LCID Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 39 trades in period
+31.88%
Last 3 Months Return
$3,283.79
Current Value
62%
Win Rate
$2,490.04
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
33 neutral
20d Trend
-14.2%
5d Trend
-15.0%
EMA20 Dist
-11.4%
ATR%
6.1%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
9
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.3/10
Raw Quality
8.9/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 8.9
30-Day Momentum
53
+9.4%
30d Return
73%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 59.2
Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+44 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,985
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$2,490.04
Current Value
$3,283.79
Period P&L
$793.75
Max Drawdown
-69.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.15
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
39
Winners / Losers
24 /
15
Best Trade
+32.22%
Worst Trade
-5.08%
Avg Trade Return
+0.87%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$220,333.46
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$793.75
Net P&L (after fees)
$793.75
Gross Return
+31.88%
Net Return (after fees)
+31.88%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 LCID Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 39 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $2,490.04 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 12:35pm ET | $5.15 | 483 | $2,487.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 9:45am ET | $5.26 | 483 | $2,542.99 | $2,543.18 |
+$55.54 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 3:50pm ET | $6.49 | 392 | $2,542.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 1:10pm ET | $6.61 | 392 | $2,593.08 | $2,594.14 |
+$50.96 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 1:15pm ET | $6.78 | 382 | $2,591.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 9:40am ET | $6.44 | 382 | $2,460.08 | $2,462.35 |
$-131.79 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.4h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 9:55am ET | $6.26 | 393 | $2,458.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 11:00am ET | $6.38 | 393 | $2,507.54 | $2,511.67 |
+$49.32 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 2:15pm ET | $6.07 | 414 | $2,510.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 9:55am ET | $5.87 | 414 | $2,430.14 | $2,430.90 |
$-80.77 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.7h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 10:20am ET | $5.71 | 425 | $2,426.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 10:35am ET | $5.84 | 425 | $2,482.04 | $2,486.19 |
+$55.29 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 11:00am ET | $5.84 | 425 | $2,482.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 1:30pm ET | $5.66 | 425 | $2,403.38 | $2,407.57 |
$-78.62 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 3:15pm ET | $5.51 | 437 | $2,405.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 9:50am ET | $5.63 | 437 | $2,460.31 | $2,462.19 |
+$54.63 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.6h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 11:45am ET | $5.47 | 450 | $2,461.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 1:40pm ET | $5.61 | 450 | $2,526.75 | $2,527.44 |
+$65.25 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 2:05pm ET | $6.07 | 416 | $2,525.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 2:15pm ET | $6.22 | 416 | $2,587.48 | $2,589.76 |
+$62.32 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 10:15am ET | $7.36 | 351 | $2,585.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 10:50am ET | $7.09 | 351 | $2,488.59 | $2,493.23 |
$-96.52 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 12:00pm ET | $6.97 | 357 | $2,490.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 12:15pm ET | $7.14 | 357 | $2,547.20 | $2,550.35 |
+$57.12 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 12:30pm ET | $7.03 | 362 | $2,546.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 3:30pm ET | $6.76 | 362 | $2,447.12 | $2,450.80 |
$-99.55 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 10:00am ET | $6.47 | 378 | $2,447.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 12:45pm ET | $6.28 | 378 | $2,373.88 | $2,377.13 |
$-73.67 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 12:50pm ET | $6.36 | 373 | $2,372.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 2:35pm ET | $6.51 | 373 | $2,428.23 | $2,433.08 |
+$55.95 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 3:00pm ET | $7.63 | 319 | $2,432.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 3:25pm ET | $7.86 | 319 | $2,507.34 | $2,508.05 |
+$74.97 (+3.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
25m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 11:00am ET | $5.84 | 425 | $2,482.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $7.72 | 425 | $3,281.68 | $3,307.73 |
+$799.68 (+32.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.9d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 10:05am ET | $7.79 | 424 | $3,302.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 11:25am ET | $7.55 | 424 | $3,199.08 | $3,203.85 |
$-103.88 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 11:25am ET | $7.74 | 414 | $3,202.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 12:40pm ET | $7.49 | 414 | $3,100.86 | $3,102.42 |
$-101.43 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 1:45pm ET | $7.70 | 402 | $3,095.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 3:45pm ET | $7.88 | 402 | $3,165.75 | $3,172.77 |
+$70.35 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 12:50pm ET | $6.95 | 456 | $3,171.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $7.15 | 456 | $3,260.40 | $3,261.69 |
+$88.92 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.7h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 9:40am ET | $6.85 | 476 | $3,260.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 9:55am ET | $6.55 | 476 | $3,115.42 | $3,116.51 |
$-145.18 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 11:20am ET | $6.63 | 470 | $3,116.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 11:00am ET | $6.41 | 470 | $3,015.05 | $3,015.46 |
$-101.05 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 11:55am ET | $6.34 | 475 | $3,011.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 3:45pm ET | $6.47 | 475 | $3,075.62 | $3,079.16 |
+$63.70 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 3:50pm ET | $6.20 | 497 | $3,078.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 9:50am ET | $5.98 | 497 | $2,972.16 | $2,972.40 |
$-106.76 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 10:15am ET | $5.70 | 521 | $2,972.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 3:35pm ET | $5.84 | 521 | $3,040.04 | $3,040.13 |
+$67.73 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.3h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 9:55am ET | $5.43 | 560 | $3,038.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 11:35am ET | $5.24 | 560 | $2,931.60 | $2,933.73 |
$-106.40 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 1:10pm ET | $5.22 | 562 | $2,933.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 2:35pm ET | $5.32 | 562 | $2,992.65 | $2,992.74 |
+$59.01 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.4h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 2:45pm ET | $4.94 | 605 | $2,988.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 11:00am ET | $5.04 | 605 | $3,049.26 | $3,053.24 |
+$60.50 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 11:15am ET | $5.01 | 609 | $3,051.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 9:45am ET | $4.85 | 609 | $2,953.65 | $2,955.43 |
$-97.81 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 9:45am ET | $4.61 | 640 | $2,953.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 11:20am ET | $4.72 | 640 | $3,020.80 | $3,023.02 |
+$67.58 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 12:05pm ET | $4.66 | 648 | $3,022.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $4.49 | 648 | $2,909.52 | $2,909.62 |
$-113.40 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.5h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 12:15pm ET | $4.67 | 623 | $2,909.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 1:30pm ET | $4.76 | 623 | $2,968.59 | $2,968.80 |
+$59.18 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 2:35pm ET | $4.25 | 698 | $2,968.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 12:40pm ET | $4.38 | 698 | $3,057.24 | $3,057.86 |
+$89.06 (+3.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.1h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 1:40pm ET | $4.26 | 718 | $3,055.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 12:30pm ET | $4.12 | 718 | $2,956.72 | $2,959.49 |
$-98.37 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 12:45pm ET | $4.04 | 732 | $2,958.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $4.21 | 732 | $3,081.72 | $3,082.39 |
+$122.90 (+4.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 10:05am ET | $4.18 | 738 | $3,081.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 12:20pm ET | $4.26 | 738 | $3,143.88 | $3,145.12 |
+$62.73 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 2:30pm ET | $4.28 | 733 | $3,140.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 3:40pm ET | $4.37 | 733 | $3,204.53 | $3,208.74 |
+$63.62 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2026 10:00am ET | $4.06 | 790 | $3,207.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 12:20pm ET | $4.16 | 790 | $3,282.45 | $3,283.79 |
+$75.05 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$3,283.79
Net Profit/Loss:
$-6,716.21
Total Return:
-67.16%