Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-07-01 02:50:06

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
11
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.38%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.80
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.6
Quiet
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.1%
ATR%
3.7%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Jun 30, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.2/35
Total Return
11.1/25
Win Rate
6.9/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 25.0/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 24.6

30-Day Momentum

6
-0.2%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.0 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-19 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-01 → 2026-06-30
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,526.51
Current Value
$12,079.18
Period P&L
$-447.34
Max Drawdown
-33.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.05

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
22
Winners / Losers
11 / 11
Best Trade
+4.48%
Worst Trade
-3.44%
Avg Trade Return
-0.14%
Avg Hold Time
2.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$490,405.00
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-447.34
Net P&L (after fees)
$-447.34
Gross Return
-3.57%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.57%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LLY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 22 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $12,526.51 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 10:10am ET $932.61 13 $12,123.99
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 11:30am ET $951.48 13 $12,369.24 $12,771.76 +$245.24
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 11:45am ET $934.46 13 $12,147.98
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET $902.29 13 $11,729.77 $12,353.55 $-418.21
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 12:20pm ET $957.84 12 $11,494.08
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 12:20pm ET $930.47 12 $11,165.64 $12,025.11 $-328.44
(-2.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 12:35pm ET $935.60 12 $11,227.20
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 11:55am ET $904.37 12 $10,852.44 $11,650.35 $-374.76
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 11:55am ET $899.79 12 $10,797.54
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $919.93 12 $11,039.16 $11,891.97 +$241.62
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:50am ET $913.46 13 $11,874.98
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:45am ET $884.98 13 $11,504.74 $11,521.73 $-370.24
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 10:50am ET $917.75 12 $11,013.00
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:40am ET $889.48 12 $10,673.76 $11,182.49 $-339.24
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 10:30am ET $878.43 12 $10,541.22
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 12:15pm ET $851.74 12 $10,220.88 $10,862.15 $-320.34
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 12:15pm ET $932.26 11 $10,254.81
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:35am ET $973.99 11 $10,713.94 $11,321.29 +$459.14
(+4.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held
10 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:50am ET $961.27 11 $10,573.97
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 10:15am ET $980.80 11 $10,788.80 $11,536.12 +$214.83
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
11 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 11:05am ET $992.53 11 $10,917.83
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:45am ET $962.66 11 $10,589.26 $11,207.55 $-328.57
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
12 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 10:40am ET $985.55 11 $10,841.10
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 9:45am ET $1,005.53 11 $11,060.78 $11,427.22 +$219.67
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
13 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 9:45am ET $998.52 11 $10,983.72
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 9:45am ET $997.09 11 $10,967.99 $11,411.49 $-15.73
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
14 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 11:10am ET $1,015.60 11 $11,171.60
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 10:40am ET $1,036.58 11 $11,402.43 $11,642.32 +$230.83
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held
15 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 10:50am ET $1,059.09 10 $10,590.90
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 12:15pm ET $1,080.30 10 $10,802.95 $11,854.37 +$212.05
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
16 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 12:40pm ET $1,084.15 10 $10,841.50
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:40am ET $1,108.92 10 $11,089.20 $12,102.07 +$247.70
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
21h held
17 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:40am ET $1,113.70 10 $11,137.00
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 10:20am ET $1,078.16 10 $10,781.55 $11,746.62 $-355.45
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 12:30pm ET $1,065.34 11 $11,718.74
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 11:15am ET $1,087.85 11 $11,966.35 $11,994.23 +$247.61
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 12:20pm ET $1,134.43 10 $11,344.30
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 10:30am ET $1,157.48 10 $11,574.80 $12,224.73 +$230.50
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.2h held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 12:10pm ET $1,159.75 10 $11,597.50
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $1,133.25 10 $11,332.50 $11,959.73 $-265.00
(-2.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:50am ET $1,121.21 10 $11,212.10
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $1,106.42 10 $11,064.15 $11,811.78 $-147.95
(-1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 10:00am ET $1,102.11 10 $11,021.10
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 9:30am ET $1,128.85 10 $11,288.50 $12,079.18 +$267.40
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,079.18
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,079.18
Total Return: +20.79%
Back to Rebel Contraire