AVGO Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 50 trades in period
-29.58%
Last 6 Months Return
$12,225.06
Current Value
52%
Win Rate
$17,360.74
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
27
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
4.3/35
Total Return
11.9/25
Win Rate
6.2/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality
27.9/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 27.5
30-Day Momentum
6
-6.4%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.0
Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-21 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$17,360.74
Current Value
$12,225.06
Period P&L
$-5,135.64
Max Drawdown
-21.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.18
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
50
Winners / Losers
26 /
24
Best Trade
+4.39%
Worst Trade
-14.42%
Avg Trade Return
-0.64%
Avg Hold Time
2.6d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,528,489.40
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-5,135.64
Net P&L (after fees)
$-5,135.64
Gross Return
-29.58%
Net Return (after fees)
-29.58%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 50 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $17,360.74 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 12:05pm ET | $318.21 | 54 | $17,183.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $304.81 | 54 | $16,459.74 | $16,637.10 |
$-723.60 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 9:45am ET | $299.69 | 55 | $16,482.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:15pm ET | $290.67 | 55 | $15,986.85 | $16,141.00 |
$-496.10 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.5h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 3:50pm ET | $309.35 | 52 | $16,086.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $315.10 | 52 | $16,385.20 | $16,440.00 |
+$299.00 (+1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.7d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:50am ET | $325.20 | 50 | $16,260.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 12:45pm ET | $332.99 | 50 | $16,649.50 | $16,829.50 |
+$389.50 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 1:05pm ET | $349.21 | 48 | $16,762.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 11:45am ET | $356.27 | 48 | $17,100.96 | $17,168.37 |
+$338.87 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.7h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 1:05pm ET | $372.23 | 46 | $17,122.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $380.28 | 46 | $17,492.88 | $17,538.44 |
+$370.07 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 11:05am ET | $394.42 | 44 | $17,354.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:45am ET | $403.24 | 44 | $17,742.78 | $17,926.74 |
+$388.30 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 11:15am ET | $396.52 | 45 | $17,843.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $406.98 | 45 | $18,314.10 | $18,397.44 |
+$470.70 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 10:00am ET | $426.08 | 43 | $18,321.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 9:55am ET | $409.89 | 43 | $17,625.06 | $17,701.06 |
$-696.38 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 10:35am ET | $416.37 | 42 | $17,487.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $400.30 | 42 | $16,812.81 | $17,026.33 |
$-674.73 (-3.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $398.92 | 42 | $16,754.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $416.00 | 42 | $17,472.00 | $17,743.69 |
+$717.36 (+4.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:55am ET | $420.30 | 42 | $17,652.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 12:25pm ET | $429.53 | 42 | $18,040.26 | $18,131.35 |
+$387.66 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 12:30pm ET | $422.53 | 42 | $17,746.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 2:10pm ET | $409.26 | 42 | $17,188.92 | $17,574.01 |
$-557.34 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 2:30pm ET | $428.60 | 41 | $17,572.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 11:25am ET | $413.63 | 41 | $16,958.83 | $16,960.24 |
$-613.77 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 11:30am ET | $413.20 | 41 | $16,941.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $429.52 | 41 | $17,610.52 | $17,629.56 |
+$669.32 (+4.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.1h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $425.55 | 41 | $17,447.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $409.71 | 41 | $16,798.31 | $16,980.53 |
$-649.03 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 10:40am ET | $418.18 | 40 | $16,727.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $418.94 | 40 | $16,757.60 | $17,010.93 |
+$30.40 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 9:45am ET | $424.93 | 40 | $16,997.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $437.00 | 40 | $17,480.00 | $17,493.73 |
+$482.80 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 9:50am ET | $448.96 | 38 | $17,060.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 10:45am ET | $457.99 | 38 | $17,403.81 | $17,836.87 |
+$343.14 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
55m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 10:55am ET | $479.54 | 37 | $17,742.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $410.39 | 37 | $15,184.25 | $15,278.14 |
$-2,558.73 (-14.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $404.00 | 37 | $14,947.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 2:00pm ET | $391.69 | 37 | $14,492.53 | $14,822.73 |
$-455.41 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.5h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 2:45pm ET | $394.80 | 37 | $14,607.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 9:45am ET | $404.95 | 37 | $14,983.15 | $15,198.28 |
