LTCUSD Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 44 trades in period
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Strategy Score Scored Mar 4, 2026
Quality Components
30-Day Momentum
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker).
This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
💸 Capital Refund History
When capital drops below $100, the simulation automatically refunds to $10,000 and continues. This ensures continuous data collection even for strategies that experience significant losses.
| # | Date | Capital Before | Trades Before | Era Fees Paid | Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mar 3, 2025 | $97.02 | 845 | $9,239.95 | CAPITAL_EXHAUSTED |
⚠️ Note: This simulation has been refunded 1 time. Total capital invested: $20,000. The return percentage accounts for all refunds.
📚 Strategy Crash History — Learning from Failures
Each "era" below represents a period where the strategy ran until it crashed (capital < $100). Study these to understand how this strategy can fail and what market conditions caused the losses.
📖 Learning Tip: Look for patterns in the crash history. Did the strategy fail during high volatility? Extended trends? Specific market conditions? Understanding how strategies die helps you know when NOT to use them in real trading.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 LTCUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 44 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $449.58 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 6:20pm ET | $51.60 | 9 | $460.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 7:05pm ET | $49.84 | 9 | $445.00 | $442.74 |
$-17.98 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
48m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET | $47.06 | 9 | $442.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 7:30pm ET | $48.66 | 9 | $457.79 | $455.54 |
+$12.80 (+3.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:15pm ET | $50.27 | 9 | $455.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 12:10am ET | $51.42 | 9 | $465.96 | $463.66 |
+$8.12 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 1:15am ET | $51.82 | 9 | $463.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 8:00am ET | $52.87 | 9 | $473.05 | $470.71 |
+$7.05 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.8h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 9:00am ET | $53.17 | 9 | $470.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 9:40am ET | $54.28 | 9 | $480.54 | $478.16 |
+$7.45 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
42m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 2:15pm ET | $54.60 | 9 | $478.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 8, 2026 3:30am ET | $55.71 | 9 | $487.87 | $485.45 |
+$7.29 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.6d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 8, 2026 4:20am ET | $55.46 | 9 | $485.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 8, 2026 11:45am ET | $53.76 | 9 | $470.63 | $468.24 |
$-17.21 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.4h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 8, 2026 3:30pm ET | $54.67 | 9 | $468.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 5:15am ET | $52.93 | 9 | $453.27 | $450.97 |
$-17.27 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13.8h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 5:20am ET | $52.82 | 9 | $450.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 10:00am ET | $53.93 | 9 | $460.41 | $458.13 |
+$7.16 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.7h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 10:20am ET | $53.55 | 9 | $458.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 12:35pm ET | $54.86 | 9 | $469.31 | $467.00 |
+$8.87 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 1:10pm ET | $54.67 | 9 | $467.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 1:50am ET | $52.97 | 9 | $452.51 | $450.21 |
$-16.79 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12.7h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 2:35am ET | $53.06 | 8 | $450.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET | $53.68 | 8 | $455.52 | $453.25 |
+$3.04 (+1.2%) |
📅 Sim Ended
9.9h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 1:10pm ET | $53.65 | 8 | $453.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 1:15am ET | $52.00 | 8 | $439.27 | $439.27 |
$-16.21 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12.1h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 1:50am ET | $52.05 | 8 | $439.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 9:10am ET | $53.27 | 8 | $449.53 | $449.53 |
+$8.04 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.3h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:25am ET | $52.70 | 9 | $449.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 12:00pm ET | $51.11 | 9 | $435.93 | $435.93 |
$-15.82 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 12:40pm ET | $51.72 | 8 | $435.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 4:30pm ET | $52.77 | 8 | $444.74 | $444.74 |
+$6.61 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 16, 2026 11:35am ET | $53.37 | 8 | $444.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 16, 2026 3:30pm ET | $54.67 | 8 | $455.58 | $455.58 |
+$8.59 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 16, 2026 5:10pm ET | $55.21 | 8 | $455.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 10:30am ET | $53.43 | 8 | $440.87 | $440.87 |
$-16.95 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.3h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 11:50am ET | $54.27 | 8 | $440.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 5:05am ET | $52.64 | 8 | $427.59 | $427.59 |
