AMZN Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 42 trades in period
-1.54%
Last 6 Months Return
$10,912.76
Current Value
55%
Win Rate
$11,083.70
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.18%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
22.1 oversold
20d Trend
-18.5%
5d Trend
-17.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.4%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored Sep 25, 2026
21
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
1.2/35
Total Return
8.4/25
Win Rate
6.0/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
21.3/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 21.2
30-Day Momentum
5
-1.7%
30d Return
43%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 6.8
Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-16 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$11,083.70
Current Value
$10,912.76
Period P&L
$-170.93
Max Drawdown
-27.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
42
Winners / Losers
23 /
19
Best Trade
+11.15%
Worst Trade
-5.25%
Avg Trade Return
+0.06%
Avg Hold Time
2.8d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$964,182.21
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-170.93
Net P&L (after fees)
$-170.93
Gross Return
-1.54%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.54%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AMZN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 42 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $11,083.70 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:45am ET | $206.97 | 52 | $10,762.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $211.36 | 52 | $10,990.72 | $11,031.44 |
+$228.28 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 11:20am ET | $211.78 | 52 | $11,012.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $204.04 | 52 | $10,610.08 | $10,628.96 |
$-402.48 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.2h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 9:50am ET | $200.46 | 53 | $10,624.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $204.88 | 53 | $10,858.38 | $10,863.22 |
+$234.26 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:50am ET | $208.66 | 52 | $10,850.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 12:00pm ET | $213.11 | 52 | $11,081.72 | $11,094.36 |
+$231.14 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.2h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 12:05pm ET | $209.54 | 52 | $10,896.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 12:05pm ET | $211.45 | 52 | $10,995.40 | $11,193.68 |
+$99.32 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 1:10pm ET | $221.99 | 50 | $11,099.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 10:50am ET | $227.68 | 50 | $11,383.75 | $11,477.68 |
+$284.00 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.7h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 11:35am ET | $238.95 | 48 | $11,469.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $245.23 | 48 | $11,771.04 | $11,779.36 |
+$301.68 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:40am ET | $247.83 | 47 | $11,647.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $255.01 | 47 | $11,985.24 | $12,116.79 |
+$337.43 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:40am ET | $247.57 | 48 | $11,883.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $253.46 | 48 | $12,166.32 | $12,399.87 |
+$283.08 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 11:30am ET | $252.99 | 49 | $12,396.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 11:10am ET | $258.30 | 49 | $12,656.70 | $12,660.06 |
+$260.19 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 2:05pm ET | $263.42 | 48 | $12,644.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 2:05pm ET | $263.44 | 48 | $12,645.12 | $12,661.02 |
+$0.96 (+0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 2:55pm ET | $263.56 | 48 | $12,650.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 10:05am ET | $271.05 | 48 | $13,010.40 | $13,020.54 |
+$359.52 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.2h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 11:00am ET | $273.40 | 47 | $12,849.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $270.16 | 47 | $12,697.52 | $12,868.26 |
$-152.28 (-1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $266.35 | 48 | $12,784.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $263.84 | 48 | $12,664.42 | $12,747.88 |
$-120.38 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 9:40am ET | $260.29 | 48 | $12,493.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 11:50am ET | $265.57 | 48 | $12,747.12 | $13,001.08 |
+$253.20 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 12:10pm ET | $268.85 | 48 | $12,904.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 12:10pm ET | $269.90 | 48 | $12,955.20 | $13,051.48 |
+$50.40 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 2:15pm ET | $272.13 | 47 | $12,790.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 9:40am ET | $263.11 | 47 | $12,366.40 | $12,627.77 |
$-423.71 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 11:50am ET | $259.98 | 48 | $12,479.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 10:50am ET | $251.88 | 48 | $12,090.24 | $12,238.73 |
$-389.04 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 10:55am ET | $253.65 | 48 | $12,175.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $245.97 | 48 | $11,806.56 | $11,870.09 |
$-368.64 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 9:50am ET | $248.41 | 47 | $11,675.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 12:55pm ET | $240.88 | 47 | $11,321.59 | $11,516.41 |
$-353.68 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 1:35pm ET | $238.28 | 48 | $11,437.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $243.21 | 48 | $11,674.08 | $11,753.19 |
+$236.78 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 11:30am ET | $246.08 | 47 | $11,565.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 3:00pm ET | $238.36 | 47 | $11,202.92 | $11,390.35 |
$-362.84 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 9:55am ET | $238.76 | 47 | $11,221.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $226.23 | 47 | $10,632.81 | $10,801.44 |
$-588.91 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 9:50am ET | $226.54 | 47 | $10,647.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 10:45am ET | $231.58 | 47 | $10,884.26 | $11,038.32 |
+$236.88 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
55m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 11:05am ET | $243.36 | 45 | $10,951.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $243.63 | 45 | $10,963.13 | $11,050.24 |
+$11.92 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 10:30am ET | $245.03 | 45 | $11,026.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $250.10 | 45 | $11,254.28 | $11,278.17 |
+$227.93 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 11:45am ET | $248.25 | 45 | $11,171.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 10:00am ET | $253.46 | 45 | $11,405.48 | $11,512.40 |
+$234.23 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 2:15pm ET | $253.62 | 45 | $11,412.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $245.95 | 45 | $11,067.75 | $11,167.25 |
$-345.15 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 9:55am ET | $248.57 | 44 | $10,937.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $236.28 | 44 | $10,396.32 | $10,626.48 |
$-540.76 (-4.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 1:05pm ET | $233.18 | 45 | $10,493.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 1:05pm ET | $230.13 | 45 | $10,355.85 | $10,489.01 |
$-137.47 (-1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 1:55pm ET | $237.62 | 44 | $10,455.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $264.11 | 44 | $11,620.84 | $11,654.79 |
+$1,165.78 (+11.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.6h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 10:05am ET | $284.01 | 41 | $11,644.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 11:30am ET | $275.30 | 41 | $11,287.50 | $11,297.88 |
$-356.91 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 11:45am ET | $273.65 | 41 | $11,219.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 11:20am ET | $279.18 | 41 | $11,446.38 | $11,524.61 |
+$226.73 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 11:40am ET | $272.57 | 42 | $11,447.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $264.24 | 42 | $11,098.08 | $11,174.75 |
$-349.86 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $261.60 | 42 | $10,987.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $259.87 | 42 | $10,914.54 | $11,101.99 |
$-72.76 (-0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $261.60 | 42 | $10,987.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $261.27 | 42 | $10,973.55 | $11,088.24 |
$-13.75 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
9d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $257.92 | 42 | $10,832.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 10:45am ET | $263.63 | 42 | $11,072.46 | $11,328.06 |
+$239.82 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 12:25pm ET | $260.95 | 43 | $11,220.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $256.89 | 43 | $11,046.48 | $11,153.69 |
$-174.37 (-1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7.9d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 10:40am ET | $252.13 | 44 | $11,093.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 3:00pm ET | $257.25 | 44 | $11,319.00 | $11,378.97 |
+$225.28 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 9:55am ET | $252.64 | 45 | $11,368.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 3:20pm ET | $244.88 | 45 | $11,019.82 | $11,030.08 |
$-348.89 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 3:55pm ET | $251.44 | 43 | $10,811.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $256.52 | 43 | $11,030.36 | $11,248.52 |
+$218.44 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.7d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $256.09 | 43 | $11,011.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 10:20am ET | $248.28 | 43 | $10,676.11 | $10,912.76 |
$-335.76 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,912.76
Net Profit/Loss:
+$912.76
Total Return:
+9.13%