Compendium › Rebel Contraire › JNJ
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
JNJ
Alpaca Tradeable

Rebel Contraire's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 23 trades in period

+13.71%
Last 3 Months Return
$16,289.21
Current Value
74%
Win Rate
$14,324.92
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:33:58

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
88.4 overbought
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+5.8%
EMA20 Dist
+6.5%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
40.5×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

55
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
21.3/35
Total Return
14.8/25
Win Rate
7.4/15
Profit Factor
4.0/15
Consistency
7.6/10
Raw Quality 55.0/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 54.8

30-Day Momentum

30
+3.3%
30d Return
63%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 36.9 Conf: 0.81×
Declining (-25 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$14,324.92
Current Value
$16,289.21
Period P&L
$1,964.30
Max Drawdown
-9.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.31

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
23
Winners / Losers
17 / 6
Best Trade
+3.45%
Worst Trade
-4.70%
Avg Trade Return
+0.70%
Avg Hold Time
3.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$691,450.65
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,964.30
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,964.30
Gross Return
+13.71%
Net Return (after fees)
+13.71%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 JNJ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 23 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $14,324.92 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 10:35am ET $234.98 59 $13,863.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 9:30am ET $240.19 59 $14,171.21 $14,288.04 +$307.39
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.9h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 10:30am ET $246.84 57 $14,069.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:45am ET $251.92 57 $14,359.44 $14,577.60 +$289.56
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 11:05am ET $255.70 57 $14,574.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 11:00am ET $261.50 57 $14,905.36 $14,908.06 +$330.46
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 11:45am ET $257.55 57 $14,680.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $264.98 57 $15,103.86 $15,331.57 +$423.51
(+2.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 11:45am ET $266.80 57 $15,207.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 2:35pm ET $258.76 57 $14,749.32 $14,873.01 $-458.56
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 3:40pm ET $256.63 57 $14,627.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 1:35pm ET $248.30 57 $14,153.10 $14,398.49 $-474.52
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 2:20pm ET $249.58 57 $14,226.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:35am ET $254.68 57 $14,516.76 $14,689.18 +$290.69
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
19.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:45am ET $251.91 58 $14,610.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $257.84 58 $14,954.72 $15,033.12 +$343.94
(+2.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 10:45am ET $262.54 57 $14,964.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 10:35am ET $267.84 57 $15,266.60 $15,334.94 +$301.82
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 10:35am ET $272.35 56 $15,251.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $259.55 56 $14,534.80 $14,618.42 $-716.52
(-4.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 12:25pm ET $257.70 56 $14,431.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 12:25pm ET $258.28 56 $14,463.68 $14,650.90 +$32.48
(+0.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 12:55pm ET $256.35 57 $14,611.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 9:35am ET $261.79 57 $14,921.75 $14,960.69 +$309.79
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 10:55am ET $259.84 57 $14,810.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 10:55am ET $262.71 57 $14,974.47 $15,124.28 +$163.59
(+1.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 11:30am ET $270.22 55 $14,862.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:50am ET $276.11 55 $15,186.05 $15,448.20 +$323.92
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 10:10am ET $271.17 56 $15,185.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 10:10am ET $271.86 56 $15,224.16 $15,486.56 +$38.36
(+0.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 10:40am ET $271.60 57 $15,481.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 10:40am ET $266.58 57 $15,194.92 $15,200.28 $-286.28
(-1.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 11:10am ET $268.41 56 $15,030.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $277.66 56 $15,548.96 $15,718.28 +$518.00
(+3.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 10:40am ET $271.60 57 $15,481.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $277.98 57 $15,844.86 $16,081.94 +$363.66
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8d held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 12:00pm ET $276.40 58 $16,031.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:35am ET $267.30 58 $15,503.69 $15,554.14 $-527.80
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:35am ET $268.53 57 $15,306.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:35am ET $270.11 57 $15,396.27 $15,644.20 +$90.06
(+0.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:35am ET $262.83 59 $15,506.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 2:10pm ET $268.27 59 $15,827.93 $15,965.45 +$321.25
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 3:15pm ET $269.56 59 $15,904.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 3:15pm ET $269.42 59 $15,896.07 $15,957.48 $-7.97
(-0.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 3:30pm ET $268.64 59 $15,849.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:40am ET $274.27 59 $16,181.64 $16,289.21 +$331.73
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
18.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,289.21
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,289.21
Total Return: +62.89%
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