Compendium › Rebel Contraire › META
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
META
Alpaca Tradeable

Rebel Contraire's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 25 trades in period

+17.50%
Last 3 Months Return
$15,788.22
Current Value
68%
Win Rate
$13,436.46
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 19:22:08

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
45.7 neutral
20d Trend
+4.0%
5d Trend
-8.3%
EMA20 Dist
-2.4%
ATR%
4.3%
Range Pos
42%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

34
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.2/35
Total Return
14.5/25
Win Rate
7.2/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 34.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 33.8

30-Day Momentum

79
+36.8%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
8
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 97.1 Conf: 0.81×
Accelerating (+45 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,436.46
Current Value
$15,788.22
Period P&L
$2,351.82
Max Drawdown
-36.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.18

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
25
Winners / Losers
17 / 8
Best Trade
+7.16%
Worst Trade
-10.73%
Avg Trade Return
+0.73%
Avg Hold Time
3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$644,238.72
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,351.82
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,351.82
Gross Return
+17.50%
Net Return (after fees)
+17.50%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 META Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 25 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $13,436.46 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 12:30pm ET $563.40 23 $12,958.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:35am ET $544.57 23 $12,525.13 $13,003.33 $-433.07
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:55am ET $542.88 23 $12,486.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 11:05am ET $554.18 23 $12,746.25 $13,263.46 +$260.13
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 11:05am ET $563.14 23 $12,952.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $601.16 23 $13,826.57 $14,137.81 +$874.35
(+6.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:35am ET $599.72 23 $13,793.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:35am ET $609.00 23 $14,007.00 $14,351.36 +$213.55
(+1.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:35am ET $604.68 23 $13,907.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $584.70 23 $13,448.10 $13,891.82 $-459.54
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 11:00am ET $669.30 20 $13,386.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 11:00am ET $675.60 20 $13,512.10 $14,017.92 +$126.10
(+0.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 11:20am ET $675.88 20 $13,517.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $646.82 20 $12,936.30 $13,436.56 $-581.35
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.2h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:55am ET $637.86 21 $13,395.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 12:20pm ET $650.82 21 $13,667.22 $13,708.73 +$272.16
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.4h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 1:05pm ET $646.23 21 $13,570.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 1:50pm ET $626.11 21 $13,148.31 $13,286.21 $-422.52
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 2:20pm ET $605.72 21 $12,720.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 11:00am ET $587.09 21 $12,328.89 $12,895.08 $-391.13
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 11:40am ET $589.57 21 $12,380.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $526.29 21 $11,052.19 $11,566.41 $-1,328.67
(-10.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 10:05am ET $543.00 21 $11,403.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 3:55pm ET $556.10 21 $11,678.10 $11,841.51 +$275.10
(+2.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.8h held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $590.16 20 $11,803.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET $598.74 20 $11,974.80 $12,013.21 +$171.70
(+1.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6.7d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 11:10am ET $607.20 19 $11,536.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 10:05am ET $587.49 19 $11,162.31 $11,638.72 $-374.49
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 10:45am ET $589.28 19 $11,196.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 12:10pm ET $571.53 19 $10,858.98 $11,301.47 $-337.25
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 12:40pm ET $551.01 20 $11,020.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $551.17 20 $11,023.32 $11,304.59 +$3.12
(+0.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 12:40pm ET $551.01 20 $11,020.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $589.35 20 $11,787.10 $12,071.49 +$766.90
(+7.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $574.78 21 $12,070.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 10:10am ET $587.27 21 $12,332.67 $12,333.78 +$262.29
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
40m held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 10:30am ET $576.89 21 $12,114.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:45am ET $591.19 21 $12,414.99 $12,634.08 +$300.30
(+2.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 10:30am ET $576.89 21 $12,114.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $618.17 21 $12,981.67 $13,501.06 +$866.98
(+7.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6d held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 12:35pm ET $612.84 22 $13,482.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $650.75 22 $14,316.50 $14,335.19 +$834.13
(+6.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 10:50am ET $656.37 21 $13,783.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:40am ET $672.38 21 $14,119.98 $14,671.40 +$336.21
(+2.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:45am ET $676.68 21 $14,210.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:35am ET $699.89 21 $14,697.59 $15,158.62 +$487.22
(+3.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:50am ET $742.66 20 $14,853.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:55am ET $758.01 20 $15,160.20 $15,465.52 +$306.90
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 11:10am ET $763.32 20 $15,266.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 3:25pm ET $779.45 20 $15,589.00 $15,788.22 +$322.70
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,788.22
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,788.22
Total Return: +57.88%
Back to Rebel Contraire