Compendium › Rebel Contraire › NFLX
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
NFLX
Alpaca Tradeable

Rebel Contraire's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 24 trades in period

+1.25%
Last 3 Months Return
$14,808.54
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$14,625.77
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:02:05

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.2 neutral
20d Trend
-10.9%
5d Trend
-5.8%
EMA20 Dist
-5.4%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

37
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.6/35
Total Return
14.0/25
Win Rate
7.4/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 37.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 37.0

30-Day Momentum

13
-0.8%
30d Return
63%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.6 Conf: 0.81×
Declining (-24 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$14,625.77
Current Value
$14,808.54
Period P&L
$182.77
Max Drawdown
-19.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.01

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
24
Winners / Losers
16 / 8
Best Trade
+3.10%
Worst Trade
-10.92%
Avg Trade Return
+0.03%
Avg Hold Time
2.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$701,058.41
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$182.77
Net P&L (after fees)
$182.77
Gross Return
+1.25%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.25%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NFLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 24 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $14,625.77 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 11:05am ET $72.66 205 $14,894.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 10:10am ET $74.17 205 $15,203.83 $15,226.42 +$309.53
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 11:35am ET $75.44 201 $15,163.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 9:35am ET $73.07 201 $14,687.07 $14,750.05 $-476.37
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 2:10pm ET $74.05 199 $14,735.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $75.96 199 $15,115.05 $15,129.14 +$379.09
(+2.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
19.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:40am ET $75.97 199 $15,118.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $77.85 199 $15,492.15 $15,503.26 +$374.12
(+2.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:35am ET $75.25 206 $15,501.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 10:55am ET $72.97 206 $15,031.82 $15,033.58 $-469.68
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 11:10am ET $74.79 201 $15,032.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $66.63 201 $13,391.63 $13,392.41 $-1,641.17
(-10.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 10:35am ET $67.30 198 $13,325.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 3:50pm ET $68.68 198 $13,598.64 $13,665.65 +$273.24
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 10:00am ET $68.38 199 $13,607.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 11:10am ET $69.88 199 $13,905.13 $13,963.16 +$297.51
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 12:15pm ET $71.24 196 $13,963.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:35am ET $72.79 196 $14,266.82 $14,266.92 +$303.76
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 2:50pm ET $73.51 194 $14,261.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $71.21 194 $13,815.71 $13,820.72 $-446.20
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 10:05am ET $71.94 192 $13,813.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 9:35am ET $73.55 192 $14,121.60 $14,128.88 +$308.16
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 10:45am ET $73.43 192 $14,097.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET $75.22 192 $14,442.24 $14,473.52 +$344.64
(+2.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 10:05am ET $73.42 197 $14,463.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 11:00am ET $74.97 197 $14,770.07 $14,779.86 +$306.34
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 11:35am ET $75.35 196 $14,768.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 9:50am ET $76.91 196 $15,074.36 $15,085.62 +$305.76
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 12:25pm ET $78.21 192 $15,015.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 2:20pm ET $75.71 192 $14,537.28 $14,607.54 $-478.08
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 2:40pm ET $78.61 185 $14,542.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 10:10am ET $80.34 185 $14,862.90 $14,927.59 +$320.05
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
19.5h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 10:35am ET $79.93 186 $14,867.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 10:25am ET $81.57 186 $15,172.02 $15,231.70 +$304.11
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 10:40am ET $81.94 185 $15,159.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 10:50am ET $79.45 185 $14,698.25 $14,770.12 $-461.58
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 11:15am ET $81.94 180 $14,750.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 11:15am ET $82.58 180 $14,865.30 $14,885.32 +$115.20
(+0.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 11:15am ET $81.94 180 $14,750.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $82.52 180 $14,853.60 $14,988.82 +$103.50
(+0.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 12:05pm ET $78.97 189 $14,925.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:35am ET $76.43 189 $14,445.29 $14,508.78 $-480.04
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:40am ET $76.44 189 $14,447.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $78.81 189 $14,895.09 $14,956.71 +$447.93
(+3.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 10:10am ET $77.82 192 $14,941.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 11:10am ET $75.39 192 $14,474.88 $14,490.15 $-466.56
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 12:05pm ET $71.46 202 $14,435.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 10:25am ET $73.04 202 $14,754.32 $14,808.54 +$318.39
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,808.54
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,808.54
Total Return: +48.09%
Back to Rebel Contraire