AMGN Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 43 trades in period
+16.14%
Last 6 Months Return
$13,103.21
Current Value
60%
Win Rate
$11,281.76
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+13.8%
5d Trend
+8.9%
EMA20 Dist
+7.0%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
95%
Bounce Ratio
3.1×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
32
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
5.2/35
Total Return
12.5/25
Win Rate
6.1/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality
31.8/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 31.7
30-Day Momentum
12
-6.1%
30d Return
56%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 14.4
Conf: 0.84×
Declining (-20 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$11,281.76
Current Value
$13,103.21
Period P&L
$1,821.44
Max Drawdown
-20.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
43
Winners / Losers
26 /
17
Best Trade
+2.79%
Worst Trade
-7.88%
Avg Trade Return
+0.34%
Avg Hold Time
3.2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,041,850.09
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,821.44
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,821.44
Gross Return
+16.14%
Net Return (after fees)
+16.14%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AMGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 43 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $11,281.76 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 9:55am ET | $353.15 | 32 | $11,300.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:55am ET | $347.81 | 32 | $11,129.92 | $11,291.75 |
$-170.88 (-1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 11:00am ET | $356.05 | 31 | $11,037.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 11:00am ET | $350.26 | 31 | $10,858.06 | $11,112.26 |
$-179.49 (-1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 11:30am ET | $349.49 | 31 | $10,834.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $345.81 | 31 | $10,720.11 | $10,998.18 |
$-114.08 (-1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 10:55am ET | $338.67 | 32 | $10,837.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:50am ET | $345.52 | 32 | $11,056.64 | $11,217.22 |
+$219.04 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.9h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 10:15am ET | $353.82 | 31 | $10,968.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 10:15am ET | $350.70 | 31 | $10,871.85 | $11,120.81 |
$-96.41 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 10:35am ET | $347.14 | 32 | $11,108.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 11:35am ET | $354.36 | 32 | $11,339.68 | $11,352.01 |
+$231.20 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 12:10pm ET | $351.42 | 32 | $11,245.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:50am ET | $340.42 | 32 | $10,893.28 | $10,999.85 |
$-352.16 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.7h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 10:10am ET | $346.49 | 31 | $10,741.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 10:10am ET | $346.17 | 31 | $10,731.27 | $10,989.78 |
$-10.07 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 10:10am ET | $341.99 | 32 | $10,943.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 11:35am ET | $348.89 | 32 | $11,164.32 | $11,210.42 |
+$220.64 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 3:40pm ET | $327.99 | 34 | $11,151.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 3:40pm ET | $331.19 | 34 | $11,260.46 | $11,319.05 |
+$108.63 (+1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 3:40pm ET | $328.08 | 34 | $11,154.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 10:45am ET | $334.88 | 34 | $11,385.92 | $11,550.08 |
+$231.03 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 12:00pm ET | $332.41 | 34 | $11,301.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 12:00pm ET | $323.22 | 34 | $10,989.48 | $11,237.62 |
$-312.46 (-2.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 12:00pm ET | $330.45 | 34 | $11,235.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 3:40pm ET | $337.31 | 34 | $11,468.54 | $11,470.86 |
+$233.24 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 11:25am ET | $336.91 | 34 | $11,454.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $331.95 | 34 | $11,286.30 | $11,302.22 |
$-168.64 (-1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $327.95 | 34 | $11,150.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 11:40am ET | $334.55 | 34 | $11,374.70 | $11,526.45 |
+$224.23 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 12:00pm ET | $343.70 | 33 | $11,342.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $351.15 | 33 | $11,587.95 | $11,772.30 |
+$245.85 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.5h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 10:30am ET | $347.49 | 33 | $11,467.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 1:35pm ET | $354.49 | 33 | $11,698.17 | $12,003.30 |
+$231.00 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 1:55pm ET | $353.56 | 33 | $11,667.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 1:55pm ET | $344.92 | 33 | $11,382.36 | $11,718.18 |
