Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:04:41

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.6 oversold
20d Trend
-49.9%
5d Trend
-45.7%
EMA20 Dist
-41.0%
ATR%
16.2%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 4, 2026

36
Lifetime
Confidence: 20%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.5/35
Total Return
1.0/25
Win Rate
65.0/15
Profit Factor
15.0/15
Consistency
0.8/10
Raw Quality 179.5/100
× Confidence 0.20 = 35.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (20%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
25,807
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
90 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$977.32
Current Value
$771.67
Period P&L
$-314.87
Max Drawdown
-99.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.14

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
41
Winners / Losers
21 / 20
Best Trade
+4.77%
Worst Trade
-7.53%
Avg Trade Return
-0.43%
Avg Hold Time
10h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$65,428.67
Estimated Fees
$163.57
Gross P&L
$-314.87
Net P&L (after fees)
$-478.44
Gross Return
-32.22%
Net Return (after fees)
-48.95%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

💸 Capital Refund History

When capital drops below $100, the simulation automatically refunds to $10,000 and continues. This ensures continuous data collection even for strategies that experience significant losses.

# Date Capital Before Trades Before Era Fees Paid Reason
1 Nov 2, 2024 $97.24 746 $9,244.66 CAPITAL_EXHAUSTED
2 Sep 1, 2025 $98.16 1,693 $13,962.91 CAPITAL_EXHAUSTED

⚠️ Note: This simulation has been refunded 2 times. Total capital invested: $30,000. The return percentage accounts for all refunds.

📚 Strategy Crash History — Learning from Failures

Each "era" below represents a period where the strategy ran until it crashed (capital < $100). Study these to understand how this strategy can fail and what market conditions caused the losses.

💀 Era 1 — CRASHED
Jan 1, 2024 → Nov 2, 2024
Trades
746
Win Rate
58.7%
P&L
$-9,902.72
Fees Paid
$9,244.66
Return
-99.0%
Started
$10,000
Crashed At
$97.24
Crash Reason: CAPITAL_EXHAUSTED
💀 Era 2 — CRASHED
Nov 2, 2024 → Sep 1, 2025
Trades
947
Win Rate
59.7%
P&L
$-9,999.09
Fees Paid
$13,962.91
Return
-99.0%
Started
$10,097
Crashed At
$98.16
Crash Reason: CAPITAL_EXHAUSTED

