Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:33:52

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
36.2 neutral
20d Trend
-2.9%
5d Trend
-2.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

51
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
17.4/35
Total Return
14.3/25
Win Rate
8.3/15
Profit Factor
4.3/15
Consistency
7.0/10
Raw Quality 51.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 51.0

30-Day Momentum

3
-1.1%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-48 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$296.07
Current Value
$15,211.22
Period P&L
$-66.44
Max Drawdown
-10.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
8 / 8
Best Trade
+2.02%
Worst Trade
-2.18%
Avg Trade Return
+0.04%
Avg Hold Time
7.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$482,673.20
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-66.44
Net P&L (after fees)
$-66.44
Gross Return
-22.44%
Net Return (after fees)
-22.44%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VTI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $296.07 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:35am ET $363.57 41 $14,906.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $365.97 41 $15,004.77 $15,225.59 +$98.40
(+0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:35am ET $363.57 41 $14,906.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $370.69 41 $15,198.29 $15,517.51 +$291.92
(+2.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
13d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $371.30 41 $15,223.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $372.04 41 $15,253.44 $15,547.65 +$30.14
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 10:45am ET $370.76 41 $15,200.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $369.25 41 $15,139.25 $15,485.94 $-61.71
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 12:45pm ET $369.58 41 $15,152.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $367.78 41 $15,078.98 $15,412.14 $-73.80
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $371.30 41 $15,223.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $363.20 41 $14,891.00 $15,079.84 $-332.30
(-2.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:50am ET $366.31 41 $15,018.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 1:50pm ET $373.71 41 $15,322.11 $15,383.24 +$303.40
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.2d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 2:00pm ET $380.85 40 $15,234.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET $381.64 40 $15,265.60 $15,414.84 +$31.60
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 11:05am ET $382.02 40 $15,280.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET $383.83 40 $15,353.25 $15,487.29 +$72.45
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $379.75 40 $15,190.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $377.20 40 $15,088.00 $15,385.29 $-102.00
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $379.75 40 $15,190.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $377.73 40 $15,109.00 $15,304.29 $-81.00
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
8d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:30am ET $380.20 40 $15,208.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 11:30am ET $376.26 40 $15,050.40 $15,146.69 $-157.60
(-1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:30am ET $380.20 40 $15,208.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $380.63 40 $15,225.20 $15,163.89 +$17.20
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 1:00pm ET $379.97 39 $14,818.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 1:00pm ET $375.75 39 $14,654.25 $14,999.31 $-164.58
(-1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 1:25pm ET $373.65 40 $14,946.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 1:25pm ET $372.62 40 $14,904.80 $14,958.11 $-41.20
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 1:40pm ET $374.03 39 $14,587.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 1:40pm ET $380.52 39 $14,840.28 $15,211.22 +$253.11
(+1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,211.22
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,211.22
Total Return: +52.11%
Back to Rebel Contraire