Compendium › Rebel Contraire › PM
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PM
Alpaca Tradeable

Rebel Contraire's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 23 trades in period

+11.36%
Last 3 Months Return
$15,029.86
Current Value
57%
Win Rate
$13,496.63
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:38:37

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
71.8 overbought
20d Trend
+12.7%
5d Trend
+2.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.0%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
97%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

38
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.0/35
Total Return
14.2/25
Win Rate
6.2/15
Profit Factor
2.0/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 38.0/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 37.9

30-Day Momentum

14
+1.6%
30d Return
43%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 18.2 Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-24 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,496.63
Current Value
$15,029.86
Period P&L
$1,533.22
Max Drawdown
-19.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.21

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
23
Winners / Losers
13 / 10
Best Trade
+4.97%
Worst Trade
-3.96%
Avg Trade Return
+0.53%
Avg Hold Time
2.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$661,527.72
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,533.22
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,533.22
Gross Return
+11.36%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.36%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 23 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $13,496.63 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 3:00pm ET $177.24 75 $13,293.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $181.59 75 $13,619.36 $13,765.63 +$326.36
(+2.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 10:55am ET $179.99 76 $13,679.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 10:50am ET $183.90 76 $13,976.43 $14,062.82 +$297.19
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 2:10pm ET $178.78 78 $13,944.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 11:05am ET $182.66 78 $14,247.48 $14,365.46 +$302.64
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
20.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 1:55pm ET $184.34 77 $14,193.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $189.29 77 $14,575.33 $14,746.92 +$381.46
(+2.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
19.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:35am ET $186.26 79 $14,714.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:50am ET $178.89 79 $14,132.11 $14,164.89 $-582.03
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 10:10am ET $182.50 77 $14,052.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 2:20pm ET $176.84 77 $13,616.68 $13,729.07 $-435.82
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 2:20pm ET $179.72 76 $13,658.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET $184.18 76 $13,997.68 $14,068.03 +$338.96
(+2.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
19.2h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 10:05am ET $192.84 72 $13,884.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 9:35am ET $197.28 72 $14,204.16 $14,387.71 +$319.68
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 10:20am ET $192.81 74 $14,267.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $202.40 74 $14,977.60 $15,097.37 +$709.66
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 10:05am ET $199.65 75 $14,973.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:50am ET $193.37 75 $14,502.75 $14,626.37 $-471.00
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 12:20pm ET $192.68 75 $14,451.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $185.99 75 $13,949.00 $14,124.37 $-502.00
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 10:15am ET $186.78 75 $14,008.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $191.14 75 $14,335.50 $14,451.37 +$327.00
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 10:35am ET $188.71 76 $14,341.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 10:35am ET $185.63 76 $14,107.88 $14,217.29 $-234.08
(-1.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 12:25pm ET $189.26 75 $14,194.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 12:25pm ET $188.83 75 $14,162.25 $14,185.05 $-32.24
(-0.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 1:10pm ET $188.30 75 $14,122.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 11:30am ET $192.37 75 $14,427.75 $14,490.30 +$305.25
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 11:35am ET $188.29 76 $14,310.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 10:50am ET $192.38 76 $14,621.26 $14,801.14 +$310.84
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 11:35am ET $188.29 76 $14,310.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $194.57 76 $14,787.32 $15,278.04 +$476.90
(+3.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 12:10pm ET $191.80 79 $15,152.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 12:10pm ET $190.20 79 $15,025.41 $15,150.85 $-127.19
(-0.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 12:10pm ET $191.80 79 $15,152.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $188.49 79 $14,890.71 $14,888.97 $-261.88
(-1.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 11:55am ET $184.03 80 $14,722.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 11:55am ET $183.90 80 $14,712.00 $14,878.54 $-10.43
(-0.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 11:55am ET $189.37 78 $14,770.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:35am ET $193.33 78 $15,079.74 $15,187.42 +$308.88
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21.7h held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 10:15am ET $194.10 78 $15,140.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $188.26 78 $14,684.67 $14,731.90 $-455.52
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 12:25pm ET $187.54 78 $14,628.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 3:25pm ET $191.36 78 $14,926.08 $15,029.86 +$297.96
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,029.86
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,029.86
Total Return: +50.30%
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