Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:12:26

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
74 overbought
20d Trend
+6.1%
5d Trend
+7.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

49
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
16.4/35
Total Return
15.2/25
Win Rate
8.9/15
Profit Factor
2.5/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 49.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 48.8

30-Day Momentum

48
+7.7%
30d Return
71%
Win Rate
7
Trades
2.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 62.0 Conf: 0.78×
Cooling (-1 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$16,444.37
Current Value
$16,680.01
Period P&L
$235.67
Max Drawdown
-14.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.01

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
21
Winners / Losers
13 / 8
Best Trade
+2.87%
Worst Trade
-8.01%
Avg Trade Return
+0.04%
Avg Hold Time
4.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$674,174.60
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$235.67
Net P&L (after fees)
$235.67
Gross Return
+1.43%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.43%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 WMT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 21 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $16,444.37 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 10:15am ET $119.18 140 $16,685.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 12:55pm ET $115.59 140 $16,182.60 $16,202.14 $-502.60
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 3:50pm ET $115.89 139 $16,108.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $109.08 139 $15,162.81 $15,256.24 $-945.90
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 10:10am ET $110.07 138 $15,189.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 11:15am ET $112.31 138 $15,498.78 $15,565.36 +$309.12
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 11:20am ET $109.78 141 $15,478.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $112.81 141 $15,906.21 $15,992.59 +$427.23
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 12:05pm ET $113.38 141 $15,986.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 12:05pm ET $114.40 141 $16,130.40 $16,136.41 +$143.82
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 12:25pm ET $114.22 141 $16,105.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $116.65 141 $16,447.65 $16,479.04 +$342.63
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 10:30am ET $113.90 144 $16,401.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 11:40am ET $110.43 144 $15,902.64 $15,980.09 $-498.95
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 12:20pm ET $108.88 146 $15,896.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 10:15am ET $111.08 146 $16,217.67 $16,301.28 +$321.19
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 12:05pm ET $113.38 141 $15,986.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $112.66 141 $15,885.06 $16,199.76 $-101.52
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 10:35am ET $111.04 145 $16,100.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 10:35am ET $112.72 145 $16,345.12 $16,444.08 +$244.32
(+1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 10:50am ET $112.30 146 $16,395.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 10:50am ET $112.64 146 $16,445.44 $16,493.72 +$49.64
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 11:25am ET $114.92 143 $16,432.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 11:25am ET $114.48 143 $16,370.64 $16,431.50 $-62.22
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 11:30am ET $115.79 141 $16,326.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET $106.51 141 $15,017.91 $15,123.02 $-1,308.48
(-8.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 9:55am ET $102.56 147 $15,075.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $105.07 147 $15,446.02 $15,493.46 +$370.44
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 9:55am ET $102.56 147 $15,075.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $105.50 147 $15,508.50 $15,926.37 +$432.91
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $103.47 153 $15,830.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $105.58 153 $16,153.74 $16,249.20 +$322.83
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 10:35am ET $106.01 153 $16,219.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 10:50am ET $108.26 153 $16,564.54 $16,594.21 +$345.01
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 11:15am ET $107.46 154 $16,548.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 11:15am ET $105.82 154 $16,296.28 $16,341.65 $-252.56
(-1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 11:15am ET $105.93 154 $16,313.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $108.19 154 $16,662.03 $16,689.69 +$348.04
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $108.69 153 $16,629.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $106.21 153 $16,250.89 $16,311.01 $-378.68
(-2.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 11:35am ET $108.74 150 $16,311.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:35am ET $111.20 150 $16,680.00 $16,680.01 +$369.00
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
22h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,680.01
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,680.01
Total Return: +66.80%
Back to Rebel Contraire