Compendium › Rebel Contraire › OXY
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
OXY
Alpaca Tradeable

Rebel Contraire's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 24 trades in period

+0.00%
Last 3 Months Return
$13,725.54
Current Value
54%
Win Rate
$-234.60
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:34:47

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
52.3 neutral
20d Trend
+2.4%
5d Trend
-2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
68%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

31
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.8/35
Total Return
12.9/25
Win Rate
7.7/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 31.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 30.9

30-Day Momentum

9
-1.6%
30d Return
57%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.1 Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-21 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$-234.60
Current Value
$13,725.54
Period P&L
$160.09
Max Drawdown
-31.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.01

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
24
Winners / Losers
13 / 11
Best Trade
+5.90%
Worst Trade
-6.16%
Avg Trade Return
-0.03%
Avg Hold Time
4.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$647,893.13
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$160.09
Net P&L (after fees)
$160.09
Gross Return
+0.00%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.00%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 OXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 24 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $-234.60 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:45am ET $51.56 273 $14,074.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 2:50pm ET $49.99 273 $13,645.91 $13,685.57 $-428.61
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 2:55pm ET $49.67 275 $13,659.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 10:00am ET $48.06 275 $13,216.50 $13,242.82 $-442.75
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:45am ET $51.56 273 $14,074.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $48.90 273 $13,349.70 $12,518.01 $-724.81
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
14d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:50am ET $50.03 250 $12,508.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 3:00pm ET $51.10 250 $12,775.00 $12,784.26 +$266.25
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 10:00am ET $52.41 243 $12,735.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $54.39 243 $13,216.77 $13,265.40 +$481.14
(+3.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 10:55am ET $54.25 244 $13,237.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $54.06 244 $13,190.64 $13,219.04 $-46.36
(-0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 11:55am ET $56.21 235 $13,209.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET $57.52 235 $13,517.20 $13,526.89 +$307.85
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21.6h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:45am ET $58.46 231 $13,504.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $55.91 231 $12,915.21 $12,937.84 $-589.05
(-4.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 10:00am ET $52.41 243 $12,735.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $55.50 243 $13,486.50 $13,688.71 +$750.87
(+5.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 10:05am ET $56.01 244 $13,666.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 9:35am ET $53.99 244 $13,173.56 $13,195.83 $-492.88
(-3.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 10:10am ET $54.60 241 $13,158.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $56.31 241 $13,570.71 $13,607.94 +$412.11
(+3.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET $55.45 245 $13,585.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET $56.85 245 $13,928.25 $13,950.94 +$343.00
(+2.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 11:25am ET $59.22 235 $13,917.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 10:00am ET $57.29 235 $13,463.15 $13,496.22 $-454.72
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 12:15pm ET $58.54 230 $13,464.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $59.86 230 $13,767.80 $13,799.80 +$303.58
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 10:50am ET $60.45 228 $13,782.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 9:35am ET $61.68 228 $14,063.04 $14,080.24 +$280.44
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 10:45am ET $61.54 228 $14,031.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 11:25am ET $59.63 228 $13,595.64 $13,644.76 $-435.48
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 10:45am ET $61.54 228 $14,031.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $57.75 228 $13,167.00 $12,780.64 $-864.12
(-6.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $58.51 218 $12,755.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $60.45 218 $13,178.10 $13,203.56 +$422.92
(+3.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $58.51 218 $12,755.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $61.04 218 $13,306.72 $13,755.10 +$551.54
(+4.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7.1d held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 12:00pm ET $60.22 228 $13,729.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $61.58 228 $14,040.24 $14,066.32 +$311.22
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 10:35am ET $61.81 227 $14,029.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 10:35am ET $62.74 227 $14,241.98 $14,278.57 +$212.25
(+1.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 12:00pm ET $63.28 225 $14,238.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 9:45am ET $61.36 225 $13,806.00 $13,846.57 $-432.00
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 10:00am ET $58.86 235 $13,832.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 12:15pm ET $57.07 235 $13,411.45 $13,425.92 $-420.65
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 12:25pm ET $57.13 235 $13,425.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:45am ET $58.40 235 $13,725.17 $13,725.54 +$299.62
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,725.54
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,725.54
Total Return: +37.26%
Back to Rebel Contraire