Compendium › Rebel Contraire › XOM
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
XOM
Alpaca Tradeable

Rebel Contraire's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 22 trades in period

+18.39%
Last 3 Months Return
$17,092.95
Current Value
59%
Win Rate
$14,438.15
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:12:21

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+3.0%
EMA20 Dist
+5.9%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.7×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

50
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
17.9/35
Total Return
15.4/25
Win Rate
8.1/15
Profit Factor
2.5/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 50.0/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 49.8

30-Day Momentum

9
-1.6%
30d Return
57%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.1 Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-40 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$14,438.15
Current Value
$17,092.95
Period P&L
$2,654.85
Max Drawdown
-13.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.21

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
22
Winners / Losers
13 / 9
Best Trade
+13.09%
Worst Trade
-5.72%
Avg Trade Return
+0.80%
Avg Hold Time
4.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$724,808.58
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,654.85
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,654.85
Gross Return
+18.39%
Net Return (after fees)
+18.39%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XOM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 22 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $14,438.15 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:45am ET $137.90 106 $14,617.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $137.01 106 $14,523.59 $14,641.62 $-93.81
(-0.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 9:45am ET $135.75 107 $14,525.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 9:45am ET $138.96 107 $14,869.25 $14,985.63 +$344.00
(+2.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 10:05am ET $136.76 109 $14,906.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:35am ET $139.63 109 $15,219.67 $15,298.46 +$312.83
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 12:05pm ET $142.50 107 $15,247.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 10:35am ET $138.18 107 $14,785.26 $14,836.22 $-462.24
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 11:10am ET $137.69 107 $14,732.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET $142.17 107 $15,212.14 $15,315.53 +$479.31
(+3.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 10:50am ET $144.38 106 $15,304.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET $148.22 106 $15,711.32 $15,722.57 +$407.04
(+2.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET $146.42 107 $15,666.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $149.36 107 $15,981.52 $16,037.15 +$314.58
(+2.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 10:35am ET $153.66 104 $15,980.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $157.49 104 $16,379.48 $16,435.98 +$398.84
(+2.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.9h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 11:15am ET $157.40 104 $16,370.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 11:55am ET $152.58 104 $15,868.33 $15,934.19 $-501.79
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 11:10am ET $137.69 107 $14,732.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $155.72 107 $16,662.04 $17,863.40 +$1,929.21
(+13.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
19.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $154.62 115 $17,780.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 9:35am ET $149.79 115 $17,225.85 $17,308.52 $-554.88
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 9:40am ET $153.01 113 $17,290.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:35am ET $156.32 113 $17,664.72 $17,683.12 +$374.60
(+2.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 10:50am ET $160.57 110 $17,663.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET $159.30 110 $17,523.00 $17,542.87 $-140.25
(-0.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 10:35am ET $163.97 106 $17,380.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:45am ET $167.46 106 $17,751.29 $17,913.34 +$370.47
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 10:25am ET $167.76 106 $17,782.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 11:25am ET $162.65 106 $17,240.90 $17,371.68 $-541.66
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 10:25am ET $167.76 106 $17,782.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $158.16 106 $16,765.49 $16,354.61 $-1,017.07
(-5.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $157.68 103 $16,241.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:35am ET $161.33 103 $16,616.99 $16,730.56 +$375.95
(+2.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $157.68 103 $16,241.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $164.51 103 $16,944.02 $17,433.54 +$702.98
(+4.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7.1d held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 12:00pm ET $160.28 108 $17,310.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:40am ET $164.83 108 $17,801.64 $17,924.94 +$491.40
(+2.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 10:25am ET $163.45 109 $17,816.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 10:00am ET $166.84 109 $18,185.02 $18,293.91 +$368.97
(+2.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.6h held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 10:25am ET $167.67 109 $18,276.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $162.27 109 $17,687.97 $17,705.85 $-588.06
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 11:40am ET $162.74 108 $17,576.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $157.07 108 $16,963.56 $17,092.95 $-612.90
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $17,092.95
Net Profit/Loss: +$7,092.95
Total Return: +70.93%
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