+$375.55 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 10:00am ET | $372.63 | 40 | $14,905.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 10:05am ET | $380.19 | 40 | $15,207.60 | $15,500.68 |
+$302.40 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 11:30am ET | $383.36 | 40 | $15,334.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $395.25 | 40 | $15,810.00 | $15,976.08 |
+$475.40 (+3.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 10:15am ET | $384.67 | 41 | $15,771.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 9:55am ET | $392.50 | 41 | $16,092.50 | $16,297.03 |
+$320.95 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 10:35am ET | $407.14 | 40 | $16,285.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 10:45am ET | $394.49 | 40 | $15,779.60 | $15,791.03 |
$-506.00 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 10:45am ET | $384.27 | 41 | $15,755.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $368.14 | 41 | $15,093.74 | $15,129.70 |
$-661.33 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 10:05am ET | $365.20 | 41 | $14,973.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 1:05pm ET | $372.55 | 41 | $15,274.55 | $15,430.85 |
+$301.15 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 1:15pm ET | $374.72 | 41 | $15,363.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 12:00pm ET | $363.17 | 41 | $14,889.97 | $14,957.30 |
$-473.55 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 12:25pm ET | $375.08 | 39 | $14,628.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 10:40am ET | $362.83 | 39 | $14,150.18 | $14,479.36 |
$-477.94 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 11:05am ET | $387.23 | 37 | $14,327.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $400.66 | 37 | $14,824.42 | $14,976.27 |
+$496.91 (+3.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 9:40am ET | $396.77 | 37 | $14,680.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 3:20pm ET | $384.62 | 37 | $14,230.94 | $14,526.72 |
$-449.55 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 3:20pm ET | $390.35 | 37 | $14,442.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 12:55pm ET | $378.60 | 37 | $14,008.20 | $14,091.97 |
$-434.75 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 1:40pm ET | $375.38 | 37 | $13,889.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 12:05pm ET | $383.23 | 37 | $14,179.51 | $14,382.42 |
+$290.45 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 2:00pm ET | $385.67 | 37 | $14,269.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 11:55am ET | $393.82 | 37 | $14,571.34 | $14,684.16 |
+$301.73 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.9h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 12:50pm ET | $390.54 | 37 | $14,449.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 10:25am ET | $377.33 | 37 | $13,961.03 | $14,195.20 |
$-488.95 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 9:40am ET | $396.77 | 37 | $14,680.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $381.86 | 37 | $14,128.64 | $13,643.35 |
$-551.85 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 11:15am ET | $385.98 | 35 | $13,509.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $402.92 | 35 | $14,102.03 | $14,236.07 |
+$592.72 (+4.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 10:40am ET | $419.35 | 33 | $13,838.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $429.19 | 33 | $14,163.27 | $14,560.84 |
+$324.77 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 10:25am ET | $429.60 | 33 | $14,176.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 2:15pm ET | $416.50 | 33 | $13,744.50 | $14,128.54 |
$-432.30 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 3:05pm ET | $416.46 | 33 | $13,743.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 9:50am ET | $399.80 | 33 | $13,193.47 | $13,578.66 |
$-549.88 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 10:00am ET | $393.31 | 34 | $13,372.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 9:45am ET | $381.31 | 34 | $12,964.54 | $13,170.66 |
$-408.00 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 9:45am ET | $362.52 | 36 | $13,050.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $370.67 | 36 | $13,344.12 | $13,464.06 |
+$293.40 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $361.65 | 37 | $13,381.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 12:10pm ET | $350.62 | 37 | $12,972.94 | $13,055.95 |
$-408.11 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 1:30pm ET | $368.80 | 35 | $12,908.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 1:30pm ET | $369.53 | 35 | $12,933.55 | $13,081.50 |
+$25.55 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 1:55pm ET | $367.20 | 35 | $12,852.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $346.93 | 35 | $12,142.55 | $12,372.05 |
$-709.45 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.6h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 9:55am ET | $357.09 | 34 | $12,141.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $368.92 | 34 | $12,543.45 | $12,774.44 |
+$402.39 (+3.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 9:45am ET | $362.60 | 35 | $12,691.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $349.22 | 35 | $12,222.70 | $12,306.14 |
$-468.30 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 10:00am ET | $344.08 | 35 | $12,042.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $352.42 | 35 | $12,334.53 | $12,597.87 |
+$291.73 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 12:40pm ET | $360.17 | 34 | $12,245.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $349.20 | 34 | $11,872.97 | $12,225.06 |
$-372.81 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,225.06
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,225.06
Total Return:
+22.25%