Compendium › Rebel Contraire › SQQQ
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SQQQ
Alpaca Tradeable

Rebel Contraire's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 30 trades in period

+38.53%
Last 3 Months Return
$8,033.23
Current Value
73%
Win Rate
$5,798.91
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:07:34

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+22.2%
EMA20 Dist
+12.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
70%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 10.5/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 10.4

30-Day Momentum

39
+6.5%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 48.5 Conf: 0.81×
Accelerating (+29 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$5,798.91
Current Value
$8,033.23
Period P&L
$2,234.43
Max Drawdown
-53.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.38

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
30
Winners / Losers
22 / 8
Best Trade
+5.48%
Worst Trade
-4.91%
Avg Trade Return
+1.14%
Avg Hold Time
1.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$416,282.67
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,234.43
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,234.43
Gross Return
+38.53%
Net Return (after fees)
+38.53%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 30 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $5,798.91 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 10:30am ET $39.55 146 $5,774.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 1:20pm ET $40.66 146 $5,936.36 $5,960.18 +$161.37
(+2.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 10:00am ET $40.38 147 $5,935.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $41.34 147 $6,076.98 $6,101.30 +$141.12
(+2.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.9h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 9:35am ET $37.61 162 $6,092.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 12:10pm ET $36.47 162 $5,907.56 $5,916.04 $-185.26
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 1:15pm ET $37.41 158 $5,910.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 10:25am ET $38.44 158 $6,073.52 $6,078.78 +$162.74
(+2.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 10:50am ET $37.87 160 $6,059.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $39.70 160 $6,352.00 $6,371.58 +$292.80
(+4.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:45am ET $40.48 157 $6,355.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 10:50am ET $41.32 157 $6,486.67 $6,502.89 +$131.31
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 11:05am ET $38.60 168 $6,484.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:40am ET $39.45 168 $6,627.08 $6,645.17 +$142.28
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 10:30am ET $38.70 171 $6,617.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 12:00pm ET $39.62 171 $6,775.02 $6,802.49 +$157.32
(+2.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:55am ET $43.15 157 $6,775.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 12:45pm ET $41.80 157 $6,562.60 $6,589.75 $-212.73
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 1:25pm ET $41.92 157 $6,580.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 11:05am ET $40.51 157 $6,360.85 $6,369.95 $-219.80
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.7h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 11:05am ET $40.40 157 $6,343.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $42.62 157 $6,691.34 $6,717.71 +$347.76
(+5.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 10:50am ET $44.49 150 $6,674.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 10:25am ET $45.72 150 $6,858.75 $6,902.21 +$184.50
(+2.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 10:45am ET $46.87 147 $6,889.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 10:10am ET $47.88 147 $7,039.09 $7,051.41 +$149.20
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 10:20am ET $45.22 155 $7,009.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $43.03 155 $6,669.65 $6,711.96 $-339.45
(-4.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 10:25am ET $42.51 157 $6,674.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 2:05pm ET $41.19 157 $6,466.81 $6,503.92 $-208.04
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.7h held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 2:15pm ET $37.29 174 $6,489.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $39.29 174 $6,836.48 $6,851.40 +$347.48
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 11:05am ET $37.74 181 $6,830.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 2:30pm ET $38.49 181 $6,967.59 $6,988.05 +$136.65
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 2:40pm ET $37.06 188 $6,968.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 10:30am ET $35.90 188 $6,750.14 $6,770.16 $-217.89
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.8h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 12:00pm ET $36.47 185 $6,746.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $37.88 185 $7,007.80 $7,031.01 +$260.85
(+3.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 9:35am ET $37.92 185 $7,016.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:50am ET $38.76 185 $7,170.60 $7,185.48 +$154.47
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
15m held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 12:40pm ET $39.15 183 $7,163.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $40.14 183 $7,345.62 $7,367.56 +$182.08
(+2.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 12:40pm ET $39.15 183 $7,163.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $39.80 183 $7,283.40 $7,487.42 +$119.86
(+1.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:40am ET $38.52 194 $7,472.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $40.08 194 $7,775.52 $7,790.06 +$302.64
(+4.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 10:05am ET $40.11 194 $7,781.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:00am ET $38.72 194 $7,512.65 $7,521.41 $-268.65
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 12:50pm ET $38.10 197 $7,506.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 11:25am ET $38.95 197 $7,672.93 $7,688.35 +$166.94
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 12:45pm ET $39.56 194 $7,673.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $40.74 194 $7,903.56 $7,918.24 +$229.89
(+3.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:45am ET $39.82 198 $7,884.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 10:55am ET $40.66 198 $8,050.09 $8,083.95 +$165.71
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 11:00am ET $39.54 204 $8,066.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 2:55pm ET $40.37 204 $8,235.50 $8,253.27 +$169.32
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.9h held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 3:05pm ET $38.57 214 $8,252.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $36.67 214 $7,847.38 $7,847.72 $-405.55
(-4.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
30 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:40am ET $34.19 229 $7,829.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $35.00 229 $8,015.00 $8,033.23 +$185.51
(+2.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,033.23
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,966.77
Total Return: -19.67%
Back to Rebel Contraire