Compendium › Rebel Contraire › SNOW
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SNOW
Alpaca Tradeable

Rebel Contraire's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 29 trades in period

+32.13%
Last 3 Months Return
$27,697.50
Current Value
62%
Win Rate
$20,962.91
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:31:02

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
15.5 oversold
20d Trend
-26.5%
5d Trend
-20.2%
EMA20 Dist
-19.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

50
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
15.1/35
Total Return
18.7/25
Win Rate
7.6/15
Profit Factor
3.4/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 50.5/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 50.3

30-Day Momentum

58
+20.2%
30d Return
56%
Win Rate
9
Trades
2.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 68.8 Conf: 0.84×
Steady (+8 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$20,962.91
Current Value
$27,697.50
Period P&L
$6,734.59
Max Drawdown
-41.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.18

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
29
Winners / Losers
18 / 11
Best Trade
+23.51%
Worst Trade
-4.37%
Avg Trade Return
+0.90%
Avg Hold Time
1.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,335,775.61
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$6,734.59
Net P&L (after fees)
$6,734.59
Gross Return
+32.13%
Net Return (after fees)
+32.13%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SNOW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 29 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $20,962.91 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 3:40pm ET $231.12 95 $21,956.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $222.79 95 $21,164.58 $21,353.12 $-791.82
(-3.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $225.01 94 $21,150.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:40am ET $230.18 94 $21,637.39 $21,840.04 +$486.92
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
10m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 11:05am ET $252.25 86 $21,693.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 9:35am ET $259.00 86 $22,274.00 $22,420.20 +$580.16
(+2.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 11:50am ET $258.14 86 $22,200.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $263.54 86 $22,664.44 $22,884.60 +$464.40
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 1:05pm ET $269.46 84 $22,635.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $257.68 84 $21,645.54 $21,895.08 $-989.52
(-4.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 10:10am ET $261.46 83 $21,701.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 3:45pm ET $266.73 83 $22,138.59 $22,332.49 +$437.41
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.6h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 9:45am ET $263.47 84 $22,131.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 10:25am ET $269.21 84 $22,613.64 $22,814.64 +$482.15
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
40m held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 11:15am ET $273.24 83 $22,678.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:50am ET $263.42 83 $21,863.86 $21,999.58 $-815.06
(-3.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 10:40am ET $269.44 81 $21,824.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:50am ET $274.86 81 $22,263.97 $22,438.91 +$439.33
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:50am ET $276.68 81 $22,411.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET $265.81 81 $21,530.61 $21,558.44 $-880.47
(-3.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 11:10am ET $261.85 82 $21,471.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 11:05am ET $267.26 82 $21,915.32 $22,002.06 +$443.62
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 2:05pm ET $271.02 81 $21,952.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:45am ET $262.57 81 $21,267.77 $21,317.61 $-684.45
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.7h held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 12:10pm ET $283.80 75 $21,285.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 1:00pm ET $290.71 75 $21,803.25 $21,835.86 +$518.25
(+2.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
50m held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 1:30pm ET $293.92 74 $21,750.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:40am ET $301.67 74 $22,323.58 $22,409.36 +$573.50
(+2.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
20.2h held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 10:10am ET $309.92 72 $22,313.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 10:45am ET $318.08 72 $22,902.12 $22,997.60 +$588.24
(+2.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 11:00am ET $317.70 72 $22,874.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $305.87 72 $22,022.64 $22,145.84 $-851.76
(-3.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.5h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 10:35am ET $325.31 68 $22,121.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:40am ET $334.90 68 $22,773.20 $22,797.96 +$652.12
(+2.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 10:20am ET $331.80 68 $22,562.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 9:35am ET $338.73 68 $23,033.98 $23,269.54 +$471.58
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 10:00am ET $335.74 69 $23,166.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $325.63 69 $22,468.47 $22,571.95 $-697.59
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET $322.11 70 $22,547.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 3:10pm ET $328.95 70 $23,026.85 $23,051.10 +$479.15
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 3:15pm ET $323.55 71 $22,972.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 1:30pm ET $313.59 71 $22,264.89 $22,343.94 $-707.16
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 1:50pm ET $315.18 70 $22,062.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:35am ET $324.85 70 $22,739.50 $23,020.84 +$676.90
(+3.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 9:55am ET $328.86 70 $23,020.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 2:30pm ET $318.33 70 $22,283.10 $22,283.74 $-737.10
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.2d held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 2:35pm ET $306.55 72 $22,071.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $378.60 72 $27,259.21 $27,471.71 +$5,187.97
(+23.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
18.9h held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 12:35pm ET $342.80 80 $27,424.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 11:15am ET $332.14 80 $26,571.20 $26,618.51 $-853.20
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 12:00pm ET $332.98 79 $26,305.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 10:00am ET $322.32 79 $25,462.89 $25,775.97 $-842.54
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 11:50am ET $334.74 77 $25,774.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:45am ET $341.91 77 $26,326.88 $26,327.87 +$551.90
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21.9h held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:45am ET $333.71 78 $26,029.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $343.39 78 $26,784.81 $27,083.30 +$755.43
(+2.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 10:25am ET $333.63 81 $27,023.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 11:15am ET $341.21 81 $27,637.82 $27,697.50 +$614.20
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
50m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $27,697.50
Net Profit/Loss: +$17,697.50
Total Return: +176.97%
Back to Rebel Contraire