Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:34:41

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-2.6%
5d Trend
-2.0%
EMA20 Dist
-1.7%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
54%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

55
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
20.4/35
Total Return
14.6/25
Win Rate
9.0/15
Profit Factor
4.8/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 55.5/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 55.1

30-Day Momentum

3
-0.5%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-52 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$764.27
Current Value
$15,637.57
Period P&L
$126.53
Max Drawdown
-9.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.12

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
8 / 8
Best Trade
+2.01%
Worst Trade
-1.81%
Avg Trade Return
+0.13%
Avg Hold Time
7.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$490,943.89
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$126.53
Net P&L (after fees)
$126.53
Gross Return
+16.56%
Net Return (after fees)
+16.56%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SPY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $764.27 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:35am ET $733.64 20 $14,672.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $738.68 20 $14,773.60 $15,463.84 +$100.80
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:35am ET $733.64 20 $14,672.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $748.39 20 $14,967.80 $15,758.84 +$295.00
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
13d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:55am ET $748.82 21 $15,725.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $753.42 21 $15,821.92 $15,855.54 +$96.70
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 10:45am ET $750.89 21 $15,768.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $748.05 21 $15,709.05 $15,795.90 $-59.64
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 12:45pm ET $748.49 21 $15,718.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $744.66 21 $15,637.76 $15,715.37 $-80.53
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:55am ET $748.82 21 $15,725.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $735.23 21 $15,439.83 $15,429.98 $-285.39
(-1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:50am ET $742.06 20 $14,841.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 1:25pm ET $756.98 20 $15,139.70 $15,728.52 +$298.54
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 2:00pm ET $771.44 20 $15,428.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET $773.01 20 $15,460.10 $15,759.82 +$31.30
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 10:15am ET $773.77 20 $15,475.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET $776.48 20 $15,529.60 $15,814.02 +$54.20
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $768.05 20 $15,361.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $763.45 20 $15,269.00 $15,722.02 $-92.00
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $768.05 20 $15,361.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $765.12 20 $15,302.40 $15,663.42 $-58.60
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
8d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:30am ET $770.17 20 $15,403.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 11:30am ET $763.62 20 $15,272.40 $15,532.42 $-131.00
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:30am ET $770.17 20 $15,403.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $772.58 20 $15,451.65 $15,580.67 +$48.25
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 1:00pm ET $770.79 20 $15,415.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 1:00pm ET $762.58 20 $15,251.60 $15,416.47 $-164.20
(-1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 1:25pm ET $758.57 20 $15,171.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 1:25pm ET $756.78 20 $15,135.60 $15,380.67 $-35.80
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 1:40pm ET $759.52 20 $15,190.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 1:40pm ET $772.36 20 $15,447.20 $15,637.57 +$256.90
(+1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,637.57
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,637.57
Total Return: +56.38%
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