Compendium › Rebel Contraire › SLV
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SLV
Alpaca Tradeable

Rebel Contraire's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 24 trades in period

+20.47%
Last 3 Months Return
$14,730.49
Current Value
71%
Win Rate
$12,227.97
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:03:41

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
38.5 neutral
20d Trend
-12.5%
5d Trend
-40.4%
EMA20 Dist
-22.1%
ATR%
14.8%
Range Pos
32%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

37
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.9/35
Total Return
14.0/25
Win Rate
7.1/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 37.3/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 37.2

30-Day Momentum

28
+3.4%
30d Return
63%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 34.0 Conf: 0.81×
Cooling (-10 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,227.97
Current Value
$14,730.49
Period P&L
$2,502.54
Max Drawdown
-18.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.32

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
24
Winners / Losers
17 / 7
Best Trade
+4.63%
Worst Trade
-3.72%
Avg Trade Return
+0.81%
Avg Hold Time
2.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$633,632.77
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,502.54
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,502.54
Gross Return
+20.47%
Net Return (after fees)
+20.47%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SLV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 24 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $12,227.97 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 11:00am ET $53.42 228 $12,179.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 10:20am ET $54.54 228 $12,434.82 $12,483.01 +$255.06
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 10:45am ET $54.53 228 $12,432.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 9:35am ET $55.71 228 $12,701.88 $12,752.05 +$269.04
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 10:00am ET $55.89 228 $12,742.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 3:15pm ET $54.03 228 $12,318.84 $12,327.97 $-424.08
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 10:15am ET $54.26 227 $12,317.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:45am ET $52.58 227 $11,936.79 $11,947.75 $-380.22
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:55am ET $53.40 223 $11,908.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 12:15pm ET $51.79 223 $11,549.17 $11,588.72 $-359.03
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 12:15pm ET $50.54 229 $11,572.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 11:05am ET $51.70 229 $11,839.30 $11,855.07 +$266.35
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 11:45am ET $53.24 222 $11,818.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 9:45am ET $54.40 222 $12,077.91 $12,114.80 +$259.74
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 11:25am ET $51.88 233 $12,086.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 10:30am ET $52.97 233 $12,340.85 $12,368.77 +$253.97
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 10:15am ET $54.26 227 $12,317.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $52.24 227 $11,858.48 $11,910.23 $-458.54
(-3.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:40am ET $51.63 230 $11,873.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $54.01 230 $12,423.45 $12,459.93 +$549.70
(+4.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 10:55am ET $56.22 221 $12,424.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET $57.98 221 $12,813.58 $12,848.89 +$388.96
(+3.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 9:50am ET $57.72 222 $12,813.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 12:10pm ET $58.96 222 $13,088.01 $13,123.06 +$274.17
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 1:30pm ET $58.52 224 $13,108.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 9:50am ET $59.75 224 $13,383.57 $13,398.56 +$275.50
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
20.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 9:55am ET $58.65 228 $13,371.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 10:25am ET $59.82 228 $13,638.96 $13,666.46 +$267.90
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 10:35am ET $58.46 233 $13,620.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 12:10pm ET $59.63 233 $13,894.12 $13,940.56 +$274.10
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 12:20pm ET $61.53 226 $13,904.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET $62.88 226 $14,210.88 $14,246.79 +$306.23
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21.2h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 10:45am ET $62.26 228 $14,195.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $63.93 228 $14,576.88 $14,628.39 +$381.60
(+2.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:45am ET $59.96 243 $14,570.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 2:30pm ET $58.15 243 $14,131.66 $14,189.77 $-438.62
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:45am ET $59.69 237 $14,146.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:15am ET $60.89 237 $14,430.93 $14,474.18 +$284.40
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 11:55am ET $59.83 241 $14,419.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $61.19 241 $14,746.79 $14,801.96 +$327.78
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 10:45am ET $58.09 254 $14,754.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 10:45am ET $57.10 254 $14,503.53 $14,550.63 $-251.33
(-1.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 12:00pm ET $58.30 249 $14,516.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:10pm ET $56.54 249 $14,078.48 $14,112.42 $-438.21
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.2h held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 3:20pm ET $58.97 239 $14,092.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 12:35pm ET $60.22 239 $14,392.58 $14,412.37 +$299.95
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 3:50pm ET $59.66 241 $14,378.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 3:30pm ET $60.98 241 $14,696.18 $14,730.49 +$318.12
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,730.49
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,730.49
Total Return: +47.30%
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