Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-07-26 19:35:16

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
26
Fear
VIX
18.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.71%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
71.8 overbought
20d Trend
+12.7%
5d Trend
+2.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.0%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
97%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Jul 26, 2026

34
Lifetime
Confidence: 95%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.4/35
Total Return
13.5/25
Win Rate
6.5/15
Profit Factor
1.8/15
Consistency
6.8/10
Raw Quality 36.0/100
× Confidence 0.95 = 34.3

30-Day Momentum

33
+5.4%
30d Return
80%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 47.0 Conf: 0.70×
Cooling (-1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (95%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-27 → 2026-07-24
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,344.64
Current Value
$14,164.89
Period P&L
$820.25
Max Drawdown
-19.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.15

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
19
Winners / Losers
12 / 7
Best Trade
+2.69%
Worst Trade
-3.96%
Avg Trade Return
+0.36%
Avg Hold Time
2.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$532,080.55
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$820.25
Net P&L (after fees)
$820.25
Gross Return
+6.15%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.15%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 19 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $13,344.64 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 1:50pm ET $163.76 81 $13,264.56
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 1:50pm ET $164.63 81 $13,335.03 $13,383.12 +$70.47
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 2:05pm ET $164.62 81 $13,334.22
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:40am ET $168.37 81 $13,637.57 $13,686.47 +$303.35
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
3 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:50am ET $168.07 81 $13,614.07
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 3:10pm ET $171.52 81 $13,893.12 $13,965.52 +$279.05
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held
4 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 3:25pm ET $170.68 81 $13,825.48
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:35am ET $174.60 81 $14,143.00 $14,283.04 +$317.52
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
5 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 10:35am ET $183.87 77 $14,157.99
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 11:30am ET $187.75 77 $14,456.75 $14,581.80 +$298.76
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
55m held
6 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 12:20pm ET $187.84 77 $14,463.68
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 11:30am ET $192.49 77 $14,822.11 $14,940.23 +$358.43
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held
7 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 11:45am ET $191.13 78 $14,907.75
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 11:45am ET $189.05 78 $14,745.90 $14,778.38 $-161.85
(-1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
8 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 12:55pm ET $188.75 78 $14,722.50
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 10:25am ET $182.81 78 $14,259.18 $14,315.06 $-463.32
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
9 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 1:05pm ET $181.39 78 $14,148.42
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:40am ET $175.66 78 $13,701.87 $13,868.51 $-446.55
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:40am ET $174.47 79 $13,783.13
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:55am ET $178.85 79 $14,128.76 $14,214.14 +$345.63
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 10:50am ET $178.45 79 $14,097.55
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:55am ET $172.73 79 $13,645.28 $13,761.87 $-452.27
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 10:30am ET $180.48 76 $13,716.48
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $184.27 76 $14,004.90 $14,050.29 +$288.42
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23h held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 10:10am ET $183.46 76 $13,942.96
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 10:10am ET $181.24 76 $13,774.24 $13,881.57 $-168.72
(-1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 11:35am ET $179.35 77 $13,810.27
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 1:35pm ET $173.61 77 $13,367.97 $13,439.27 $-442.30
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 3:00pm ET $177.24 75 $13,293.00
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $181.59 75 $13,619.36 $13,765.63 +$326.36
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 10:55am ET $179.99 76 $13,679.24
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 10:50am ET $183.90 76 $13,976.43 $14,062.82 +$297.19
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 2:10pm ET $178.78 78 $13,944.84
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 11:05am ET $182.66 78 $14,247.48 $14,365.46 +$302.64
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.9h held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 1:55pm ET $184.34 77 $14,193.87
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $189.29 77 $14,575.33 $14,746.92 +$381.46
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.6h held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:35am ET $186.26 79 $14,714.15
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:50am ET $178.89 79 $14,132.11 $14,164.89 $-582.03
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,164.89
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,164.89
Total Return: +41.65%
Back to Rebel Contraire