Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 21:21:21

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.18%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
49.5 neutral
20d Trend
-1.8%
5d Trend
-1.9%
EMA20 Dist
-0.6%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Sep 25, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.2/35
Total Return
10.9/25
Win Rate
7.2/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 26.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 26.6

30-Day Momentum

3
-4.7%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-23 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,936.88
Current Value
$11,953.32
Period P&L
$16.44
Max Drawdown
-21.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
20
Winners / Losers
11 / 9
Best Trade
+2.48%
Worst Trade
-3.82%
Avg Trade Return
+0.05%
Avg Hold Time
4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$479,732.93
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$16.44
Net P&L (after fees)
$16.44
Gross Return
+0.14%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.14%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VRTX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 20 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $11,936.88 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 11:30am ET $483.84 24 $11,612.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:50am ET $494.96 24 $11,879.10 $12,203.81 +$266.94
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 10:35am ET $494.82 24 $11,875.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 9:35am ET $505.51 24 $12,132.12 $12,460.25 +$256.44
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:40am ET $519.53 23 $11,949.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $530.80 23 $12,208.40 $12,719.35 +$259.10
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 10:10am ET $515.99 24 $12,383.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 3:25pm ET $499.58 24 $11,989.92 $12,325.51 $-393.84
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 9:40am ET $489.67 25 $12,241.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $474.46 25 $11,861.62 $11,945.38 $-380.13
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 12:50pm ET $479.05 24 $11,497.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:35am ET $490.93 24 $11,782.32 $12,230.50 +$285.12
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 10:35am ET $485.72 25 $12,143.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $470.96 25 $11,774.12 $11,861.63 $-368.88
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 10:45am ET $478.96 24 $11,495.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 10:15am ET $490.02 24 $11,760.60 $12,127.07 +$265.44
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 9:40am ET $489.67 25 $12,241.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $478.72 25 $11,968.00 $11,853.32 $-273.75
(-2.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:40am ET $472.50 25 $11,812.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 9:45am ET $484.21 25 $12,105.25 $12,146.07 +$292.75
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 11:10am ET $484.04 25 $12,101.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 2:10pm ET $493.95 25 $12,348.87 $12,393.94 +$247.87
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 2:10pm ET $526.20 23 $12,102.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 9:35am ET $509.69 23 $11,722.87 $12,014.32 $-379.62
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 9:55am ET $508.65 23 $11,698.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $520.34 23 $11,967.71 $12,283.08 +$268.76
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.6h held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 12:35pm ET $541.90 22 $11,921.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 3:45pm ET $553.39 22 $12,174.58 $12,535.86 +$252.78
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.2h held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 10:35am ET $550.41 22 $12,109.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 10:35am ET $549.78 22 $12,095.16 $12,522.00 $-13.86
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 12:20pm ET $548.84 22 $12,074.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 12:20pm ET $549.55 22 $12,090.10 $12,537.51 +$15.51
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 12:20pm ET $548.84 22 $12,074.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $558.26 22 $12,281.72 $12,744.64 +$207.13
(+1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 12:45pm ET $550.82 23 $12,668.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $529.76 23 $12,184.37 $12,260.14 $-484.50
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 10:05am ET $525.11 23 $12,077.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 10:05am ET $516.97 23 $11,890.31 $12,072.92 $-187.22
(-1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 10:55am ET $512.05 23 $11,777.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $506.85 23 $11,657.55 $11,953.32 $-119.60
(-1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,953.32
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,953.32
Total Return: +19.53%
Back to Rebel Contraire