Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:58:49

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
35.8 neutral
20d Trend
-2.8%
5d Trend
-2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
50%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

55
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
19.5/35
Total Return
14.4/25
Win Rate
9.1/15
Profit Factor
5.3/15
Consistency
7.2/10
Raw Quality 55.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 55.2

30-Day Momentum

51
+9.9%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
5
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 73.1 Conf: 0.70×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,800
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$14,719.84
Current Value
$15,336.75
Period P&L
$616.91
Max Drawdown
-9.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
9 / 6
Best Trade
+3.54%
Worst Trade
-3.28%
Avg Trade Return
+0.27%
Avg Hold Time
4.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$429,567.41
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$616.91
Net P&L (after fees)
$616.91
Gross Return
+4.19%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.19%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VOO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $14,719.84 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 10:00am ET $637.25 23 $14,656.75
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $634.49 23 $14,593.27 $14,719.83 $-63.48
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 9:45am ET $638.24 23 $14,679.52
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:35pm ET $639.24 23 $14,702.52 $14,742.84 +$23.00
(+0.2%)
📅 Sim Ended
2.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:50am ET $625.43 23 $14,384.89
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $633.24 23 $14,564.52 $14,922.47 +$179.63
(+1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 10:00am ET $627.92 23 $14,442.16
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $624.21 23 $14,356.83 $14,837.14 $-85.33
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:35am ET $620.10 23 $14,262.28
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $613.41 23 $14,108.43 $14,683.29 $-153.85
(-1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:40am ET $622.85 23 $14,325.55
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $614.35 23 $14,130.05 $14,487.79 $-195.50
(-1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 10:00am ET $619.58 23 $14,250.34
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 10:55am ET $600.97 23 $13,822.31 $14,059.76 $-428.03
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 11:15am ET $610.41 23 $14,039.32
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $590.37 23 $13,578.51 $13,598.95 $-460.81
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:50am ET $584.57 23 $13,445.00
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 2:55pm ET $596.44 23 $13,718.12 $13,872.08 +$273.13
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:55pm ET $601.48 23 $13,834.04
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:55pm ET $605.22 23 $13,919.95 $13,957.99 +$85.91
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:55pm ET $601.03 23 $13,823.58
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $622.28 23 $14,312.33 $14,446.74 +$488.75
(+3.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.6h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:55am ET $620.29 23 $14,266.67
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET $633.12 23 $14,561.66 $14,741.73 +$294.99
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 11:55am ET $640.97 22 $14,101.23
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 10:50am ET $653.81 22 $14,383.71 $15,024.21 +$282.48
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 11:50am ET $650.25 23 $14,955.75
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $655.71 23 $15,081.30 $15,149.76 +$125.55
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:55am ET $653.91 23 $15,039.93
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $662.04 23 $15,226.92 $15,336.75 +$186.99
(+1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,336.75
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,336.75
Total Return: +53.37%
Back to Rebel Contraire