Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:31:11

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
35.8 neutral
20d Trend
-2.8%
5d Trend
-2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
50%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

59
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
23.2/35
Total Return
15.0/25
Win Rate
8.7/15
Profit Factor
5.6/15
Consistency
7.3/10
Raw Quality 59.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 59.3

30-Day Momentum

3
-0.1%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-56 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$523.34
Current Value
$16,329.55
Period P&L
$174.03
Max Drawdown
-9.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
8 / 8
Best Trade
+2.01%
Worst Trade
-1.81%
Avg Trade Return
+0.14%
Avg Hold Time
7.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$507,106.49
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$174.03
Net P&L (after fees)
$174.03
Gross Return
+33.25%
Net Return (after fees)
+33.25%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VOO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $523.34 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:35am ET $676.22 23 $15,553.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $678.99 23 $15,616.77 $16,060.99 +$63.71
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:35am ET $676.22 23 $15,553.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $687.94 23 $15,822.62 $16,330.55 +$269.56
(+1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
13d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:55am ET $688.30 23 $15,831.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $692.53 23 $15,928.30 $16,427.84 +$97.29
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 10:45am ET $690.16 23 $15,873.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $687.50 23 $15,812.50 $16,366.66 $-61.18
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 11:40am ET $687.14 23 $15,804.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $684.43 23 $15,742.00 $16,304.44 $-62.22
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:55am ET $688.30 23 $15,831.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $675.86 23 $15,544.78 $16,018.20 $-286.24
(-1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:50am ET $682.09 23 $15,688.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 1:25pm ET $695.82 23 $16,003.86 $16,333.99 +$315.79
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 2:00pm ET $709.08 23 $16,308.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET $710.56 23 $16,342.82 $16,367.97 +$33.98
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 11:05am ET $710.92 23 $16,351.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET $713.94 23 $16,420.62 $16,437.43 +$69.46
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $705.93 23 $16,236.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $701.79 23 $16,141.28 $16,342.32 $-95.11
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $705.93 23 $16,236.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $703.32 23 $16,176.36 $16,282.29 $-60.03
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
8d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:30am ET $707.96 22 $15,575.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 11:30am ET $701.92 22 $15,442.24 $16,149.41 $-132.88
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:30am ET $707.96 22 $15,575.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $710.21 22 $15,624.62 $16,198.91 +$49.50
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 1:25pm ET $707.85 22 $15,572.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 1:25pm ET $701.51 22 $15,433.22 $16,059.43 $-139.48
(-0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 1:25pm ET $697.29 23 $16,037.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 1:25pm ET $695.67 23 $16,000.52 $16,022.29 $-37.14
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 1:40pm ET $698.16 22 $15,359.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 1:15pm ET $712.13 22 $15,666.86 $16,329.55 +$307.26
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,329.55
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,329.55
Total Return: +63.30%
Back to Rebel Contraire