AXP Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-08-15 to present • 39 trades in period
+12.96%
Last 6 Months Return
$17,214.88
Current Value
62%
Win Rate
$15,240.17
Period Start
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
11,574
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-08-15 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
134 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$15,240.17
Current Value
$17,214.88
Period P&L
$1,974.70
Max Drawdown
-13.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.17
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
39
Winners / Losers
24 /
15
Best Trade
+2.92%
Worst Trade
-6.34%
Avg Trade Return
+0.38%
Avg Hold Time
3.1d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,296,772.91
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,974.70
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,974.70
Gross Return
+12.96%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.96%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AXP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 134 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 39 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $15,240.17 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2025 12:35pm ET | $304.65 | 49 | $14,927.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $304.22 | 49 | $14,906.78 | $15,005.98 |
$-21.07 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2025 10:50am ET | $307.06 | 48 | $14,738.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 22, 2025 10:00am ET | $316.02 | 48 | $15,168.96 | $15,436.06 |
+$430.08 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2025 10:40am ET | $317.46 | 48 | $15,237.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2025 9:40am ET | $324.34 | 48 | $15,568.32 | $15,766.54 |
+$330.48 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 29, 2025 9:55am ET | $328.67 | 47 | $15,447.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2025 9:55am ET | $328.73 | 47 | $15,450.31 | $15,769.36 |
+$2.82 (+0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2025 10:00am ET | $324.98 | 48 | $15,599.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $331.89 | 48 | $15,930.48 | $16,100.80 |
+$331.44 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2025 9:55am ET | $324.81 | 49 | $15,915.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $326.73 | 49 | $16,009.77 | $16,194.88 |
+$94.08 (+0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2025 10:00am ET | $324.49 | 49 | $15,899.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $332.02 | 49 | $16,268.74 | $16,563.85 |
+$368.97 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2025 10:45am ET | $338.56 | 48 | $16,250.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2025 9:45am ET | $346.82 | 48 | $16,647.60 | $16,960.56 |
+$396.72 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2025 10:10am ET | $341.81 | 49 | $16,748.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 29, 2025 10:10am ET | $340.12 | 49 | $16,665.64 | $16,877.51 |
$-83.05 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 30, 2025 10:25am ET | $333.90 | 50 | $16,695.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $333.60 | 50 | $16,679.75 | $16,862.26 |
$-15.25 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 7, 2025 10:40am ET | $329.45 | 51 | $16,802.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 1:10pm ET | $319.53 | 51 | $16,295.90 | $16,355.98 |
$-506.28 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 1:15pm ET | $323.04 | 50 | $16,152.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 10:05am ET | $329.54 | 50 | $16,477.00 | $16,680.98 |
+$325.00 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.8h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 15, 2025 10:35am ET | $334.74 | 49 | $16,402.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 16, 2025 12:30pm ET | $323.67 | 49 | $15,859.83 | $16,138.79 |
$-542.19 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $345.11 | 46 | $15,875.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $352.09 | 46 | $16,196.14 | $16,459.87 |
+$321.08 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 22, 2025 10:25am ET | $354.52 | 46 | $16,307.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 24, 2025 10:15am ET | $361.62 | 46 | $16,634.52 | $16,786.47 |
+$326.60 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 27, 2025 11:15am ET | $360.83 | 46 | $16,598.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $359.87 | 46 | $16,553.79 | $16,742.08 |
$-44.39 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 10:50am ET | $361.55 | 46 | $16,631.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $369.20 | 46 | $16,982.97 | $17,093.98 |
+$351.90 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 9:35am ET | $362.29 | 47 | $17,027.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $370.82 | 47 | $17,428.31 | $17,494.89 |
+$400.91 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 9:35am ET | $367.24 | 47 | $17,260.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 9:35am ET | $374.92 | 47 | $17,621.01 | $17,855.62 |
+$360.73 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 10:00am ET | $371.94 | 48 | $17,853.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $356.31 | 48 | $17,102.64 | $17,105.14 |
$-750.48 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.5h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 10:35am ET | $353.72 | 48 | $16,978.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 2:40pm ET | $342.92 | 48 | $16,460.16 | $16,586.56 |
$-518.58 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 3:10pm ET | $342.55 | 48 | $16,442.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $350.68 | 48 | $16,832.40 | $16,976.56 |
+$390.00 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 9:45am ET | $344.84 | 49 | $16,897.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 11:35am ET | $351.77 | 49 | $17,236.73 | $17,316.13 |
+$339.57 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 1:15pm ET | $354.68 | 48 | $17,024.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 2:30pm ET | $361.85 | 48 | $17,368.80 | $17,660.29 |
+$344.16 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 2:45pm ET | $365.90 | 48 | $17,563.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 2:45pm ET | $362.06 | 48 | $17,378.82 | $17,475.91 |
$-184.38 (-1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 3:45pm ET | $362.70 | 48 | $17,409.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 3:05pm ET | $370.09 | 48 | $17,764.32 | $17,830.87 |
+$354.96 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 10:15am ET | $373.15 | 47 | $17,537.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 11:45am ET | $361.88 | 47 | $17,008.27 | $17,301.32 |
$-529.55 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 12:20pm ET | $366.92 | 47 | $17,245.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 2:15pm ET | $374.29 | 47 | $17,591.63 | $17,647.71 |
+$346.39 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 10:55am ET | $382.53 | 46 | $17,596.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 10:55am ET | $378.36 | 46 | $17,404.56 | $17,456.08 |
$-191.64 (-1.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 11:15am ET | $378.49 | 46 | $17,410.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 11:15am ET | $381.00 | 46 | $17,526.00 | $17,571.54 |
+$115.46 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 24, 2025 11:40am ET | $383.21 | 45 | $17,244.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 11:40am ET | $376.65 | 45 | $16,949.25 | $17,276.34 |
$-295.20 (-1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 12:05pm ET | $373.56 | 46 | $17,183.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $376.79 | 46 | $17,332.22 | $17,424.61 |
+$148.28 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 2:25pm ET | $383.87 | 45 | $17,274.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $359.55 | 45 | $16,179.75 | $16,330.21 |
$-1,094.40 (-6.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $358.42 | 45 | $16,128.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 11:35am ET | $365.77 | 45 | $16,459.65 | $16,660.96 |
+$330.75 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 1:30pm ET | $356.12 | 46 | $16,381.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $365.74 | 46 | $16,824.04 | $17,103.48 |
+$442.52 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 10:10am ET | $361.45 | 47 | $16,988.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 10:10am ET | $359.95 | 47 | $16,917.42 | $17,032.74 |
$-70.73 (-0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 10:40am ET | $357.61 | 47 | $16,807.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 10:55am ET | $346.78 | 47 | $16,298.43 | $16,523.73 |
$-509.01 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 12:25pm ET | $352.17 | 46 | $16,199.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 11:30am ET | $359.82 | 46 | $16,551.72 | $16,875.63 |
+$351.90 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 2:45pm ET | $361.05 | 46 | $16,608.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 10:05am ET | $368.43 | 46 | $16,947.78 | $17,214.88 |
+$339.25 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.3h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$17,214.88
Net Profit/Loss:
+$7,214.88
Total Return:
+72.15%