Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:53:23

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
44.4 neutral
20d Trend
-1.7%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.7%
ATR%
1.2%
Range Pos
44%
Bounce Ratio
1.3×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

41
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
10.4/35
Total Return
14.4/25
Win Rate
6.4/15
Profit Factor
3.8/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 41.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 41.3

30-Day Momentum

3
-1.8%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-38 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$51.97
Current Value
$15,261.85
Period P&L
$1,288.63
Max Drawdown
-17.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.42

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
10 / 7
Best Trade
+4.12%
Worst Trade
-1.77%
Avg Trade Return
+0.58%
Avg Hold Time
6.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$513,815.15
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,288.63
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,288.63
Gross Return
+2479.37%
Net Return (after fees)
+2479.37%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XLF Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $51.97 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:35am ET $53.56 259 $13,870.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 10:20am ET $54.65 259 $14,154.35 $14,155.88 +$283.61
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 10:45am ET $53.54 264 $14,134.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 10:45am ET $54.54 264 $14,398.56 $14,419.88 +$264.00
(+1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:35am ET $53.56 259 $13,870.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $55.76 259 $14,441.84 $14,990.97 +$571.09
(+4.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
13d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 10:15am ET $56.36 265 $14,935.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $56.11 265 $14,869.23 $14,924.80 $-66.17
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 10:40am ET $56.63 263 $14,892.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $56.24 263 $14,792.43 $14,824.86 $-99.94
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:40am ET $55.84 265 $14,797.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $56.92 265 $15,082.48 $15,109.73 +$284.88
(+1.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 10:15am ET $56.36 265 $14,935.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $56.58 265 $14,993.70 $15,168.03 +$58.30
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
23d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 10:15am ET $56.77 267 $15,157.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 10:55am ET $57.93 267 $15,466.08 $15,476.68 +$308.65
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 11:15am ET $57.97 266 $15,420.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 11:15am ET $57.96 266 $15,417.33 $15,473.99 $-2.69
(-0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 1:20pm ET $57.94 267 $15,471.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET $58.08 267 $15,507.36 $15,510.04 +$36.05
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 11:20am ET $57.80 268 $15,490.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $57.94 268 $15,527.92 $15,547.56 +$37.52
(+0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 11:20am ET $57.80 268 $15,490.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $58.26 268 $15,613.68 $15,670.84 +$123.28
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $57.83 270 $15,615.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $57.58 270 $15,547.95 $15,603.34 $-67.50
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $57.83 270 $15,615.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $58.36 270 $15,757.20 $15,745.09 +$141.75
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.1d held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 12:30pm ET $58.17 270 $15,707.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 12:30pm ET $57.15 270 $15,429.53 $15,467.37 $-277.72
(-1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 12:50pm ET $56.86 272 $15,464.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 12:50pm ET $56.58 272 $15,388.40 $15,391.05 $-76.32
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 12:50pm ET $56.41 272 $15,343.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 12:50pm ET $55.94 272 $15,214.32 $15,261.85 $-129.20
(-0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,261.85
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,261.85
Total Return: +52.62%
Back to Rebel Contraire