AMZN Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-01-26 to present • 41 trades in period
+5.05%
Last 6 Months Return
$11,278.17
Current Value
63%
Win Rate
$10,736.35
Period Start
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.
Fear & Greed
26
Fear
VIX
18.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.71%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.1 oversold
20d Trend
-18.5%
5d Trend
-17.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.4%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Jul 26, 2026
23
Lifetime
Confidence: 95%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
1.7/35
Total Return
9.5/25
Win Rate
6.5/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality
23.8/100
× Confidence 0.95
= 22.7
30-Day Momentum
32
+4.4%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
3
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 52.5
Conf: 0.61×
Steady (+9 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (95%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,830
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-26 → 2026-07-24
Trading Days
126 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,736.35
Current Value
$11,278.17
Period P&L
$541.82
Max Drawdown
-27.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.06
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
41
Winners / Losers
26 /
15
Best Trade
+2.90%
Worst Trade
-5.25%
Avg Trade Return
+0.16%
Avg Hold Time
2.4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$934,011.83
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$541.82
Net P&L (after fees)
$541.82
Gross Return
+5.05%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.05%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AMZN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 126 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 41 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $10,736.35 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 10:35am ET | $237.84 | 44 | $10,464.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 1:15pm ET | $242.65 | 44 | $10,676.60 | $10,907.95 |
+$211.64 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 1:25pm ET | $242.94 | 44 | $10,689.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 1:25pm ET | $243.59 | 44 | $10,717.74 | $10,936.33 |
+$28.38 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 1:40pm ET | $236.32 | 46 | $10,870.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $224.82 | 46 | $10,341.72 | $10,407.33 |
$-529.00 (-4.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 10:00am ET | $202.13 | 51 | $10,308.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 12:15pm ET | $207.10 | 51 | $10,561.85 | $10,660.71 |
+$253.38 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 12:15pm ET | $210.32 | 50 | $10,515.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET | $210.03 | 50 | $10,501.50 | $10,646.42 |
$-14.29 (-0.1%) |
📅 Sim Ended
1d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:45am ET | $197.31 | 53 | $10,457.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 11:20am ET | $201.51 | 53 | $10,680.03 | $10,869.02 |
+$222.60 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.6h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 11:25am ET | $206.29 | 52 | $10,727.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 11:00am ET | $210.90 | 52 | $10,966.80 | $11,108.48 |
+$239.46 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 12:05pm ET | $203.95 | 54 | $11,013.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 11:05am ET | $208.48 | 54 | $11,257.92 | $11,353.27 |
+$244.79 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 11:10am ET | $210.07 | 54 | $11,344.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 11:10am ET | $208.01 | 54 | $11,232.81 | $11,242.03 |
$-111.24 (-1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 11:20am ET | $204.84 | 54 | $11,061.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 3:10pm ET | $208.96 | 54 | $11,283.84 | $11,464.51 |
+$222.48 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 3:15pm ET | $216.37 | 52 | $11,250.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $209.60 | 52 | $10,899.20 | $11,112.73 |
$-351.78 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 11:15am ET | $214.85 | 51 | $10,957.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 11:15am ET | $208.30 | 51 | $10,623.30 | $10,778.68 |
$-334.05 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 11:25am ET | $208.23 | 51 | $10,619.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 3:10pm ET | $212.70 | 51 | $10,847.70 | $11,006.65 |
+$227.97 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.2d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 3:30pm ET | $215.18 | 51 | $10,974.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $207.05 | 51 | $10,559.55 | $10,592.02 |
$-414.63 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 11:30am ET | $206.27 | 51 | $10,519.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $210.41 | 51 | $10,730.91 | $10,803.16 |
+$211.14 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:45am ET | $206.97 | 52 | $10,762.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $211.36 | 52 | $10,990.72 | $11,031.44 |
