Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:05:50

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
62.3 neutral
20d Trend
+5.9%
5d Trend
+0.9%
EMA20 Dist
+1.9%
ATR%
1.9%
Range Pos
83%
Bounce Ratio
2.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

15
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.7/35
Total Return
5.0/25
Win Rate
4.1/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 14.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 14.7

30-Day Momentum

6
-0.1%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.0 Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-9 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,629.14
Current Value
$9,992.60
Period P&L
$1,363.46
Max Drawdown
-15.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.31

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
22
Winners / Losers
15 / 7
Best Trade
+4.10%
Worst Trade
-3.08%
Avg Trade Return
+0.71%
Avg Hold Time
4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$418,031.77
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,363.46
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,363.46
Gross Return
+15.80%
Net Return (after fees)
+15.80%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MDT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 22 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $8,629.14 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 3:10pm ET $80.65 106 $8,548.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 10:15am ET $82.32 106 $8,725.92 $8,806.14 +$177.01
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 1:00pm ET $81.25 108 $8,775.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 12:50pm ET $78.75 108 $8,504.46 $8,535.60 $-270.54
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 12:50pm ET $79.00 108 $8,532.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 10:40am ET $80.80 108 $8,726.40 $8,730.00 +$194.40
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 10:40am ET $81.80 106 $8,670.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 1:55pm ET $83.55 106 $8,856.30 $8,915.50 +$185.50
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 1:55pm ET $84.06 106 $8,910.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $81.48 106 $8,636.88 $8,642.02 $-273.48
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 10:35am ET $82.82 104 $8,613.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:55am ET $84.50 104 $8,787.48 $8,815.70 +$173.68
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 10:30am ET $80.05 110 $8,805.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 11:00am ET $81.74 110 $8,991.68 $9,001.88 +$186.17
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 11:55am ET $83.58 107 $8,943.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 11:55am ET $82.58 107 $8,836.59 $8,895.41 $-106.47
(-1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 12:10pm ET $82.07 108 $8,863.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $83.86 108 $9,056.34 $9,088.73 +$193.32
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 10:35am ET $82.82 104 $8,613.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $86.22 104 $8,966.88 $9,441.81 +$353.08
(+4.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
20d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 10:20am ET $84.01 112 $9,409.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 2:15pm ET $85.69 112 $9,597.84 $9,630.53 +$188.72
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9h held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 9:50am ET $85.16 113 $9,623.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $86.99 113 $9,829.87 $9,837.32 +$206.79
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 11:15am ET $86.27 114 $9,834.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 10:00am ET $88.11 114 $10,044.54 $10,047.08 +$209.76
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 10:55am ET $90.18 111 $10,009.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET $90.67 111 $10,063.82 $10,101.47 +$54.39
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 10:20am ET $92.54 109 $10,087.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 10:05am ET $94.48 109 $10,298.32 $10,312.39 +$210.92
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 11:30am ET $93.06 110 $10,236.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 11:30am ET $91.64 110 $10,080.40 $10,156.19 $-156.20
(-1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 12:05pm ET $91.29 111 $10,133.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $93.85 111 $10,417.11 $10,440.11 +$283.92
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 12:05pm ET $91.29 111 $10,133.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $92.20 111 $10,234.20 $10,541.12 +$101.01
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 12:35pm ET $94.20 111 $10,456.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 12:35pm ET $92.43 111 $10,259.18 $10,344.10 $-197.02
(-1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 1:15pm ET $91.32 113 $10,318.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:40am ET $93.73 113 $10,591.49 $10,617.00 +$272.90
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 12:50pm ET $94.47 112 $10,580.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $91.65 112 $10,264.80 $10,301.16 $-315.84
(-3.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 10:25am ET $91.39 112 $10,235.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 3:05pm ET $88.64 112 $9,927.12 $9,992.60 $-308.56
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,992.60
Net Profit/Loss: $-7.40
Total Return: -0.07%
Back to Rebel Contraire