Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-07-26 19:35:52

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
26
Fear
VIX
18.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.71%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
53.8 neutral
20d Trend
-1.8%
5d Trend
+1.4%
EMA20 Dist
+1.0%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
64%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jul 26, 2026

36
Lifetime
Confidence: 95%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.7/35
Total Return
13.8/25
Win Rate
8.2/15
Profit Factor
1.6/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 38.3/100
× Confidence 0.95 = 36.3

30-Day Momentum

14
+1.6%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 22.3 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-23 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (95%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-27 → 2026-07-24
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,428.06
Current Value
$14,429.22
Period P&L
$1,001.19
Max Drawdown
-17.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.22

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
9 / 6
Best Trade
+3.44%
Worst Trade
-3.17%
Avg Trade Return
+0.45%
Avg Hold Time
4.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$408,801.49
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,001.19
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,001.19
Gross Return
+7.46%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.46%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 WFC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $13,428.06 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 12:40pm ET $81.04 167 $13,533.68
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 12:40pm ET $81.79 167 $13,658.93 $13,673.52 +$125.25
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 2:10pm ET $81.17 168 $13,635.72
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 2:10pm ET $79.75 168 $13,397.16 $13,434.96 $-238.56
(-1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
3 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 3:35pm ET $79.94 168 $13,429.92
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 10:50am ET $77.43 168 $13,008.24 $13,013.28 $-421.68
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
4 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 10:55am ET $73.92 176 $13,009.92
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $73.39 176 $12,916.64 $12,920.00 $-93.28
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held
5 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 11:15am ET $75.08 172 $12,913.76
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:45am ET $76.76 172 $13,201.88 $13,208.12 +$288.12
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
6 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:50am ET $77.36 170 $13,151.20
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $76.85 170 $13,064.50 $13,121.42 $-86.70
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 10:00am ET $78.25 167 $13,067.75
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $79.98 167 $13,356.66 $13,410.33 +$288.91
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 10:20am ET $82.04 163 $13,372.52
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 10:20am ET $82.35 163 $13,423.05 $13,460.86 +$50.53
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 11:00am ET $81.17 165 $13,393.05
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:45pm ET $82.82 165 $13,665.30 $13,733.11 +$272.25
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $83.74 163 $13,649.62
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:35am ET $86.07 163 $14,028.60 $14,112.09 +$378.98
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.7d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 10:00am ET $84.44 167 $14,101.48
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 10:00am ET $83.22 167 $13,897.74 $13,908.35 $-203.74
(-1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 10:30am ET $83.82 165 $13,830.30
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET $85.59 165 $14,122.35 $14,200.40 +$292.05
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 12:45pm ET $84.40 168 $14,180.04
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 12:45pm ET $85.74 168 $14,404.32 $14,424.68 +$224.28
(+1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 10:30am ET $83.82 165 $13,830.30
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $86.70 165 $14,305.50 $14,899.88 +$475.20
(+3.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
12d held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 10:15am ET $87.93 169 $14,861.01
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 10:50am ET $85.15 169 $14,390.35 $14,429.22 $-470.66
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,429.22
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,429.22
Total Return: +44.29%
Back to Rebel Contraire