.6/25
Win Rate
6.7/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
28.7/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 28.5
30-Day Momentum
12
-0.2%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 13.8
Conf: 0.87×
Declining (-17 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,530.08
Current Value
$13,463.67
Period P&L
$2,933.71
Max Drawdown
-32.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.23
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
24 /
13
Best Trade
+7.04%
Worst Trade
-4.45%
Avg Trade Return
+0.72%
Avg Hold Time
19.1h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$868,210.89
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,933.71
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,933.71
Gross Return
+27.86%
Net Return (after fees)
+27.86%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 37 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $10,530.08 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $100.79 | 104 | $10,482.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 1:20pm ET | $97.68 | 104 | $10,158.72 | $10,206.52 |
$-323.44 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 2:40pm ET | $93.71 | 108 | $10,120.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 9:55am ET | $95.92 | 108 | $10,359.36 | $10,445.20 |
+$238.68 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.3h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 10:10am ET | $98.41 | 106 | $10,431.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 10:25am ET | $100.90 | 106 | $10,695.40 | $10,709.14 |
+$263.94 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 11:40am ET | $101.79 | 105 | $10,688.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 9:55am ET | $104.55 | 105 | $10,977.75 | $10,998.42 |
+$289.28 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 10:25am ET | $115.62 | 95 | $10,983.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 12:20pm ET | $111.90 | 95 | $10,630.50 | $10,645.02 |
$-353.40 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 1:00pm ET | $116.66 | 91 | $10,616.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 10:25am ET | $113.07 | 91 | $10,289.82 | $10,318.78 |
$-326.24 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.4h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 11:45am ET | $109.53 | 94 | $10,295.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 1:35pm ET | $111.89 | 94 | $10,517.66 | $10,540.62 |
+$221.84 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 2:05pm ET | $116.40 | 90 | $10,476.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $119.08 | 90 | $10,717.20 | $10,781.81 |
+$241.19 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.4h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 9:45am ET | $110.28 | 97 | $10,697.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 1:25pm ET | $112.70 | 97 | $10,931.90 | $11,016.55 |
+$234.74 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 1:25pm ET | $115.23 | 95 | $10,946.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 9:40am ET | $110.77 | 95 | $10,523.15 | $10,592.85 |
$-423.70 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 9:40am ET | $97.10 | 109 | $10,583.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:45am ET | $99.07 | 109 | $10,798.63 | $10,807.58 |
+$214.73 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 1:00pm ET | $100.57 | 107 | $10,760.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $105.43 | 107 | $11,280.48 | $11,327.06 |
+$519.49 (+4.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.5h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 10:10am ET | $105.02 | 107 | $11,237.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 10:40am ET | $101.16 | 107 | $10,824.12 | $10,914.05 |
$-413.02 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 10:40am ET | $93.30 | 116 | $10,822.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 11:35am ET | $95.55 | 116 | $11,083.80 | $11,175.05 |
+$261.00 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
55m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 11:35am ET | $93.47 | 119 | $11,122.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 3:30pm ET | $95.48 | 119 | $11,361.81 | $11,413.93 |
+$238.88 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 9:40am ET | $91.92 | 124 | $11,398.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 12:10pm ET | $88.92 | 124 | $11,026.08 | $11,041.93 |
$-372.00 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 12:20pm ET | $86.93 | 127 | $11,040.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 9:40am ET | $88.89 | 127 | $11,289.66 | $11,291.48 |
+$249.55 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 11:10am ET | $89.82 | 125 | $11,227.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 12:20pm ET | $91.64 | 125 | $11,455.00 | $11,518.98 |
+$227.50 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 12:40pm ET | $92.68 | 124 | $11,492.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 9:45am ET | $94.81 | 124 | $11,756.44 | $11,783.10 |
+$264.12 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.1h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 12:35pm ET | $91.04 | 129 | $11,743.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $93.97 | 129 | $12,122.13 | $12,161.71 |
+$378.61 (+3.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 10:40am ET | $93.29 | 130 | $12,127.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $96.98 | 130 | $12,607.85 | $12,641.86 |
+$480.15 (+4.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 10:20am ET | $99.58 | 126 | $12,547.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 1:45pm ET | $96.58 | 126 | $12,169.08 | $12,263.86 |
$-378.00 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 2:40pm ET | $96.12 | 127 | $12,207.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $92.85 | 127 | $11,792.29 | $11,848.91 |
$-414.95 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 11:15am ET | $96.68 | 122 | $11,794.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 12:05pm ET | $98.68 | 122 | $12,038.96 | $12,092.91 |
+$244.00 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
50m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 12:10pm ET | $94.48 | 127 | $11,998.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $101.13 | 127 | $12,843.51 | $12,937.46 |
+$844.55 (+7.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $106.42 | 121 | $12,876.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 11:20am ET | $108.56 | 121 | $13,135.72 | $13,196.86 |
+$259.40 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 12:10pm ET | $111.00 | 118 | $13,097.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 10:05am ET | $107.27 | 118 | $12,657.85 | $12,757.30 |
$-439.56 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 12:10pm ET | $102.96 | 123 | $12,664.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 3:05pm ET | $105.12 | 123 | $12,929.76 | $13,022.98 |
+$265.68 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $102.52 | 127 | $13,020.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 10:05am ET | $105.12 | 127 | $13,350.24 | $13,353.18 |
+$330.20 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
30m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 11:10am ET | $122.85 | 108 | $13,267.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 11:10am ET | $122.46 | 108 | $13,225.68 | $13,311.06 |
$-42.12 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 11:10am ET | $117.22 | 113 | $13,246.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $112.50 | 113 | $12,712.50 | $12,777.14 |
$-533.92 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 9:45am ET | $111.14 | 114 | $12,670.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 10:00am ET | $115.08 | 114 | $13,119.12 | $13,225.73 |
+$448.59 (+3.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 12:10pm ET | $114.20 | 115 | $13,133.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $109.12 | 115 | $12,548.80 | $12,641.53 |
$-584.20 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.4h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 10:20am ET | $105.90 | 119 | $12,602.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 3:15pm ET | $102.46 | 119 | $12,192.74 | $12,232.17 |
$-409.36 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 11:35am ET | $118.54 | 103 | $12,209.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $125.06 | 103 | $12,881.18 | $12,903.73 |
+$671.56 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 10:25am ET | $123.54 | 104 | $12,848.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 9:50am ET | $126.10 | 104 | $13,114.40 | $13,169.97 |
+$266.24 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2026 9:50am ET | $119.63 | 110 | $13,159.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 10:25am ET | $122.30 | 110 | $13,453.00 | $13,463.67 |
+$293.70 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
35m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$13,463.67
Net Profit/Loss:
+$3,463.67
Total Return:
+34.64%