Compendium › Rebel Contraire › SOFI
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SOFI
Alpaca Tradeable

Rebel Contraire's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 30 trades in period

+12.48%
Last 3 Months Return
$7,801.06
Current Value
63%
Win Rate
$6,935.62
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:36:59

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
14.6 oversold
20d Trend
-30.9%
5d Trend
-17.8%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.6%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 11.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 11.1

30-Day Momentum

31
+4.3%
30d Return
55%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 34.6 Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+20 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$6,935.62
Current Value
$7,801.06
Period P&L
$865.43
Max Drawdown
-43.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.15

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
30
Winners / Losers
19 / 11
Best Trade
+4.33%
Worst Trade
-5.04%
Avg Trade Return
+0.44%
Avg Hold Time
1.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$437,429.44
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$865.43
Net P&L (after fees)
$865.43
Gross Return
+12.48%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.48%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOFI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 30 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $6,935.62 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 12:30pm ET $17.42 398 $6,931.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 11:35am ET $17.77 398 $7,070.59 $7,075.04 +$139.42
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 12:30pm ET $17.85 396 $7,070.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 3:35pm ET $18.24 396 $7,221.06 $7,225.52 +$150.48
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 11:35am ET $18.46 391 $7,218.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $18.99 391 $7,423.14 $7,429.78 +$204.26
(+2.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 10:05am ET $18.75 396 $7,426.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 10:00am ET $18.15 396 $7,185.42 $7,188.22 $-241.56
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 10:20am ET $17.28 415 $7,173.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 3:40pm ET $17.65 415 $7,324.75 $7,339.90 +$151.68
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 9:50am ET $19.10 384 $7,336.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:50am ET $18.41 384 $7,070.98 $7,074.56 $-265.34
(-3.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 10:20am ET $18.61 380 $7,071.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 12:10pm ET $18.03 380 $6,853.30 $6,855.98 $-218.58
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 12:45pm ET $17.46 392 $6,844.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $16.58 392 $6,499.36 $6,510.86 $-345.12
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $17.25 377 $6,505.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $17.66 377 $6,655.94 $6,661.66 +$150.80
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.3d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 9:55am ET $16.79 396 $6,648.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $17.20 396 $6,813.18 $6,826.00 +$164.34
(+2.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 9:50am ET $16.22 420 $6,810.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 11:20am ET $16.63 420 $6,984.39 $6,999.67 +$173.67
(+2.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 12:10pm ET $15.10 463 $6,990.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 1:00pm ET $15.43 463 $7,141.78 $7,151.40 +$151.73
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
50m held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 2:05pm ET $16.13 443 $7,147.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $16.46 443 $7,291.78 $7,295.77 +$144.37
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
19.4h held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 9:35am ET $18.60 392 $7,291.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $17.93 392 $7,030.52 $7,035.05 $-260.72
(-3.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 10:55am ET $18.27 385 $7,033.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 10:35am ET $17.69 385 $6,812.57 $6,813.67 $-221.38
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 10:35am ET $18.07 377 $6,811.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 1:50pm ET $18.43 377 $6,949.99 $6,951.76 +$138.09
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.3h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 1:50pm ET $18.39 378 $6,949.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 9:35am ET $18.77 378 $7,095.06 $7,097.29 +$145.53
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 11:00am ET $18.00 394 $7,092.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 10:55am ET $18.40 394 $7,249.60 $7,254.85 +$157.56
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 11:15am ET $17.96 403 $7,237.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 9:40am ET $18.51 403 $7,459.57 $7,476.54 +$221.69
(+3.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:40am ET $18.52 403 $7,465.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 12:00pm ET $18.92 403 $7,622.75 $7,633.71 +$157.17
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 1:45pm ET $18.82 405 $7,620.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:45am ET $19.36 405 $7,842.82 $7,856.46 +$222.75
(+2.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
20h held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 10:05am ET $18.93 414 $7,839.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 12:25pm ET $18.33 414 $7,590.69 $7,608.06 $-248.40
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 12:25pm ET $17.82 427 $7,607.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 11:00am ET $17.26 427 $7,370.02 $7,371.07 $-236.99
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.6h held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 11:30am ET $17.78 414 $7,360.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $18.55 414 $7,679.74 $7,689.90 +$318.82
(+4.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22h held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $18.09 424 $7,672.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $17.98 424 $7,624.79 $7,642.41 $-47.49
(-0.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $17.04 448 $7,633.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 10:05am ET $17.39 448 $7,788.48 $7,796.97 +$154.56
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 11:00am ET $17.28 451 $7,795.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 12:50pm ET $17.69 451 $7,980.44 $7,981.88 +$184.91
(+2.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 2:40pm ET $17.25 462 $7,969.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:00pm ET $16.66 462 $7,696.92 $7,709.30 $-272.58
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 3:25pm ET $16.76 459 $7,692.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $17.49 459 $8,025.62 $8,042.08 +$332.78
(+4.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
30 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:45am ET $17.17 468 $8,033.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 3:00pm ET $16.65 468 $7,792.20 $7,801.06 $-241.02
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,801.06
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,198.94
Total Return: -21.99%
Back to Rebel Contraire