$-15.45 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 5:55am ET | $52.62 | 8 | $427.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 4:05am ET | $53.77 | 8 | $436.93 | $436.93 |
+$7.18 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.2h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 5:55am ET | $53.79 | 8 | $436.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 11:00am ET | $54.87 | 8 | $445.70 | $445.70 |
+$6.57 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.1h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 11:20am ET | $55.01 | 8 | $445.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 22, 2026 9:05am ET | $53.35 | 8 | $432.25 | $432.25 |
$-15.64 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 22, 2026 9:15am ET | $53.39 | 8 | $432.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 22, 2026 8:15pm ET | $51.62 | 8 | $417.92 | $417.92 |
$-16.46 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
11h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 22, 2026 9:00pm ET | $50.99 | 8 | $417.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 1:45am ET | $52.03 | 8 | $426.44 | $426.44 |
+$6.41 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 5:05am ET | $52.80 | 8 | $426.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 12:30pm ET | $51.05 | 8 | $412.31 | $412.31 |
$-16.23 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.4h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 12:35pm ET | $50.94 | 8 | $412.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 5:35pm ET | $51.96 | 8 | $420.57 | $420.57 |
+$6.17 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 5:45pm ET | $51.86 | 8 | $420.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 9:30pm ET | $52.93 | 8 | $429.25 | $429.25 |
+$6.55 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 9:40pm ET | $52.76 | 8 | $429.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 7:35am ET | $54.06 | 8 | $439.83 | $439.83 |
+$8.40 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9.9h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 10:05am ET | $56.89 | 8 | $439.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 10:45am ET | $58.10 | 8 | $449.18 | $449.18 |
+$7.13 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
40m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 1:20pm ET | $58.41 | 8 | $449.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 6:30pm ET | $56.62 | 8 | $435.41 | $435.41 |
$-15.98 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.2h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 1:20pm ET | $58.41 | 8 | $449.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 9:50am ET | $55.80 | 8 | $429.11 | $415.34 |
$-22.27 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.5h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 10:55am ET | $55.67 | 7 | $415.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 12:30pm ET | $53.95 | 7 | $402.51 | $402.51 |
$-14.88 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 1:55pm ET | $54.37 | 7 | $402.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 28, 2026 1:50am ET | $52.35 | 7 | $387.56 | $387.56 |
$-16.93 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
11.9h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 28, 2026 1:55am ET | $52.08 | 7 | $387.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 28, 2026 9:00am ET | $53.14 | 7 | $395.45 | $395.45 |
+$5.93 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.1h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 28, 2026 10:00am ET | $52.32 | 8 | $395.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 28, 2026 1:40pm ET | $53.61 | 8 | $405.20 | $405.20 |
+$7.75 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.7h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 28, 2026 2:05pm ET | $53.71 | 8 | $405.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 28, 2026 3:50pm ET | $54.80 | 8 | $413.42 | $413.42 |
+$6.18 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 28, 2026 4:05pm ET | $54.31 | 8 | $413.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 28, 2026 9:35pm ET | $55.41 | 8 | $421.79 | $421.79 |
+$6.29 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.5h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 28, 2026 10:40pm ET | $55.06 | 8 | $421.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 1, 2026 12:20pm ET | $53.31 | 8 | $408.38 | $408.38 |
$-15.48 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13.7h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 1, 2026 1:20pm ET | $53.76 | 8 | $408.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 10:15am ET | $55.04 | 8 | $418.10 | $418.10 |
+$7.66 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.9h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 11:55am ET | $55.17 | 8 | $418.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 3:50am ET | $53.46 | 8 | $405.14 | $405.14 |
$-15.02 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15.9h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 4:30am ET | $53.22 | 8 | $405.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 11:10am ET | $54.43 | 8 | $414.35 | $414.35 |
+$7.16 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.7h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 11:20am ET | $54.40 | 8 | $414.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 3:10am ET | $55.53 | 8 | $422.96 | $422.96 |
+$6.51 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15.8h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 3:20am ET | $55.29 | 8 | $422.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 4:30am ET | $56.40 | 8 | $431.45 | $431.45 |
+$6.36 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 6:35am ET | $55.65 | 8 | $431.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 11:00am ET | $57.12 | 8 | $442.85 | $442.85 |
+$9.21 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.4h held |
+ 1 refund ($10,000)