Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:15:00

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
28.2 oversold
20d Trend
-17.1%
5d Trend
-11.3%
EMA20 Dist
-10.7%
ATR%
4.7%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

8
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
4.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 8.4/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 8.4

30-Day Momentum

9
-3.9%
30d Return
57%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.1 Conf: 0.78×
Steady (+1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)

Market Closed (5 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$6,450.59
Current Value
$5,988.43
Period P&L
$-462.15
Max Drawdown
-41.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
50
Winners / Losers
29 / 21
Best Trade
+4.55%
Worst Trade
-6.25%
Avg Trade Return
-0.10%
Avg Hold Time
2.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$632,991.66
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-462.15
Net P&L (after fees)
$-462.15
Gross Return
-7.16%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.16%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ACN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 50 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $6,450.59 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $194.05 33 $6,403.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $196.85 33 $6,496.05 $6,542.81 +$92.24
(+1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:00am ET $197.69 33 $6,523.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $197.16 33 $6,506.28 $6,525.32 $-17.49
(-0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:40am ET $196.77 33 $6,493.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $190.74 33 $6,294.58 $6,326.56 $-198.76
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:45am ET $182.71 34 $6,212.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 11:40am ET $186.55 34 $6,342.70 $6,457.12 +$130.56
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 12:00pm ET $190.47 33 $6,285.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $194.71 33 $6,425.27 $6,596.88 +$139.76
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.5h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 10:25am ET $191.91 34 $6,524.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $195.86 34 $6,659.24 $6,731.18 +$134.30
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:45am ET $197.36 34 $6,710.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 9:35am ET $190.67 34 $6,482.78 $6,503.72 $-227.46
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:40am ET $178.27 36 $6,417.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:40am ET $178.80 36 $6,436.80 $6,522.80 +$19.08
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 11:20am ET $177.48 36 $6,389.28 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:50am ET $181.53 36 $6,535.08 $6,668.60 +$145.80
(+2.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
10 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 10:00am ET $173.85 38 $6,606.30 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 11:10am ET $177.45 38 $6,743.10 $6,805.40 +$136.80
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held
11 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 11:20am ET $176.69 38 $6,714.22 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 2:35pm ET $180.40 38 $6,855.20 $6,946.38 +$140.98
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
12 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 9:50am ET $176.63 39 $6,888.38 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 3:15pm ET $171.17 39 $6,675.63 $6,733.63 $-212.75
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
13 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 10:40am ET $164.27 40 $6,571.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 12:15pm ET $167.72 40 $6,708.92 $6,871.55 +$137.92
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
14 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 12:45pm ET $174.18 39 $6,793.21 — — —
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 9:30am ET $180.00 39 $7,020.00 $7,098.34 +$226.79
(+3.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.8h held
15 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 12:30pm ET $178.47 39 $6,960.33 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $175.23 39 $6,833.78 $6,971.79 $-126.55
(-1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held
16 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 11:10am ET $176.57 39 $6,886.42 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 10:30am ET $180.13 39 $7,025.26 $7,110.63 +$138.84
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 12:25pm ET $196.99 36 $7,091.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $189.46 36 $6,820.56 $6,839.55 $-271.08
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.1h held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:40am ET $180.46 37 $6,676.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:40am ET $176.74 37 $6,539.32 $6,702.03 $-137.52
(-2.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:20am ET $175.07 38 $6,652.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $168.68 38 $6,409.84 $6,459.21 $-242.82
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $168.63 38 $6,407.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:40am ET $172.15 38 $6,541.64 $6,592.91 +$133.70
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:55am ET $169.04 39 $6,592.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 11:55am ET $163.70 39 $6,384.30 $6,384.65 $-208.26
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 12:05pm ET $128.59 49 $6,300.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $124.31 49 $6,091.19 $6,175.17 $-209.48
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 10:10am ET $125.80 49 $6,164.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 9:50am ET $128.39 49 $6,291.11 $6,302.08 +$126.91
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 10:50am ET $128.01 49 $6,272.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 9:35am ET $123.15 49 $6,034.35 $6,064.18 $-237.90
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
