Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:11:23

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
70 neutral
20d Trend
+11.0%
5d Trend
+2.0%
EMA20 Dist
+4.4%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
76%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

70
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
32.6/35
Total Return
17.3/25
Win Rate
8.8/15
Profit Factor
5.2/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 70.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 69.7

30-Day Momentum

26
+3.8%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 34.7 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-44 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$-44.71
Current Value
$22,010.15
Period P&L
$4,059.09
Max Drawdown
-12.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.42

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
19
Winners / Losers
13 / 6
Best Trade
+6.16%
Worst Trade
-4.10%
Avg Trade Return
+1.09%
Avg Hold Time
5.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$769,800.54
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,059.09
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,059.09
Gross Return
+0.00%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.00%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XLE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 19 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $-44.71 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 1:30pm ET $53.31 339 $18,070.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 1:30pm ET $54.01 339 $18,311.08 $18,340.90 +$240.69
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 1:30pm ET $53.31 339 $18,070.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $53.13 339 $18,011.07 $18,281.58 $-59.32
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
11.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 11:25am ET $54.08 338 $18,280.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $55.32 338 $18,698.16 $18,699.01 +$417.43
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 10:35am ET $55.04 339 $18,658.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $56.24 339 $19,063.67 $19,104.11 +$405.10
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 10:50am ET $56.53 337 $19,050.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $57.68 337 $19,438.16 $19,491.67 +$387.55
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 11:05am ET $57.89 336 $19,451.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET $59.21 336 $19,892.88 $19,933.51 +$441.84
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 11:45am ET $59.90 332 $19,888.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 11:10am ET $58.06 332 $19,275.72 $19,320.77 $-612.74
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 10:35am ET $55.04 339 $18,658.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $58.43 339 $19,807.77 $20,469.98 +$1,149.21
(+6.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
21d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 10:15am ET $58.56 349 $20,435.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 10:15am ET $57.81 349 $20,175.65 $20,209.94 $-260.04
(-1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 10:30am ET $57.69 350 $20,189.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:40am ET $58.99 350 $20,644.75 $20,664.94 +$455.00
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 10:40am ET $60.56 341 $20,652.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 10:00am ET $61.85 341 $21,090.85 $21,103.12 +$438.18
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 11:00am ET $62.12 339 $21,058.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $63.43 339 $21,502.77 $21,547.21 +$444.09
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.5h held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 10:40am ET $64.08 336 $21,530.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 10:40am ET $63.08 336 $21,196.56 $21,212.89 $-334.32
(-1.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 10:40am ET $64.08 336 $21,530.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $61.45 336 $20,647.20 $20,329.21 $-883.68
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $62.19 326 $20,273.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $63.92 326 $20,836.29 $20,891.56 +$562.35
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $62.19 326 $20,273.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $65.33 326 $21,297.58 $21,915.20 +$1,023.64
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.1d held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 12:00pm ET $64.15 341 $21,876.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $65.58 341 $22,362.78 $22,401.13 +$485.93
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 1:45pm ET $65.14 343 $22,343.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 1:45pm ET $66.00 343 $22,636.29 $22,694.40 +$293.27
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 2:25pm ET $64.71 350 $22,650.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 10:15am ET $62.76 350 $21,966.00 $22,010.15 $-684.25
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $22,010.15
Net Profit/Loss: +$12,010.15
Total Return: +120.10%
Back to Rebel Contraire