Compendium › Rebel Contraire › PLTR
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PLTR
Alpaca Tradeable

Rebel Contraire's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 29 trades in period

+41.23%
Last 3 Months Return
$25,502.22
Current Value
69%
Win Rate
$18,057.45
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:59:06

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
21.5 oversold
20d Trend
-29.6%
5d Trend
-14.4%
EMA20 Dist
-18.7%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

56
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
20.9/35
Total Return
18.2/25
Win Rate
8.4/15
Profit Factor
1.9/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 56.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 55.7

30-Day Momentum

39
+6.8%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 44.6 Conf: 0.87×
Declining (-17 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$18,057.45
Current Value
$25,502.22
Period P&L
$7,444.76
Max Drawdown
-26.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.30

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
29
Winners / Losers
20 / 9
Best Trade
+17.38%
Worst Trade
-4.37%
Avg Trade Return
+1.24%
Avg Hold Time
1.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,302,543.90
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$7,444.76
Net P&L (after fees)
$7,444.76
Gross Return
+41.23%
Net Return (after fees)
+41.23%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PLTR Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 29 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $18,057.45 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 12:20pm ET $118.61 155 $18,384.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 9:30am ET $114.39 155 $17,730.45 $17,789.31 $-654.22
(-3.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.2h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:40am ET $108.25 164 $17,753.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:35am ET $110.96 164 $18,197.44 $18,232.93 +$443.62
(+2.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 10:05am ET $117.76 154 $18,135.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $122.07 154 $18,799.03 $18,896.15 +$663.22
(+3.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:40am ET $108.25 164 $17,753.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $127.07 164 $20,839.48 $21,981.81 +$3,085.66
(+17.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
11d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 11:55am ET $135.21 162 $21,903.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 1:35pm ET $138.03 162 $22,360.89 $22,439.49 +$457.68
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 9:40am ET $126.93 176 $22,339.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $131.79 176 $23,195.04 $23,294.85 +$855.36
(+3.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 11:00am ET $128.34 181 $23,229.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $124.07 181 $22,456.67 $22,521.98 $-772.87
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.5h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 9:45am ET $133.29 168 $22,392.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:45am ET $133.51 168 $22,430.52 $22,559.78 +$37.80
(+0.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 10:20am ET $133.65 168 $22,453.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 9:35am ET $127.81 168 $21,472.08 $21,578.66 $-981.12
(-4.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:35am ET $122.09 176 $21,487.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 2:45pm ET $124.58 176 $21,926.08 $22,016.90 +$438.24
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 9:40am ET $120.86 182 $21,997.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 11:15am ET $123.31 182 $22,442.42 $22,461.89 +$444.99
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.6h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 12:10pm ET $124.20 180 $22,355.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 2:45pm ET $126.75 180 $22,814.10 $22,920.84 +$458.95
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.6h held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 3:40pm ET $122.22 187 $22,855.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $126.78 187 $23,707.86 $23,773.56 +$852.72
(+3.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.7d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 11:55am ET $158.52 149 $23,619.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 12:40pm ET $161.75 149 $24,100.93 $24,255.01 +$481.45
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
45m held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 12:45pm ET $160.29 151 $24,204.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 9:35am ET $153.46 151 $23,171.71 $23,222.17 $-1,032.84
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 10:45am ET $168.88 137 $23,135.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:35am ET $172.45 137 $23,624.97 $23,711.26 +$489.09
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 10:15am ET $175.84 134 $23,562.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 9:55am ET $169.95 134 $22,773.30 $22,921.99 $-789.27
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 10:20am ET $176.14 130 $22,898.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 3:45pm ET $179.78 130 $23,371.40 $23,394.62 +$472.63
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.4h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 10:25am ET $175.08 133 $23,285.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 11:35am ET $178.76 133 $23,775.08 $23,884.06 +$489.44
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 1:40pm ET $177.47 134 $23,780.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $170.76 134 $22,881.84 $22,984.92 $-899.14
(-3.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:25am ET $185.09 124 $22,950.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 11:25am ET $184.07 124 $22,824.68 $22,859.06 $-125.86
(-0.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 11:25am ET $169.17 135 $22,837.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $177.41 135 $23,950.35 $23,971.46 +$1,112.40
(+4.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.1h held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $180.84 132 $23,870.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 11:55am ET $175.38 132 $23,150.16 $23,251.40 $-720.06
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.4h held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 11:55am ET $171.19 135 $23,110.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:35am ET $165.88 135 $22,393.80 $22,534.55 $-716.85
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:45am ET $165.71 135 $22,370.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $169.72 135 $22,912.20 $23,075.90 +$541.35
(+2.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $170.13 135 $22,967.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 12:20pm ET $173.78 135 $23,460.30 $23,568.65 +$492.75
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 2:55pm ET $173.14 136 $23,547.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:50am ET $177.07 136 $24,082.20 $24,103.81 +$535.16
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
18.9h held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 12:15pm ET $175.65 137 $24,064.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:50am ET $179.26 137 $24,557.95 $24,597.71 +$493.90
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 10:00am ET $182.79 134 $24,493.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:40am ET $189.54 134 $25,398.37 $25,502.22 +$904.51
(+3.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $25,502.22
Net Profit/Loss: +$15,502.22
Total Return: +155.02%
Back to Rebel Contraire