ABBV Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 40 trades in period
+11.10%
Last 6 Months Return
$11,627.09
Current Value
63%
Win Rate
$10,465.28
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
49.1 neutral
20d Trend
+0.3%
5d Trend
-0.7%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
25
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
2.3/35
Total Return
10.3/25
Win Rate
6.8/15
Profit Factor
0.7/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
25.5/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 25.3
30-Day Momentum
29
+2.7%
30d Return
71%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 37.9
Conf: 0.78×
Steady (+4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,465.28
Current Value
$11,627.09
Period P&L
$1,161.82
Max Drawdown
-25.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
40
Winners / Losers
25 /
15
Best Trade
+3.77%
Worst Trade
-3.30%
Avg Trade Return
+0.30%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$847,325.81
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,161.82
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,161.82
Gross Return
+11.10%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.10%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ABBV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 40 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $10,465.28 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 11:00am ET | $207.61 | 50 | $10,380.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:45am ET | $211.80 | 50 | $10,590.00 | $10,674.77 |
+$209.50 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 10:10am ET | $212.05 | 50 | $10,602.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 9:35am ET | $216.50 | 50 | $10,825.00 | $10,897.27 |
+$222.50 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:50am ET | $217.43 | 50 | $10,871.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 10:20am ET | $210.79 | 50 | $10,539.50 | $10,565.27 |
$-332.00 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 11:10am ET | $207.53 | 50 | $10,376.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 3:55pm ET | $212.04 | 50 | $10,602.25 | $10,791.02 |
+$225.75 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 10:10am ET | $211.64 | 50 | $10,581.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 11:10am ET | $204.66 | 50 | $10,233.00 | $10,442.03 |
$-348.99 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 11:45am ET | $208.35 | 50 | $10,417.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $206.57 | 50 | $10,328.50 | $10,353.03 |
$-89.00 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $202.33 | 51 | $10,318.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $198.98 | 51 | $10,147.98 | $10,182.18 |
$-170.85 (-1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 11:15am ET | $198.76 | 51 | $10,136.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 11:15am ET | $202.82 | 51 | $10,343.82 | $10,389.24 |
+$207.06 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 11:50am ET | $212.64 | 48 | $10,206.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 3:25pm ET | $206.10 | 48 | $9,892.80 | $10,075.32 |
$-313.92 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 3:30pm ET | $207.57 | 48 | $9,963.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $201.24 | 48 | $9,659.52 | $9,771.48 |
$-303.84 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 10:10am ET | $203.65 | 47 | $9,571.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 10:50am ET | $207.88 | 47 | $9,770.48 | $9,970.41 |
+$198.93 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 12:45pm ET | $206.72 | 48 | $9,922.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 9:55am ET | $211.81 | 48 | $10,166.88 | $10,214.73 |
+$244.32 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.2h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 10:10am ET | $211.34 | 48 | $10,144.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 10:10am ET | $211.87 | 48 | $10,169.76 | $10,240.41 |
+$25.68 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 2:05pm ET | $214.83 | 47 | $10,097.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 10:15am ET | $219.79 | 47 | $10,329.90 | $10,473.30 |
+$232.89 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.2h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 10:25am ET | $212.81 | 49 | $10,427.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 9:45am ET | $217.23 | 49 | $10,644.27 | $10,689.88 |
+$216.58 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2026 10:00am ET | $216.32 | 49 | $10,599.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 9:55am ET | $209.33 | 49 | $10,257.17 | $10,347.61 |
$-342.27 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 10:25am ET | $217.63 | 47 | $10,228.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 10:15am ET | $222.00 | 47 | $10,434.00 | $10,552.77 |
+$205.16 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 2:30pm ET | $229.17 | 46 | $10,541.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 12:15pm ET | $222.23 | 46 | $10,222.58 | $10,233.53 |
$-319.24 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 12:30pm ET | $226.71 | 45 | $10,201.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $221.80 | 45 | $9,981.00 | $10,012.58 |
$-220.95 (-2.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 9:45am ET | $219.71 | 45 | $9,887.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $227.99 | 45 | $10,259.55 | $10,384.96 |
+$372.38 (+3.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 9:45am ET | $232.00 | 44 | $10,208.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 9:45am ET | $237.08 | 44 | $10,431.52 | $10,608.48 |
+$223.52 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 11:40am ET | $241.37 | 43 | $10,378.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $247.78 | 43 | $10,654.54 | $10,884.32 |
+$275.84 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 12:10pm ET | $254.21 | 42 | $10,676.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 10:50am ET | $259.61 | 42 | $10,903.79 | $11,111.50 |
+$227.18 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 11:20am ET | $255.84 | 43 | $11,001.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 3:15pm ET | $248.16 | 43 | $10,670.88 | $10,781.26 |
$-330.24 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 10:05am ET | $246.37 | 43 | $10,593.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 10:20am ET | $251.31 | 43 | $10,806.33 | $10,993.89 |
+$212.63 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 12:35pm ET | $257.01 | 42 | $10,794.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 12:35pm ET | $255.41 | 42 | $10,727.43 | $10,926.90 |
$-66.99 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 3:20pm ET | $256.11 | 42 | $10,756.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $261.41 | 42 | $10,979.22 | $11,149.50 |
+$222.60 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 10:35am ET | $265.25 | 42 | $11,140.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:45am ET | $256.68 | 42 | $10,780.77 | $10,789.77 |
$-359.73 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 9:55am ET | $249.68 | 43 | $10,736.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 9:55am ET | $245.38 | 43 | $10,551.34 | $10,604.87 |
$-184.90 (-1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 10:25am ET | $242.05 | 43 | $10,408.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 3:35pm ET | $247.09 | 43 | $10,624.87 | $10,821.59 |
+$216.72 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 3:45pm ET | $249.48 | 43 | $10,727.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $254.52 | 43 | $10,944.53 | $11,038.70 |
+$217.11 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.7d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 10:30am ET | $248.49 | 44 | $10,933.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $253.94 | 44 | $11,173.36 | $11,278.50 |
+$239.80 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 10:05am ET | $264.46 | 42 | $11,107.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 10:05am ET | $265.50 | 42 | $11,151.00 | $11,321.97 |
+$43.47 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 10:05am ET | $264.46 | 42 | $11,107.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $263.62 | 42 | $11,072.14 | $11,286.59 |
$-35.38 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $259.59 | 43 | $11,162.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $260.90 | 43 | $11,218.91 | $11,343.14 |
+$56.55 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $259.59 | 43 | $11,162.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET | $260.81 | 43 | $11,214.83 | $11,395.60 |
+$52.46 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.1d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 11:55am ET | $257.21 | 44 | $11,317.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 3:15pm ET | $249.40 | 44 | $10,973.60 | $11,051.96 |
$-343.64 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 12:00pm ET | $251.93 | 43 | $10,832.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 9:35am ET | $257.66 | 43 | $11,079.38 | $11,298.35 |
+$246.39 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.6h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 12:05pm ET | $262.08 | 43 | $11,269.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $263.92 | 43 | $11,348.77 | $11,377.69 |
+$79.34 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $262.54 | 43 | $11,289.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 10:10am ET | $268.34 | 43 | $11,538.62 | $11,627.09 |
+$249.40 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,627.09
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,627.09
Total Return:
+16.27%