SOXL Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 44 trades in period
+31.52%
Last 3 Months Return
$27,104.18
Current Value
64%
Win Rate
$20,607.73
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
50.5 neutral
20d Trend
+69.9%
5d Trend
-8.4%
EMA20 Dist
+0.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
51
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
17.2/35
Total Return
18.4/25
Win Rate
7.7/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality
51.2/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 51.0
30-Day Momentum
91
+36.5%
30d Return
85%
Win Rate
13
Trades
4.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 95.7
Conf: 0.95×
Accelerating (+40 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$20,607.73
Current Value
$27,104.18
Period P&L
$6,496.50
Max Drawdown
-33.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.16
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
44
Winners / Losers
28 /
16
Best Trade
+14.11%
Worst Trade
-11.64%
Avg Trade Return
+0.73%
Avg Hold Time
11.7h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,770,263.31
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$6,496.50
Net P&L (after fees)
$6,496.50
Gross Return
+31.52%
Net Return (after fees)
+31.52%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SOXL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 44 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $20,607.73 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 2:20pm ET | $255.37 | 80 | $20,429.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 3:15pm ET | $247.07 | 80 | $19,765.60 | $19,943.67 |
$-664.01 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 9:55am ET | $208.85 | 95 | $19,840.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 10:10am ET | $195.23 | 95 | $18,546.38 | $18,649.30 |
$-1,294.38 (-6.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 10:55am ET | $258.36 | 72 | $18,601.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 12:15pm ET | $263.60 | 72 | $18,978.93 | $19,026.31 |
+$377.02 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 1:00pm ET | $223.74 | 85 | $19,017.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 2:50pm ET | $216.12 | 85 | $18,370.20 | $18,378.61 |
$-647.70 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 10:25am ET | $208.75 | 88 | $18,370.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 11:15am ET | $202.38 | 88 | $17,809.45 | $17,818.06 |
$-560.55 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 2:10pm ET | $167.05 | 106 | $17,707.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 2:55pm ET | $161.49 | 106 | $17,117.41 | $17,228.17 |
$-589.89 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 3:50pm ET | $173.59 | 99 | $17,185.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $198.08 | 99 | $19,609.92 | $19,652.43 |
+$2,424.26 (+14.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17.7h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 9:40am ET | $178.59 | 110 | $19,644.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 9:45am ET | $184.74 | 110 | $20,321.40 | $20,328.93 |
+$676.50 (+3.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 11:35am ET | $173.54 | 117 | $20,304.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 12:15pm ET | $168.30 | 117 | $19,691.10 | $19,715.85 |
$-613.08 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 2:45pm ET | $179.46 | 109 | $19,560.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 9:45am ET | $173.60 | 109 | $18,922.40 | $19,077.66 |
$-638.19 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 9:45am ET | $144.65 | 131 | $18,949.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 9:55am ET | $148.06 | 131 | $19,396.21 | $19,524.78 |
+$447.13 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 10:30am ET | $131.24 | 148 | $19,423.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 10:35am ET | $135.50 | 148 | $20,054.00 | $20,155.26 |
+$630.48 (+3.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 10:40am ET | $142.24 | 141 | $20,055.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 12:05pm ET | $145.93 | 141 | $20,575.57 | $20,675.69 |
+$520.43 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.4h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 3:10pm ET | $157.60 | 131 | $20,645.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 11:00am ET | $162.60 | 131 | $21,300.60 | $21,330.69 |
+$655.00 (+3.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 11:10am ET | $152.38 | 139 | $21,181.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 12:00pm ET | $155.77 | 139 | $21,652.03 | $21,801.67 |
+$470.97 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
50m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 12:35pm ET | $143.84 | 151 | $21,719.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 2:20pm ET | $139.30 | 151 | $21,034.30 | $21,116.46 |
$-685.21 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 10:15am ET | $102.15 | 206 | $21,043.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 10:25am ET | $104.41 | 206 | $21,508.36 | $21,580.89 |
+$464.43 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 11:15am ET | $97.64 | 221 | $21,578.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 11:50am ET | $94.55 | 221 | $20,895.55 | $20,898.00 |
$-682.89 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 12:00pm ET | $113.32 | 184 | $20,850.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 12:15pm ET | $116.28 | 184 | $21,395.52 | $21,443.52 |
+$545.52 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 2:05pm ET | $119.25 | 179 | $21,345.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $105.37 | 179 | $18,861.23 | $18,959.00 |