📖 Learning Tip: Look for patterns in the crash history. Did the strategy fail during high volatility? Extended trends? Specific market conditions? Understanding how strategies die helps you know when NOT to use them in real trading.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UNIUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 90 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 41 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $977.32 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 6:40pm ET $3.19 311 $991.88
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET $2.95 311 $917.18 $912.41 $-79.47
(-7.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:15pm ET $2.92 312 $912.41
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:25pm ET $2.98 312 $932.41 $927.80 +$15.39
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
12m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:15pm ET $3.18 292 $927.80
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:50pm ET $3.07 292 $895.67 $891.11 $-36.68
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 1:20am ET $3.24 275 $891.11
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 5:30am ET $3.31 275 $908.97 $904.47 +$13.36
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 7:05am ET $3.32 272 $904.47
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 8:40am ET $3.39 272 $922.99 $918.42 +$13.95
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:05am ET $3.36 273 $918.42
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 10:30am ET $3.43 273 $938.37 $933.72 +$15.31
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.4h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 3:45pm ET $3.54 263 $933.72
🔴 SELL Feb 7, 2026 5:35am ET $3.43 263 $903.95 $899.36 $-34.37
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 7, 2026 8:10am ET $3.51 256 $899.36
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:30am ET $3.39 256 $867.47 $863.05 $-36.31
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 4:00am ET $3.40 254 $863.05
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 11:40am ET $3.47 254 $880.33 $875.97 +$12.92
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.7h held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 12:50pm ET $3.53 248 $875.97
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:15pm ET $3.41 248 $847.82 $843.51 $-32.46
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9.4h held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 11:40pm ET $3.42 247 $843.51
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $3.39 247 $836.63 $832.43 $-11.08
(-0.8%)
📅 Sim Ended
12.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 12:50pm ET $3.38 246 $832.43
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 1:05am ET $3.27 246 $805.11 $805.11 $-31.41
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 1:10am ET $3.26 247 $805.11
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 8:55am ET $3.39 247 $838.39 $838.39 +$29.17
(+4.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:20am ET $4.13 203 $838.39
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:35am ET $4.00 203 $810.80 $810.80 $-31.71
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 10:05am ET $3.84 211 $810.80
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 12:00pm ET $3.66 211 $773.45 $773.45 $-41.31
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 1:00pm ET $3.54 218 $773.45
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 6:20pm ET $3.42 218 $745.57 $745.57 $-31.68
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.3h held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 16, 2026 11:35am ET $3.46 215 $745.57
🔴 SELL Feb 16, 2026 3:30pm ET $3.53 215 $760.99 $760.99 +$11.65
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9h held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 16, 2026 5:25pm ET $3.56 213 $760.99
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 1:45pm ET $3.44 213 $734.64 $734.64 $-30.08
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 2:35pm ET $3.40 216 $734.64
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 11:05am ET $3.47 216 $749.77 $749.77 +$11.42
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 7:30pm ET $3.49 215 $749.77
🔴 SELL Feb 21, 2026 12:05am ET $3.56 215 $765.26 $765.26 +$11.70
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.6h held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 21, 2026 6:05pm ET $3.61 212 $765.26
🔴 SELL Feb 22, 2026 7:25am ET $3.50 212 $741.94 $741.94 $-27.09
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.3h held
22 🟢 BUY Feb 22, 2026 8:40am ET $3.49 213 $741.94
🔴 SELL Feb 22, 2026 8:10pm ET $3.36 213 $715.97 $715.97 $-29.62
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11.5h held
23 🟢 BUY Feb 22, 2026 8:25pm ET $3.28 218 $715.97
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 1:15am ET $3.36 218 $732.98 $732.98 +$13.39
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8h held
24 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 6:35am ET $3.44 213 $732.98
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 12:30pm ET $3.33 213 $708.89 $708.89 $-27.70
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9h held
25 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 2:00pm ET $3.33 213 $708.89
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 11:05am ET $3.40 213 $723.80 $723.80 +$11.32
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.1h held
26 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 2:20pm ET $3.35 216 $723.80
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 8:15pm ET $3.46 216 $748.47 $748.47 +$20.99
(+3.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.9h held
27 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 11:50pm ET $3.48 215 $748.47
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 5:15am ET $3.55 215 $763.51 $763.51 +$11.26
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.4h held
28 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 3:15pm ET $4.06 188 $763.51
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 5:05pm ET $4.26 188 $799.96 $799.96 +$32.54
(+4.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
29 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 5:40pm ET $4.15 193 $799.96
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 6:30pm ET $4.02 193 $774.52 $774.52 $-29.38
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
30 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 12:10am ET $4.02 193 $774.52
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 9:45am ET $3.90 193 $750.07 $750.07 $-28.26
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9.6h held
31 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:50am ET $3.81 197 $750.07
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 5:40pm ET $3.89 197 $765.22 $765.22 +$11.36
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.8h held
32 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 1:10am ET $3.91 196 $765.22
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 5:15am ET $3.79 196 $742.13 $742.13 $-26.86
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1h held
33 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 6:10am ET $3.79 196 $742.13
🔴 SELL Feb 28, 2026 1:20am ET $3.67 196 $719.61 $719.61 $-26.18
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.2h held
34 🟢 BUY Feb 28, 2026 1:35am ET $3.61 199 $719.61
🔴 SELL Feb 28, 2026 2:40am ET $3.69 199 $734.56 $734.56 +$11.31
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1h held
35 🟢 BUY Feb 28, 2026 4:40am ET $3.59 205 $734.56
🔴 SELL Feb 28, 2026 8:55am ET $3.67 205 $752.17 $752.17 +$13.89
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.3h held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 28, 2026 11:05am ET $3.65 206 $752.17
🔴 SELL Feb 28, 2026 1:30pm ET $3.72 206 $767.65 $767.65 +$11.68
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.4h held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 28, 2026 4:00pm ET $3.82 201 $767.65
🔴 SELL Feb 28, 2026 8:50pm ET $3.90 201 $784.14 $784.14 +$12.61
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8h held
38 🟢 BUY Feb 28, 2026 10:10pm ET $3.90 201 $784.14
🔴 SELL Mar 1, 2026 2:05am ET $3.78 201 $760.04 $760.04 $-27.96
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9h held
39 🟢 BUY Mar 1, 2026 4:35am ET $3.79 201 $760.04
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:50am ET $3.88 201 $779.92 $779.92 +$16.03
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
40 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 12:00pm ET $3.98 196 $779.92
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 12:05am ET $3.86 196 $756.04 $756.04 $-27.72
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12.1h held
41 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 12:45am ET $3.87 195 $756.04
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 8:55pm ET $3.95 195 $771.67 $771.67 +$11.81
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
+ 2 refunds ($20,000)
Total Invested: $30,000.00
Ended with: $771.67
Net Profit/Loss: $-29,228.33
Total Return: -97.43%
Back to Rebel Contraire