USO Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 30 trades in period
+37.57%
Last 3 Months Return
$15,050.64
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$10,940.42
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
55.8 neutral
20d Trend
+3.7%
5d Trend
-4.0%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
9/1
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
35
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
5.5/35
Total Return
14.0/25
Win Rate
7.9/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality
34.8/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 34.6
30-Day Momentum
58
+15.5%
30d Return
70%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 66.4
Conf: 0.87×
Accelerating (+23 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,940.42
Current Value
$15,050.64
Period P&L
$4,110.23
Max Drawdown
-29.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.23
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
30
Winners / Losers
20 /
10
Best Trade
+14.17%
Worst Trade
-6.85%
Avg Trade Return
+1.00%
Avg Hold Time
2.8d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$728,346.48
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,110.23
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,110.23
Gross Return
+37.57%
Net Return (after fees)
+37.57%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 USO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 30 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $10,940.42 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 9:40am ET | $112.04 | 102 | $11,427.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $106.45 | 102 | $10,857.90 | $10,958.76 |
$-570.08 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 11:30am ET | $108.21 | 101 | $10,929.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 10:35am ET | $104.89 | 101 | $10,593.89 | $10,623.44 |
$-335.32 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 11:30am ET | $106.95 | 99 | $10,588.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 10:50am ET | $103.65 | 99 | $10,261.35 | $10,296.62 |
$-326.82 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 11:35am ET | $102.64 | 100 | $10,264.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 10:30am ET | $104.77 | 100 | $10,476.60 | $10,508.72 |
+$212.10 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 10:45am ET | $106.29 | 98 | $10,416.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 3:05pm ET | $108.84 | 98 | $10,666.32 | $10,758.61 |
+$249.89 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.3h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 3:15pm ET | $111.56 | 96 | $10,709.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 11:20am ET | $108.18 | 96 | $10,385.28 | $10,434.13 |
$-324.48 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 11:25am ET | $113.14 | 92 | $10,408.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 1:30pm ET | $115.64 | 92 | $10,638.87 | $10,664.12 |
+$229.99 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 3:45pm ET | $120.08 | 88 | $10,567.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $123.06 | 88 | $10,829.28 | $10,926.36 |
+$262.24 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.7d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 10:35am ET | $123.79 | 88 | $10,893.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 2:45pm ET | $126.50 | 88 | $11,132.00 | $11,164.84 |
+$238.48 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.2h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 10:40am ET | $131.76 | 84 | $11,068.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $138.35 | 84 | $11,621.40 | $11,717.99 |
+$553.15 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 10:05am ET | $136.57 | 85 | $11,608.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $128.06 | 85 | $10,884.93 | $10,994.47 |
$-723.52 (-6.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $123.07 | 89 | $10,953.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 11:55am ET | $119.32 | 89 | $10,619.49 | $10,660.73 |
$-333.74 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 3:15pm ET | $111.56 | 96 | $10,709.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $127.37 | 96 | $12,227.84 | $12,178.81 |
+$1,518.08 (+14.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.8d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 10:25am ET | $129.55 | 94 | $12,177.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $120.68 | 94 | $11,343.92 | $11,345.08 |
$-833.73 (-6.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $116.51 | 97 | $11,301.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 11:55am ET | $118.95 | 97 | $11,538.15 | $11,581.76 |
+$236.68 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 12:10pm ET | $119.80 | 96 | $11,500.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $122.39 | 96 | $11,749.45 | $11,830.41 |
+$248.65 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 9:45am ET | $124.75 | 94 | $11,726.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 1:30pm ET | $127.31 | 94 | $11,967.15 | $12,071.43 |
+$241.02 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 1:50pm ET | $127.01 | 95 | $12,065.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 1:35pm ET | $129.68 | 95 | $12,319.60 | $12,325.08 |
+$253.65 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 1:40pm ET | $130.73 | 94 | $12,288.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $134.80 | 94 | $12,671.20 | $12,707.66 |
+$382.58 (+3.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 9:45am ET | $134.73 | 94 | $12,664.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $128.17 | 94 | $12,047.76 | $12,090.80 |
$-616.86 (-4.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $125.43 | 96 | $12,041.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 11:30am ET | $128.10 | 96 | $12,297.60 | $12,347.12 |
+$256.32 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 2:20pm ET | $129.93 | 95 | $12,342.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $133.89 | 95 | $12,719.55 | $12,723.79 |
+$376.67 (+3.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 10:05am ET | $136.87 | 92 | $12,592.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 12:30pm ET | $139.76 | 92 | $12,858.38 | $12,990.14 |
+$266.34 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.4h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 2:20pm ET | $129.93 | 95 | $12,342.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET | $142.07 | 95 | $13,497.12 | $14,144.39 |
+$1,154.25 (+9.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.9d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 12:05pm ET | $141.29 | 100 | $14,129.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $144.68 | 100 | $14,468.00 | $14,483.39 |
+$339.00 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 12:25pm ET | $149.01 | 97 | $14,453.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $154.70 | 97 | $15,005.90 | $15,035.32 |
+$551.93 (+3.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.1h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 11:35am ET | $152.70 | 98 | $14,964.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $159.44 | 98 | $15,625.12 | $15,695.84 |
+$660.52 (+4.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 11:25am ET | $160.32 | 97 | $15,551.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 11:10am ET | $155.49 | 97 | $15,082.92 | $15,227.72 |
$-468.12 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 12:00pm ET | $154.45 | 98 | $15,135.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $148.87 | 98 | $14,589.26 | $14,681.37 |
$-546.35 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 12:15pm ET | $147.36 | 99 | $14,588.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $151.09 | 99 | $14,957.91 | $15,050.64 |
+$369.27 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$15,050.64
Net Profit/Loss:
+$5,050.64
Total Return:
+50.51%