$-2,484.52 (-11.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 11:30am ET | $136.87 | 138 | $18,887.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 1:00pm ET | $139.97 | 138 | $19,315.86 | $19,387.33 |
+$428.33 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 1:05pm ET | $135.83 | 142 | $19,287.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $123.99 | 142 | $17,606.57 | $17,706.04 |
$-1,681.29 (-8.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.4h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 9:55am ET | $139.27 | 127 | $17,687.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 10:05am ET | $134.30 | 127 | $17,056.04 | $17,074.79 |
$-631.25 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 10:25am ET | $136.68 | 124 | $16,948.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $130.95 | 124 | $16,237.80 | $16,364.27 |
$-710.52 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.5h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 11:25am ET | $145.01 | 112 | $16,240.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 10:00am ET | $149.60 | 112 | $16,755.20 | $16,878.91 |
+$514.64 (+3.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.6h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 10:25am ET | $142.34 | 118 | $16,795.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $151.69 | 118 | $17,899.57 | $17,982.95 |
+$1,104.04 (+6.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $134.85 | 133 | $17,935.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 9:50am ET | $130.66 | 133 | $17,377.79 | $17,425.68 |
$-557.27 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 10:10am ET | $118.90 | 146 | $17,359.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 10:40am ET | $123.39 | 146 | $18,014.94 | $18,081.07 |
+$655.39 (+3.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
30m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 11:25am ET | $121.18 | 149 | $18,055.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $125.90 | 149 | $18,759.10 | $18,784.35 |
+$703.28 (+3.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.1h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $108.16 | 173 | $18,711.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 11:40am ET | $110.42 | 173 | $19,101.92 | $19,174.59 |
+$390.24 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 11:40am ET | $115.78 | 165 | $19,103.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $123.49 | 165 | $20,375.03 | $20,445.92 |
+$1,271.33 (+6.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 9:55am ET | $118.82 | 172 | $20,436.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 11:50am ET | $114.52 | 172 | $19,697.20 | $19,706.94 |
$-738.98 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 11:55am ET | $110.85 | 177 | $19,620.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $105.42 | 177 | $18,659.27 | $18,745.76 |
$-961.18 (-4.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.6h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 9:50am ET | $101.60 | 184 | $18,694.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 10:05am ET | $104.34 | 184 | $19,198.01 | $19,249.37 |
+$503.61 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 10:05am ET | $99.67 | 193 | $19,236.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 10:50am ET | $102.62 | 193 | $19,805.66 | $19,818.72 |
+$569.35 (+3.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
45m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 1:15pm ET | $116.45 | 170 | $19,796.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $125.77 | 170 | $21,380.90 | $21,403.12 |
+$1,584.40 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 9:45am ET | $124.55 | 171 | $21,298.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 10:00am ET | $127.10 | 171 | $21,733.25 | $21,838.31 |
+$435.19 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 11:55am ET | $118.24 | 184 | $21,756.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 9:45am ET | $121.49 | 184 | $22,354.16 | $22,436.31 |
+$598.00 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 10:55am ET | $100.76 | 222 | $22,368.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 11:35am ET | $103.58 | 222 | $22,995.87 | $23,063.46 |
+$627.15 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
40m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 12:35pm ET | $101.47 | 227 | $23,033.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $107.43 | 227 | $24,386.61 | $24,416.40 |
+$1,352.94 (+5.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.9h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 10:10am ET | $113.83 | 214 | $24,359.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $117.22 | 214 | $25,085.08 | $25,141.86 |
+$725.46 (+3.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 10:05am ET | $133.93 | 187 | $25,045.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 10:35am ET | $136.64 | 187 | $25,551.68 | $25,647.70 |
+$505.84 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
30m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 11:05am ET | $145.64 | 176 | $25,632.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 1:05pm ET | $148.61 | 176 | $26,155.36 | $26,170.91 |
+$523.21 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2026 12:05pm ET | $139.03 | 188 | $26,137.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 12:20pm ET | $143.99 | 188 | $27,070.89 | $27,104.18 |
+$933.27 (+3.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$27,104.18
Net Profit/Loss:
+$17,104.18
Total Return:
+171.04%