Compendium › Rebel Contraire › VXX
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
VXX
Alpaca Tradeable

Rebel Contraire's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 23 trades in period

-20.95%
Last 3 Months Return
$5,267.12
Current Value
35%
Win Rate
$6,663.32
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:15:53

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
62.8 neutral
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+8.3%
EMA20 Dist
+8.3%
ATR%
4.8%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

9
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
4.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 9.0/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 8.9

30-Day Momentum

14
+0.8%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 16.9 Conf: 0.81×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$6,663.32
Current Value
$5,267.12
Period P&L
$-1,396.20
Max Drawdown
-57.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.44

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
23
Winners / Losers
8 / 15
Best Trade
+2.95%
Worst Trade
-4.17%
Avg Trade Return
-1.11%
Avg Hold Time
3.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$259,598.96
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,396.20
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,396.20
Gross Return
-20.95%
Net Return (after fees)
-20.95%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VXX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 23 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $6,663.32 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:50am ET $23.65 289 $6,834.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $22.86 289 $6,607.98 $6,627.17 $-226.86
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 10:00am ET $23.67 279 $6,603.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $22.86 279 $6,377.94 $6,401.18 $-225.99
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 9:55am ET $22.46 285 $6,401.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 10:10am ET $21.78 285 $6,207.30 $6,207.38 $-193.80
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 12:10pm ET $21.53 288 $6,200.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $22.13 288 $6,373.44 $6,380.18 +$172.80
(+2.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 10:30am ET $21.87 291 $6,364.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 12:25pm ET $21.20 291 $6,170.65 $6,186.66 $-193.52
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 2:40pm ET $21.73 284 $6,169.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 1:35pm ET $21.07 284 $5,982.46 $5,999.22 $-187.44
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 9:55am ET $22.31 268 $5,977.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 11:50am ET $21.60 268 $5,788.80 $5,810.28 $-188.94
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 12:10pm ET $21.30 272 $5,792.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 10:40am ET $21.73 272 $5,909.20 $5,927.24 +$116.96
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.5h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 11:55am ET $22.85 259 $5,918.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 11:10am ET $22.07 259 $5,716.00 $5,725.10 $-202.15
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 12:30pm ET $22.34 256 $5,720.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 10:25am ET $22.80 256 $5,836.80 $5,841.58 +$116.48
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 11:40am ET $22.55 259 $5,840.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $21.61 259 $5,596.99 $5,598.12 $-243.46
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 10:20am ET $20.99 266 $5,582.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 10:20am ET $20.35 266 $5,413.10 $5,429.21 $-168.91
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 12:45pm ET $20.27 267 $5,412.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 12:35pm ET $19.65 267 $5,245.22 $5,262.34 $-166.88
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 12:35pm ET $19.57 268 $5,243.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 12:35pm ET $19.65 268 $5,264.86 $5,283.78 +$21.44
(+0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 2:35pm ET $19.14 276 $5,281.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 2:35pm ET $18.92 276 $5,220.54 $5,223.06 $-60.72
(-1.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 2:35pm ET $19.14 276 $5,281.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $18.63 276 $5,141.88 $5,083.68 $-139.38
(-2.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
6.8d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 10:00am ET $18.42 276 $5,082.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 10:00am ET $18.32 276 $5,056.32 $5,057.46 $-26.22
(-0.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 10:00am ET $18.42 276 $5,082.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $17.90 276 $4,941.23 $4,916.15 $-141.31
(-2.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
7.1d held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 2:10pm ET $17.54 280 $4,911.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 10:10am ET $17.95 280 $5,025.97 $5,031.06 +$114.91
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 11:20am ET $18.23 275 $5,012.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $18.73 275 $5,149.38 $5,167.54 +$136.48
(+2.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.2h held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:35am ET $18.10 285 $5,159.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $18.64 285 $5,312.40 $5,320.01 +$152.47
(+3.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:40am ET $18.16 292 $5,302.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:10pm ET $18.55 292 $5,416.60 $5,433.89 +$113.88
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 3:15pm ET $17.70 306 $5,417.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 1:50pm ET $17.16 306 $5,250.96 $5,267.12 $-166.77
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,267.12
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,732.88
Total Return: -47.33%
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