AAPL Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 39 trades in period
+47.21%
Last 6 Months Return
$18,264.11
Current Value
74%
Win Rate
$12,406.51
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
69.1 neutral
20d Trend
+5.2%
5d Trend
+6.0%
EMA20 Dist
+4.1%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
69%
Bounce Ratio
8.0×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
49
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
14.2/35
Total Return
16.0/25
Win Rate
8.8/15
Profit Factor
3.7/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality
49.0/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 48.8
30-Day Momentum
40
+6.1%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
6
Trades
2.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 54.4
Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-8 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$12,406.51
Current Value
$18,264.11
Period P&L
$5,857.64
Max Drawdown
-20.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.57
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
39
Winners / Losers
29 /
10
Best Trade
+3.23%
Worst Trade
-3.79%
Avg Trade Return
+1.02%
Avg Hold Time
3.1d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,200,770.44
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$5,857.64
Net P&L (after fees)
$5,857.64
Gross Return
+47.21%
Net Return (after fees)
+47.21%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AAPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 39 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $12,406.51 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $251.21 | 49 | $12,309.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 10:40am ET | $256.25 | 49 | $12,556.25 | $12,653.41 |
+$246.96 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 10:45am ET | $252.53 | 50 | $12,626.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 10:45am ET | $254.18 | 50 | $12,708.75 | $12,735.66 |
+$82.25 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 11:20am ET | $254.85 | 49 | $12,487.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 10:15am ET | $260.12 | 49 | $12,745.88 | $12,993.88 |
+$258.22 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 1:15pm ET | $251.38 | 51 | $12,820.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $257.92 | 51 | $13,153.92 | $13,327.17 |
+$333.29 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $258.82 | 51 | $13,199.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:40am ET | $260.88 | 51 | $13,304.63 | $13,431.97 |
+$104.80 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 12:20pm ET | $265.07 | 50 | $13,253.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 11:05am ET | $271.36 | 50 | $13,568.25 | $13,746.97 |
+$315.00 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 11:10am ET | $271.86 | 50 | $13,593.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $265.92 | 50 | $13,296.00 | $13,449.97 |
$-297.00 (-2.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 11:35am ET | $270.22 | 49 | $13,240.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $278.94 | 49 | $13,668.06 | $13,877.28 |
+$427.31 (+3.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 10:00am ET | $275.36 | 50 | $13,768.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 10:25am ET | $281.07 | 50 | $14,053.50 | $14,162.79 |
+$285.51 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 11:10am ET | $284.58 | 49 | $13,944.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 10:00am ET | $291.17 | 49 | $14,267.33 | $14,485.70 |
+$322.91 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 10:10am ET | $292.88 | 49 | $14,351.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 10:10am ET | $295.27 | 49 | $14,468.23 | $14,602.81 |
+$117.11 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 10:30am ET | $297.85 | 49 | $14,594.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 10:30am ET | $296.84 | 49 | $14,545.16 | $14,553.32 |
$-49.49 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 12:30pm ET | $299.94 | 48 | $14,397.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $306.06 | 48 | $14,690.88 | $14,847.08 |
+$293.76 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 11:55am ET | $310.20 | 47 | $14,579.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $310.03 | 47 | $14,571.41 | $14,839.09 |
$-7.99 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 10:15am ET | $308.63 | 48 | $14,814.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 1:00pm ET | $314.83 | 48 | $15,111.84 | $15,136.69 |
+$297.60 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 10:15am ET | $308.63 | 48 | $14,814.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $308.77 | 48 | $14,820.96 | $15,143.41 |
+$6.72 (+0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 10:00am ET | $296.07 | 51 | $15,099.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $294.00 | 51 | $14,994.00 | $15,037.84 |
$-105.57 (-0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 9:40am ET | $294.44 | 51 | $15,016.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $300.85 | 51 | $15,343.10 | $15,364.49 |
+$326.65 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 11:00am ET | $299.17 | 51 | $15,257.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 11:00am ET | $300.06 | 51 | $15,303.06 | $15,409.88 |
+$45.39 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 12:10pm ET | $298.80 | 51 | $15,239.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $287.48 | 51 | $14,661.48 | $14,832.31 |
$-577.57 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 11:30am ET | $278.11 | 53 | $14,739.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 3:50pm ET | $285.26 | 53 | $15,118.77 | $15,211.25 |
+$378.94 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 10:45am ET | $285.53 | 53 | $15,133.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $292.13 | 53 | $15,482.89 | $15,561.06 |
+$349.80 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 11:55am ET | $313.41 | 49 | $15,357.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $320.60 | 49 | $15,709.22 | $15,913.19 |
+$352.13 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.9d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 11:30am ET | $314.24 | 50 | $15,712.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 9:40am ET | $321.17 | 50 | $16,058.50 | $16,259.69 |
+$346.50 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.2h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 10:50am ET | $330.24 | 49 | $16,181.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 10:50am ET | $326.92 | 49 | $16,019.32 | $16,097.26 |
$-162.44 (-1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 11:10am ET | $324.33 | 49 | $15,891.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 11:10am ET | $331.27 | 49 | $16,232.23 | $16,437.56 |
+$340.30 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 11:55am ET | $337.07 | 48 | $16,179.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 2:00pm ET | $344.17 | 48 | $16,520.40 | $16,778.84 |
+$341.28 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 9:40am ET | $300.78 | 55 | $16,542.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 3:50pm ET | $307.33 | 55 | $16,903.15 | $17,139.09 |
+$360.25 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.2h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $302.75 | 56 | $16,954.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 1:05pm ET | $309.29 | 56 | $17,320.24 | $17,505.27 |
+$366.18 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.6h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 1:45pm ET | $309.24 | 56 | $17,317.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 9:50am ET | $315.48 | 56 | $17,666.88 | $17,854.60 |
+$349.33 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.1h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 9:50am ET | $311.25 | 57 | $17,741.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 9:50am ET | $302.98 | 57 | $17,270.14 | $17,383.49 |
$-471.11 (-2.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 10:50am ET | $304.55 | 57 | $17,359.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 10:35am ET | $310.85 | 57 | $17,718.45 | $17,742.59 |
+$359.10 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 11:35am ET | $317.01 | 55 | $17,435.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 9:50am ET | $307.42 | 55 | $16,908.10 | $17,215.14 |
$-527.45 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 11:55am ET | $311.70 | 55 | $17,143.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 10:45am ET | $319.57 | 55 | $17,576.08 | $17,647.73 |
+$432.59 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 11:20am ET | $315.07 | 56 | $17,643.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 9:50am ET | $321.74 | 56 | $18,017.72 | $18,021.81 |
+$374.08 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.5h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 11:45am ET | $324.14 | 55 | $17,827.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $317.15 | 55 | $17,443.25 | $17,637.36 |
$-384.45 (-2.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $315.37 | 55 | $17,345.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 10:55am ET | $321.98 | 55 | $17,708.95 | $18,000.96 |
+$363.60 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 11:40am ET | $334.90 | 53 | $17,749.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 11:40am ET | $332.99 | 53 | $17,648.47 | $17,899.73 |
$-101.23 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 12:40pm ET | $335.74 | 53 | $17,794.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $342.61 | 53 | $18,158.59 | $18,264.11 |
+$364.38 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$18,264.11
Net Profit/Loss:
+$8,264.11
Total Return:
+82.64%