$-285.12 (-2.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 3:10pm ET | $334.68 | 35 | $11,713.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $342.23 | 35 | $11,978.05 | $11,982.43 |
+$264.25 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 10:40am ET | $347.25 | 34 | $11,806.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 3:20pm ET | $354.31 | 34 | $12,046.54 | $12,222.47 |
+$240.04 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 12:10pm ET | $359.28 | 34 | $12,215.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 12:10pm ET | $361.64 | 34 | $12,295.76 | $12,302.71 |
+$80.24 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 9:40am ET | $364.62 | 33 | $12,032.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $374.25 | 33 | $12,350.25 | $12,620.50 |
+$317.79 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $363.98 | 34 | $12,375.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $358.35 | 34 | $12,183.73 | $12,428.99 |
$-191.51 (-1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 10:25am ET | $356.10 | 34 | $12,107.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $363.70 | 34 | $12,365.97 | $12,687.56 |
+$258.57 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 10:00am ET | $375.44 | 33 | $12,389.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 1:20pm ET | $363.92 | 33 | $12,009.52 | $12,307.57 |
$-380.00 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 1:20pm ET | $366.04 | 33 | $12,079.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $375.27 | 33 | $12,383.91 | $12,612.16 |
+$304.59 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 11:25am ET | $378.70 | 33 | $12,497.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $388.24 | 33 | $12,811.92 | $12,926.98 |
+$314.82 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.1h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 10:05am ET | $394.74 | 32 | $12,631.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $379.74 | 32 | $12,151.84 | $12,447.14 |
$-479.84 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 10:00am ET | $380.72 | 32 | $12,183.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $389.50 | 32 | $12,464.00 | $12,728.10 |
+$280.96 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 11:10am ET | $383.17 | 33 | $12,644.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $393.36 | 33 | $12,980.88 | $13,064.53 |
+$336.43 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 9:55am ET | $405.95 | 32 | $12,990.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 12:35pm ET | $414.10 | 32 | $13,251.04 | $13,325.01 |
+$260.48 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 12:40pm ET | $413.53 | 32 | $13,233.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $412.99 | 32 | $13,215.68 | $13,307.60 |
$-17.41 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 10:30am ET | $424.23 | 31 | $13,151.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 9:40am ET | $436.06 | 31 | $13,517.86 | $13,674.18 |
+$366.58 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 10:00am ET | $436.13 | 31 | $13,519.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 3:35pm ET | $445.10 | 31 | $13,798.10 | $13,952.41 |
+$278.23 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 10:00am ET | $436.13 | 31 | $13,519.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $441.50 | 31 | $13,686.42 | $14,118.96 |
+$166.55 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 11:35am ET | $440.25 | 32 | $14,087.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $426.77 | 32 | $13,656.64 | $13,687.68 |
$-431.28 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 10:25am ET | $433.77 | 31 | $13,446.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $444.38 | 31 | $13,775.78 | $14,016.75 |
+$329.06 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 11:35am ET | $440.25 | 32 | $14,087.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 11:35am ET | $442.70 | 32 | $14,166.56 | $14,095.39 |
+$78.64 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 12:45pm ET | $437.78 | 32 | $14,008.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $403.29 | 32 | $12,905.28 | $12,991.71 |
$-1,103.68 (-7.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 10:15am ET | $393.93 | 32 | $12,605.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 12:50pm ET | $382.02 | 32 | $12,224.80 | $12,610.59 |
$-381.12 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 1:10pm ET | $379.33 | 33 | $12,517.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 1:10pm ET | $377.70 | 33 | $12,464.10 | $12,556.80 |
$-53.79 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 1:15pm ET | $380.23 | 33 | $12,547.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 9:45am ET | $389.04 | 33 | $12,838.32 | $12,847.53 |
+$290.73 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 10:05am ET | $398.99 | 32 | $12,767.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 11:00am ET | $406.98 | 32 | $13,023.36 | $13,103.21 |
+$255.68 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
55m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$13,103.21
Net Profit/Loss:
+$3,103.21
Total Return:
+31.03%