Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:39:23

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
85.2 overbought
20d Trend
+19.9%
5d Trend
+9.7%
EMA20 Dist
+9.3%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
62.6×
Green/Red 10d
9/1

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.5/35
Total Return
10.2/25
Win Rate
5.4/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 25.5/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 25.4

30-Day Momentum

9
-2.7%
30d Return
57%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.1 Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-16 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,623.19
Current Value
$11,587.53
Period P&L
$964.34
Max Drawdown
-16.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.26

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
20
Winners / Losers
13 / 7
Best Trade
+2.83%
Worst Trade
-4.75%
Avg Trade Return
+0.53%
Avg Hold Time
4.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$446,800.66
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$964.34
Net P&L (after fees)
$964.34
Gross Return
+9.08%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.08%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PEP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 20 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $10,623.19 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 12:25pm ET $141.07 74 $10,438.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $140.49 74 $10,396.26 $10,460.38 $-42.55
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 9:50am ET $138.37 75 $10,377.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 2:45pm ET $141.16 75 $10,587.37 $10,670.01 +$209.62
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $143.04 74 $10,584.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $146.71 74 $10,856.17 $10,941.22 +$271.21
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:35am ET $143.71 76 $10,922.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $136.89 76 $10,403.64 $10,422.52 $-518.70
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 10:35am ET $137.24 75 $10,293.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:50am ET $140.10 75 $10,507.87 $10,637.21 +$214.69
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 10:20am ET $137.76 77 $10,607.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $140.54 77 $10,821.58 $10,851.27 +$214.06
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:40am ET $135.97 79 $10,741.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $137.70 79 $10,878.30 $10,987.94 +$136.67
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 10:35am ET $137.24 75 $10,293.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $141.12 75 $10,584.00 $11,278.75 +$290.81
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
20d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 10:35am ET $139.18 81 $11,273.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 10:35am ET $138.77 81 $11,240.37 $11,245.14 $-33.61
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 11:25am ET $137.79 81 $11,161.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 11:25am ET $137.10 81 $11,105.23 $11,188.97 $-56.17
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 1:25pm ET $138.32 80 $11,065.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 11:40am ET $141.12 80 $11,289.20 $11,412.57 +$223.60
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 12:45pm ET $138.10 82 $11,323.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET $140.99 82 $11,561.18 $11,649.96 +$237.39
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 10:00am ET $141.87 82 $11,633.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $145.08 82 $11,896.56 $11,913.18 +$263.22
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 10:00am ET $141.87 82 $11,633.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $142.50 82 $11,685.00 $11,964.84 +$51.66
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 10:15am ET $139.81 85 $11,883.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 10:15am ET $140.85 85 $11,972.25 $12,053.24 +$88.40
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 10:15am ET $139.81 85 $11,883.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $139.90 85 $11,891.92 $12,061.32 +$8.08
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.1d held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 12:00pm ET $138.27 87 $12,029.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 12:00pm ET $136.35 87 $11,862.88 $11,894.71 $-166.61
(-1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 12:25pm ET $137.21 86 $11,800.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 12:25pm ET $135.35 86 $11,640.10 $11,734.75 $-159.96
(-1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 12:40pm ET $135.07 86 $11,616.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:40am ET $130.57 86 $11,229.45 $11,348.18 $-386.57
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 9:40am ET $128.34 88 $11,293.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 12:00pm ET $131.06 88 $11,533.28 $11,587.53 +$239.35
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,587.53
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,587.53
Total Return: +15.88%
Back to Rebel Contraire