BLK Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 40 trades in period
+7.87%
Last 6 Months Return
$13,230.14
Current Value
55%
Win Rate
$12,264.73
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
36.8 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-5.4%
EMA20 Dist
-4.3%
ATR%
2.6%
Range Pos
26%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
32
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
6.4/35
Total Return
12.6/25
Win Rate
5.9/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality
32.5/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 32.2
30-Day Momentum
4
-9.7%
30d Return
29%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.7
Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-28 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,905
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$12,264.73
Current Value
$13,230.14
Period P&L
$965.40
Max Drawdown
-17.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
40
Winners / Losers
22 /
18
Best Trade
+6.75%
Worst Trade
-5.05%
Avg Trade Return
+0.27%
Avg Hold Time
3.6d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,035,645.57
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$965.40
Net P&L (after fees)
$965.40
Gross Return
+7.87%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.87%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 BLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 40 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $12,264.73 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $961.54 | 12 | $11,538.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $984.90 | 12 | $11,818.80 | $12,264.75 |
+$280.32 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $976.44 | 12 | $11,717.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 10:10am ET | $943.15 | 12 | $11,317.74 | $11,865.21 |
$-399.54 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 11:50am ET | $947.14 | 12 | $11,365.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $978.99 | 12 | $11,747.88 | $12,247.47 |
+$382.26 (+3.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $932.00 | 13 | $12,116.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 10:20am ET | $953.41 | 13 | $12,394.33 | $12,525.80 |
+$278.33 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
50m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 10:40am ET | $959.41 | 13 | $12,472.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,001.99 | 13 | $13,025.87 | $13,079.40 |
+$553.60 (+4.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $994.37 | 13 | $12,926.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 1:00pm ET | $1,014.62 | 13 | $13,190.06 | $13,342.65 |
+$263.25 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 2:10pm ET | $1,056.46 | 12 | $12,677.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 11:00am ET | $1,024.65 | 12 | $12,295.80 | $12,960.93 |
$-381.72 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 11:20am ET | $1,059.20 | 12 | $12,710.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 11:20am ET | $1,057.52 | 12 | $12,690.18 | $12,940.71 |
$-20.22 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 11:30am ET | $1,061.86 | 12 | $12,742.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 11:30am ET | $1,053.46 | 12 | $12,641.52 | $12,839.85 |
$-100.86 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 11:30am ET | $1,035.73 | 12 | $12,428.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 10:30am ET | $1,058.48 | 12 | $12,701.76 | $13,112.79 |
+$272.94 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 10:45am ET | $1,077.21 | 12 | $12,926.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 10:45am ET | $1,076.18 | 12 | $12,914.16 | $13,100.43 |
$-12.36 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 10:55am ET | $1,070.85 | 12 | $12,850.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 10:55am ET | $1,080.86 | 12 | $12,970.38 | $13,220.61 |
+$120.18 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 12:45pm ET | $1,091.98 | 12 | $13,103.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 12:45pm ET | $1,085.79 | 12 | $13,029.51 | $13,146.36 |
$-74.25 (-0.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 1:00pm ET | $1,045.89 | 12 | $12,550.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,069.25 | 12 | $12,831.00 | $13,426.68 |
+$280.32 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 10:15am ET | $1,074.38 | 12 | $12,892.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,044.37 | 12 | $12,532.44 | $13,066.62 |
$-360.06 (-2.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 9:50am ET | $1,028.32 | 12 | $12,339.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $991.68 | 12 | $11,900.16 | $12,626.88 |
$-439.74 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 9:55am ET | $1,005.26 | 12 | $12,063.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 9:55am ET | $1,008.58 | 12 | $12,102.96 | $12,666.72 |
+$39.84 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 10:35am ET | $1,005.05 | 12 | $12,060.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,028.15 | 12 | $12,337.80 | $12,943.96 |
+$277.24 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 10:10am ET | $1,046.23 | 12 | $12,554.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 12:55pm ET | $1,068.12 | 12 | $12,817.44 | $13,206.58 |
+$262.62 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 12:55pm ET | $1,056.82 | 12 | $12,681.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 12:40pm ET | $1,021.95 | 12 | $12,263.40 | $12,788.14 |
$-418.44 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 1:25pm ET | $982.39 | 13 | $12,771.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 10:05am ET | $1,002.33 | 13 | $13,030.29 | $13,047.36 |
+$259.22 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.7h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 11:50am ET | $979.57 | 13 | $12,734.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 11:15am ET | $948.97 | 13 | $12,336.61 | $12,649.56 |
$-397.80 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 11:40am ET | $959.88 | 13 | $12,478.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 11:40am ET | $979.60 | 13 | $12,734.80 | $12,905.92 |
+$256.36 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 1:25pm ET | $982.39 | 13 | $12,771.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $999.32 | 13 | $12,991.16 | $13,126.01 |
+$220.09 (+1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
11.8d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 10:35am ET | $1,005.88 | 13 | $13,076.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,034.85 | 13 | $13,453.11 | $13,502.69 |
+$376.68 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 9:45am ET | $1,027.09 | 13 | $13,352.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,096.39 | 13 | $14,253.07 | $14,403.53 |
+$900.84 (+6.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 11:40am ET | $1,095.48 | 13 | $14,241.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 9:45am ET | $1,059.89 | 13 | $13,778.57 | $13,940.86 |
$-462.67 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 10:15am ET | $1,059.59 | 13 | $13,774.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,066.85 | 13 | $13,869.11 | $14,035.30 |
+$94.45 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 10:40am ET | $1,078.41 | 13 | $14,019.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 1:00pm ET | $1,100.44 | 13 | $14,305.72 | $14,321.69 |
+$286.39 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 2:15pm ET | $1,098.76 | 13 | $14,283.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 2:15pm ET | $1,121.65 | 13 | $14,581.39 | $14,619.26 |
+$297.57 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 3:30pm ET | $1,136.39 | 12 | $13,636.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,134.19 | 12 | $13,610.22 | $14,592.80 |
$-26.46 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 11:25am ET | $1,141.97 | 12 | $13,703.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,167.00 | 12 | $14,004.00 | $14,893.16 |
+$300.36 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $1,178.91 | 12 | $14,146.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 9:35am ET | $1,158.24 | 12 | $13,898.88 | $14,645.12 |
$-248.04 (-1.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 9:40am ET | $1,150.61 | 12 | $13,807.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 9:40am ET | $1,167.70 | 12 | $14,012.40 | $14,850.14 |
+$205.02 (+1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 11:15am ET | $1,174.22 | 12 | $14,090.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 11:15am ET | $1,152.19 | 12 | $13,826.28 | $14,585.78 |
$-264.36 (-1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 11:15am ET | $1,174.22 | 12 | $14,090.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 11:35am ET | $1,114.90 | 12 | $13,378.80 | $13,873.94 |
$-711.84 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 11:35am ET | $1,118.44 | 12 | $13,421.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 9:45am ET | $1,083.90 | 12 | $13,006.80 | $13,459.46 |
$-414.48 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 1:10pm ET | $1,070.10 | 12 | $12,841.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 1:10pm ET | $1,056.00 | 12 | $12,672.00 | $13,290.26 |
$-169.20 (-1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 1:25pm ET | $1,050.85 | 12 | $12,610.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 3:20pm ET | $1,019.06 | 12 | $12,228.72 | $12,908.78 |
$-381.48 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 3:50pm ET | $1,052.43 | 12 | $12,629.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,079.21 | 12 | $12,950.52 | $13,230.14 |
+$321.36 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.7d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$13,230.14
Net Profit/Loss:
+$3,230.14
Total Return:
+32.30%