Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:09:56

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
61.7 neutral
20d Trend
+17.9%
5d Trend
+12.1%
EMA20 Dist
+11.8%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
24%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.9/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 10.2/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 10.1

30-Day Momentum

12
-1.4%
30d Return
56%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 14.4 Conf: 0.84×
Steady (+2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,729.23
Current Value
$9,170.93
Period P&L
$-558.31
Max Drawdown
-48.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.05

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
29
Winners / Losers
15 / 14
Best Trade
+4.36%
Worst Trade
-4.39%
Avg Trade Return
-0.15%
Avg Hold Time
1.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$553,802.98
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-558.31
Net P&L (after fees)
$-558.31
Gross Return
-5.74%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.74%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UVXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 29 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $9,729.23 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 11:25am ET $27.37 355 $9,716.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $28.52 355 $10,126.37 $10,139.23 +$410.02
(+4.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 9:40am ET $25.81 392 $10,117.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 10:00am ET $26.46 392 $10,372.32 $10,393.88 +$254.64
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
20m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 10:00am ET $25.42 408 $10,373.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 9:40am ET $24.62 408 $10,044.96 $10,065.44 $-328.44
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 10:10am ET $23.95 420 $10,059.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 10:25am ET $24.45 420 $10,269.00 $10,275.44 +$210.00
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 12:05pm ET $25.58 401 $10,257.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 12:50pm ET $24.70 401 $9,904.70 $9,922.56 $-352.88
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 1:50pm ET $24.10 411 $9,907.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 12:20pm ET $23.33 411 $9,590.68 $9,606.09 $-316.47
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 2:40pm ET $24.17 397 $9,593.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET $23.30 397 $9,250.10 $9,262.68 $-343.41
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 9:55am ET $23.13 400 $9,250.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 2:00pm ET $23.63 400 $9,450.28 $9,462.96 +$200.28
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 11:25am ET $24.04 393 $9,447.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 2:40pm ET $24.60 393 $9,669.76 $9,685.01 +$222.04
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 3:15pm ET $23.65 409 $9,670.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 2:05pm ET $24.13 409 $9,869.17 $9,883.37 +$198.36
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 2:20pm ET $26.02 379 $9,861.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 9:45am ET $25.00 379 $9,475.00 $9,496.79 $-386.58
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.4h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 10:55am ET $24.77 383 $9,486.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 11:35am ET $25.32 383 $9,697.56 $9,707.37 +$210.57
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
40m held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 11:40am ET $24.31 399 $9,697.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET $25.20 399 $10,054.84 $10,064.51 +$357.14
(+3.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:50am ET $25.09 401 $10,063.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 11:00am ET $25.64 401 $10,281.64 $10,283.06 +$218.55
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 11:40am ET $24.20 424 $10,262.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 3:15pm ET $23.45 424 $9,942.84 $9,962.98 $-320.08
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.6h held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 10:20am ET $22.66 439 $9,945.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET $23.28 439 $10,220.67 $10,238.10 +$275.12
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 9:45am ET $21.99 465 $10,225.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:35am ET $21.31 465 $9,909.15 $9,921.90 $-316.20
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 11:25am ET $21.33 465 $9,916.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 12:20pm ET $20.67 465 $9,613.87 $9,619.65 $-302.25
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 12:55pm ET $20.49 469 $9,609.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 12:55pm ET $20.42 469 $9,577.68 $9,587.52 $-32.13
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 1:45pm ET $19.81 483 $9,568.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 12:10pm ET $19.22 483 $9,280.85 $9,300.14 $-287.38
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 1:45pm ET $19.81 483 $9,568.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $18.94 483 $9,148.02 $8,879.93 $-420.21
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:35am ET $18.69 474 $8,861.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 3:40pm ET $18.08 474 $8,569.87 $8,588.37 $-291.56
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1h held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:55am ET $18.51 463 $8,572.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 2:35pm ET $18.90 463 $8,752.18 $8,768.11 +$179.74
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 11:00am ET $17.72 494 $8,751.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $17.14 494 $8,465.18 $8,482.08 $-286.03
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.5h held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 10:05am ET $18.09 468 $8,466.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 12:20pm ET $18.47 468 $8,641.62 $8,657.63 +$175.55
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held
26 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:55am ET $18.10 478 $8,651.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $18.89 478 $9,029.42 $9,035.25 +$377.62
(+4.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
27 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 11:30am ET $18.35 492 $9,030.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:15pm ET $18.88 492 $9,288.02 $9,292.62 +$257.37
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 10:55am ET $17.60 527 $9,275.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:55am ET $17.00 527 $8,961.63 $8,979.05 $-313.57
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 10:35am ET $16.83 533 $8,973.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 3:20pm ET $17.19 533 $9,164.93 $9,170.93 +$191.88
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,170.93
Net Profit/Loss: $-829.07
Total Return: -8.29%
Back to Rebel Contraire