+$228.28 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 11:20am ET | $211.78 | 52 | $11,012.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $204.04 | 52 | $10,610.08 | $10,628.96 |
$-402.48 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.2h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 9:50am ET | $200.46 | 53 | $10,624.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $204.88 | 53 | $10,858.38 | $10,863.22 |
+$234.26 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:50am ET | $208.66 | 52 | $10,850.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 12:00pm ET | $213.11 | 52 | $11,081.72 | $11,094.36 |
+$231.14 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.2h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 12:05pm ET | $209.54 | 52 | $10,896.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 12:05pm ET | $211.45 | 52 | $10,995.40 | $11,193.68 |
+$99.32 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 1:10pm ET | $221.99 | 50 | $11,099.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 10:50am ET | $227.68 | 50 | $11,383.75 | $11,477.68 |
+$284.00 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.7h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 11:35am ET | $238.95 | 48 | $11,469.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $245.23 | 48 | $11,771.04 | $11,779.36 |
+$301.68 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 9:40am ET | $247.83 | 47 | $11,647.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $255.01 | 47 | $11,985.24 | $12,116.79 |
+$337.43 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 9:40am ET | $247.57 | 48 | $11,883.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $253.46 | 48 | $12,166.32 | $12,399.87 |
+$283.08 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 11:30am ET | $252.99 | 49 | $12,396.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 11:10am ET | $258.30 | 49 | $12,656.70 | $12,660.06 |
+$260.19 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 2:05pm ET | $263.42 | 48 | $12,644.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 2:05pm ET | $263.44 | 48 | $12,645.12 | $12,661.02 |
+$0.96 (+0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 2:55pm ET | $263.56 | 48 | $12,650.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 10:05am ET | $271.05 | 48 | $13,010.40 | $13,020.54 |
+$359.52 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.2h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 11:00am ET | $273.40 | 47 | $12,849.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $270.16 | 47 | $12,697.52 | $12,868.26 |
$-152.28 (-1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $266.35 | 48 | $12,784.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $263.84 | 48 | $12,664.42 | $12,747.88 |
$-120.38 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 9:40am ET | $260.29 | 48 | $12,493.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 11:50am ET | $265.57 | 48 | $12,747.12 | $13,001.08 |
+$253.20 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 12:10pm ET | $268.85 | 48 | $12,904.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 12:10pm ET | $269.90 | 48 | $12,955.20 | $13,051.48 |
+$50.40 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 2:15pm ET | $272.13 | 47 | $12,790.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 9:40am ET | $263.11 | 47 | $12,366.40 | $12,627.77 |
$-423.71 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 11:50am ET | $259.98 | 48 | $12,479.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 10:50am ET | $251.88 | 48 | $12,090.24 | $12,238.73 |
$-389.04 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 10:55am ET | $253.65 | 48 | $12,175.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $245.97 | 48 | $11,806.56 | $11,870.09 |
$-368.64 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2026 9:50am ET | $248.41 | 47 | $11,675.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 12:55pm ET | $240.88 | 47 | $11,321.59 | $11,516.41 |
$-353.68 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 1:35pm ET | $238.28 | 48 | $11,437.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $243.21 | 48 | $11,674.08 | $11,753.19 |
+$236.78 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 11:30am ET | $246.08 | 47 | $11,565.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 3:00pm ET | $238.36 | 47 | $11,202.92 | $11,390.35 |
$-362.84 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 9:55am ET | $238.76 | 47 | $11,221.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $226.23 | 47 | $10,632.81 | $10,801.44 |
$-588.91 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 9:50am ET | $226.54 | 47 | $10,647.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 10:45am ET | $231.58 | 47 | $10,884.26 | $11,038.32 |
+$236.88 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
55m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 11:05am ET | $243.36 | 45 | $10,951.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $243.63 | 45 | $10,963.13 | $11,050.24 |
+$11.92 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 10:30am ET | $245.03 | 45 | $11,026.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $250.10 | 45 | $11,254.28 | $11,278.17 |
+$227.93 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,278.17
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,278.17
Total Return:
+12.78%