25 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 2:00pm ET $133.19 45 $5,993.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 10:35am ET $136.52 45 $6,143.62 $6,214.26 +$150.07
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.6h held
26 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 10:50am ET $135.61 45 $6,102.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $141.78 45 $6,380.10 $6,491.91 +$277.65
(+4.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.7h held
27 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET $139.10 46 $6,398.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $130.40 46 $5,998.40 $6,091.94 $-399.97
(-6.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
28 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 9:50am ET $139.71 43 $6,007.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 2:45pm ET $135.15 43 $5,811.24 $5,895.86 $-196.08
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9h held
29 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 2:50pm ET $138.48 42 $5,815.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $132.07 42 $5,546.94 $5,626.85 $-269.01
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.7h held
30 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 1:10pm ET $138.24 40 $5,529.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 12:20pm ET $141.73 40 $5,669.20 $5,766.45 +$139.60
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held
31 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 2:25pm ET $143.98 40 $5,759.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 1:30pm ET $139.65 40 $5,586.00 $5,593.25 $-173.20
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
32 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 3:35pm ET $137.93 40 $5,517.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET $141.55 40 $5,662.00 $5,738.05 +$144.80
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
17.9h held
33 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 10:50am ET $153.58 37 $5,682.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 2:45pm ET $156.79 37 $5,801.23 $5,856.82 +$118.77
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9h held
34 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 3:05pm ET $163.87 35 $5,735.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 9:45am ET $167.16 35 $5,850.77 $5,972.06 +$115.24
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.7h held
35 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2026 9:55am ET $163.62 36 $5,890.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $170.43 36 $6,135.66 $6,217.40 +$245.34
(+4.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
36 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $163.56 38 $6,215.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 1:20pm ET $167.15 38 $6,351.89 $6,354.01 +$136.61
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8h held
37 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 2:30pm ET $170.01 37 $6,290.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $160.78 37 $5,948.86 $6,012.68 $-341.33
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19h held
38 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 11:05am ET $172.96 34 $5,880.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 9:40am ET $176.75 34 $6,009.50 $6,141.71 +$129.03
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
39 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 9:40am ET $176.66 34 $6,006.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET $183.13 34 $6,226.42 $6,361.69 +$219.98
(+3.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
40 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 9:30am ET $176.22 36 $6,343.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 2:15pm ET $170.72 36 $6,145.92 $6,163.69 $-198.00
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
41 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 2:15pm ET $175.93 35 $6,157.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:45am ET $179.73 35 $6,290.55 $6,296.51 +$132.82
(+2.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.5h held
42 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 10:00am ET $184.20 34 $6,262.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 10:50am ET $188.16 34 $6,397.44 $6,431.15 +$134.64
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
43 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 12:15pm ET $186.65 34 $6,345.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:35am ET $191.32 34 $6,505.05 $6,590.27 +$159.12
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
44 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:50am ET $187.26 35 $6,554.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 2:25pm ET $191.05 35 $6,686.92 $6,722.92 +$132.65
(+2.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.6h held
45 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 10:05am ET $188.32 35 $6,591.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $192.93 35 $6,752.55 $6,884.09 +$161.17
(+2.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held
46 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:40am ET $189.24 36 $6,812.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $178.00 36 $6,408.00 $6,479.63 $-404.46
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
47 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:35am ET $178.75 36 $6,435.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 2:55pm ET $182.49 36 $6,569.64 $6,614.27 +$134.64
(+2.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held
48 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $193.93 34 $6,593.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $187.17 34 $6,363.78 $6,384.43 $-229.84
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
49 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 9:45am ET $188.60 33 $6,223.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 10:25am ET $182.48 33 $6,021.84 $6,182.47 $-201.96
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
50 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 10:25am ET $183.10 33 $6,042.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $177.22 33 $5,848.26 $5,988.43 $-194.04
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,988.43
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,011.57
Total Return: -40.12%
Back to Rebel Contraire