ORCL Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 33 trades in period
-15.22%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,716.31
Current Value
48%
Win Rate
$13,820.00
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
15.8 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-19.1%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
25
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
2.4/35
Total Return
11.8/25
Win Rate
5.8/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality
25.6/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 25.5
30-Day Momentum
29
+3.6%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 33.3
Conf: 0.87×
Steady (+4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$13,820.00
Current Value
$11,716.31
Period P&L
$-2,103.75
Max Drawdown
-37.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.15
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
33
Winners / Losers
16 /
17
Best Trade
+6.58%
Worst Trade
-6.42%
Avg Trade Return
-0.51%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$834,584.02
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,103.75
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,103.75
Gross Return
-15.22%
Net Return (after fees)
-15.22%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ORCL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 33 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $13,820.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 11:45am ET | $159.23 | 88 | $14,011.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 9:40am ET | $154.14 | 88 | $13,564.32 | $13,648.43 |
$-447.48 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.9h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 9:50am ET | $150.71 | 90 | $13,563.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $153.83 | 90 | $13,844.70 | $13,929.23 |
+$280.80 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 10:55am ET | $144.93 | 96 | $13,913.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 12:00pm ET | $140.47 | 96 | $13,485.12 | $13,501.07 |
$-428.16 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 1:00pm ET | $143.56 | 94 | $13,494.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 10:25am ET | $138.31 | 94 | $13,001.14 | $13,007.57 |
$-493.50 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.4h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 10:45am ET | $139.12 | 93 | $12,937.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $144.09 | 93 | $13,400.37 | $13,470.24 |
+$462.67 (+3.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 9:55am ET | $141.62 | 95 | $13,453.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:45am ET | $137.04 | 95 | $13,018.75 | $13,035.09 |
$-435.15 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 11:55am ET | $128.70 | 101 | $12,998.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $131.65 | 101 | $13,296.65 | $13,333.55 |
+$298.45 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.6h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 9:40am ET | $127.14 | 104 | $13,223.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $123.07 | 104 | $12,799.28 | $12,909.75 |
$-423.80 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 9:50am ET | $123.06 | 104 | $12,797.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 9:40am ET | $125.77 | 104 | $13,080.08 | $13,192.11 |
+$282.36 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 10:10am ET | $127.40 | 103 | $13,122.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $122.93 | 103 | $12,662.30 | $12,732.21 |
$-459.90 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 10:20am ET | $116.31 | 109 | $12,677.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 11:10am ET | $118.67 | 109 | $12,935.30 | $12,989.72 |
+$257.51 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
50m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 11:30am ET | $120.06 | 108 | $12,966.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $116.26 | 108 | $12,556.08 | $12,579.32 |
$-410.40 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $119.50 | 105 | $12,546.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $122.20 | 105 | $12,831.00 | $12,863.35 |
+$284.02 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 9:45am ET | $130.22 | 98 | $12,761.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 10:15am ET | $126.19 | 98 | $12,367.11 | $12,469.13 |
$-394.22 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 11:00am ET | $136.54 | 91 | $12,425.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 12:25pm ET | $139.90 | 91 | $12,730.45 | $12,774.44 |
+$305.31 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.4h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 1:35pm ET | $148.57 | 85 | $12,628.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $142.85 | 85 | $12,142.59 | $12,288.58 |
$-485.86 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 11:20am ET | $144.05 | 85 | $12,244.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 12:10pm ET | $147.00 | 85 | $12,495.00 | $12,539.27 |
+$250.69 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 12:40pm ET | $149.54 | 83 | $12,411.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 11:35am ET | $144.70 | 83 | $12,010.10 | $12,137.55 |
$-401.72 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 2:55pm ET | $152.03 | 79 | $12,010.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $156.37 | 79 | $12,353.23 | $12,480.41 |
+$342.86 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 11:05am ET | $152.79 | 81 | $12,375.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $148.19 | 81 | $12,003.39 | $12,107.81 |
$-372.60 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $143.39 | 84 | $12,044.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 10:10am ET | $138.38 | 84 | $11,623.92 | $11,686.97 |
$-420.84 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 10:15am ET | $142.27 | 82 | $11,666.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $147.07 | 82 | $12,059.74 | $12,080.57 |
+$393.60 (+3.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $142.61 | 84 | $11,979.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 9:40am ET | $145.51 | 84 | $12,222.84 | $12,324.17 |
+$243.60 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 10:15am ET | $148.46 | 83 | $12,322.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $152.48 | 83 | $12,655.84 | $12,657.41 |
+$333.24 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 9:55am ET | $152.29 | 83 | $12,639.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $144.79 | 83 | $12,017.57 | $12,035.32 |
$-622.09 (-4.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 11:30am ET | $144.82 | 83 | $12,020.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $148.74 | 83 | $12,345.01 | $12,360.27 |
+$324.94 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 2:05pm ET | $157.40 | 78 | $12,277.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $167.75 | 78 | $13,084.50 | $13,167.57 |
+$807.30 (+6.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 11:15am ET | $161.26 | 81 | $13,062.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 9:55am ET | $155.93 | 81 | $12,630.33 | $12,735.84 |
$-431.73 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 9:55am ET | $155.82 | 81 | $12,621.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 12:45pm ET | $150.98 | 81 | $12,229.38 | $12,343.79 |
$-392.05 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 1:20pm ET | $143.50 | 86 | $12,341.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 10:10am ET | $146.49 | 86 | $12,598.14 | $12,600.64 |
+$256.85 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 12:40pm ET | $150.32 | 83 | $12,476.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 10:00am ET | $145.14 | 83 | $12,046.62 | $12,170.29 |
$-430.35 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 12:00pm ET | $148.61 | 81 | $12,037.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $152.86 | 81 | $12,381.66 | $12,514.46 |
+$344.17 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.6h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 10:15am ET | $146.21 | 85 | $12,427.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $136.82 | 85 | $11,629.70 | $11,716.31 |
$-798.15 (-6.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,716.31
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,716.31
Total Return:
+17.16%