BMY Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 40 trades in period
+32.39%
Last 6 Months Return
$12,299.50
Current Value
63%
Win Rate
$9,290.62
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
73.4 overbought
20d Trend
+6.7%
5d Trend
+8.2%
EMA20 Dist
+6.2%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
25
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
2.0/35
Total Return
11.5/25
Win Rate
5.9/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality
25.4/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 25.2
30-Day Momentum
3
-3.7%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3
Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-22 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,984
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,290.62
Current Value
$12,299.50
Period P&L
$3,008.94
Max Drawdown
-39.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.28
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
40
Winners / Losers
25 /
15
Best Trade
+8.91%
Worst Trade
-3.80%
Avg Trade Return
+0.74%
Avg Hold Time
4.1d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$838,308.98
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,008.94
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,008.94
Gross Return
+32.39%
Net Return (after fees)
+32.39%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 BMY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 40 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $9,290.62 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 11:55am ET | $57.36 | 163 | $9,349.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 10:15am ET | $58.55 | 163 | $9,543.65 | $9,578.27 |
+$193.97 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 10:30am ET | $59.24 | 161 | $9,537.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 9:55am ET | $60.77 | 161 | $9,783.86 | $9,824.49 |
+$246.22 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 10:10am ET | $61.19 | 160 | $9,790.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 12:15pm ET | $59.29 | 160 | $9,486.40 | $9,520.49 |
$-304.00 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 12:20pm ET | $59.19 | 160 | $9,471.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.19 | 160 | $9,309.60 | $9,358.89 |
$-161.60 (-1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 10:30am ET | $58.33 | 160 | $9,332.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 10:10am ET | $59.51 | 160 | $9,521.60 | $9,548.49 |
+$189.60 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 11:30am ET | $59.67 | 160 | $9,547.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $58.26 | 160 | $9,322.40 | $9,323.69 |
$-224.80 (-2.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 12:45pm ET | $58.10 | 160 | $9,296.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 10:00am ET | $59.44 | 160 | $9,509.60 | $9,537.29 |
+$213.60 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 10:35am ET | $58.94 | 161 | $9,490.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 10:10am ET | $57.06 | 161 | $9,186.66 | $9,233.81 |
$-303.48 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 10:25am ET | $57.14 | 161 | $9,199.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.38 | 161 | $9,077.98 | $9,112.25 |
$-121.56 (-1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 9:45am ET | $55.55 | 164 | $9,110.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 11:25am ET | $56.79 | 164 | $9,313.56 | $9,315.61 |
+$203.36 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.7h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 11:45am ET | $56.17 | 165 | $9,268.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.48 | 165 | $9,484.20 | $9,530.94 |
+$215.33 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 11:30am ET | $58.16 | 163 | $9,480.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 2:40pm ET | $59.35 | 163 | $9,673.24 | $9,724.10 |
+$193.16 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 3:50pm ET | $59.60 | 163 | $9,714.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $57.33 | 163 | $9,345.60 | $9,354.91 |
$-369.19 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $57.22 | 163 | $9,326.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 9:50am ET | $55.45 | 163 | $9,038.35 | $9,066.40 |
$-288.51 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 9:50am ET | $54.72 | 165 | $9,027.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.01 | 165 | $9,241.63 | $9,280.06 |
+$213.66 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 9:50am ET | $56.83 | 163 | $9,263.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 9:50am ET | $56.15 | 163 | $9,153.26 | $9,170.03 |
$-110.03 (-1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 9:50am ET | $56.33 | 162 | $9,125.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.51 | 162 | $9,316.62 | $9,361.19 |
+$191.16 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.7h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 10:55am ET | $56.50 | 165 | $9,322.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 9:45am ET | $54.76 | 165 | $9,035.40 | $9,074.09 |
$-287.10 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 12:10pm ET | $54.38 | 166 | $9,026.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 12:35pm ET | $55.54 | 166 | $9,220.47 | $9,268.31 |
+$194.22 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 12:45pm ET | $54.99 | 168 | $9,238.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 10:00am ET | $56.15 | 168 | $9,432.36 | $9,462.35 |
+$194.04 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 11:40am ET | $57.29 | 165 | $9,453.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 3:55pm ET | $58.55 | 165 | $9,660.75 | $9,669.42 |
+$207.08 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.2d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 12:45pm ET | $54.99 | 168 | $9,238.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.24 | 168 | $9,616.32 | $10,047.42 |
+$378.00 (+4.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
11.9d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 10:15am ET | $57.96 | 173 | $10,027.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.83 | 173 | $10,003.73 | $10,024.07 |
$-23.35 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 10:20am ET | $57.97 | 172 | $9,970.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 10:50am ET | $59.17 | 172 | $10,176.38 | $10,229.61 |
+$205.54 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 11:35am ET | $59.63 | 171 | $10,196.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $61.00 | 171 | $10,431.00 | $10,463.88 |
+$234.27 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.9h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 10:30am ET | $60.76 | 172 | $10,449.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 11:05am ET | $62.01 | 172 | $10,665.72 | $10,679.73 |
+$215.86 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 12:00pm ET | $62.31 | 171 | $10,654.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $64.03 | 171 | $10,948.28 | $10,973.56 |
+$293.83 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 10:15am ET | $57.96 | 173 | $10,027.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $63.13 | 173 | $10,920.63 | $11,867.11 |
+$893.55 (+8.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 9:45am ET | $64.03 | 185 | $11,846.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 3:25pm ET | $65.41 | 185 | $12,100.85 | $12,121.73 |
+$254.62 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.7h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $64.84 | 186 | $12,060.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 1:45pm ET | $66.14 | 186 | $12,302.04 | $12,363.53 |
+$241.80 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.3h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 2:00pm ET | $63.82 | 193 | $12,317.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 12:15pm ET | $65.11 | 193 | $12,567.19 | $12,613.46 |
+$249.93 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 12:40pm ET | $63.71 | 197 | $12,550.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 1:05pm ET | $64.99 | 197 | $12,803.03 | $12,865.62 |
+$252.16 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 1:05pm ET | $63.93 | 201 | $12,849.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $65.46 | 201 | $13,157.46 | $13,173.15 |
+$307.53 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 10:30am ET | $68.24 | 193 | $13,169.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 10:45am ET | $66.18 | 193 | $12,772.74 | $12,776.53 |
$-396.62 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 1:10pm ET | $67.31 | 189 | $12,721.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 1:10pm ET | $67.68 | 189 | $12,791.52 | $12,846.46 |
+$69.93 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 3:10pm ET | $67.04 | 191 | $12,803.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 3:10pm ET | $66.85 | 191 | $12,768.35 | $12,811.12 |
$-35.34 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 3:10pm ET | $67.04 | 191 | $12,803.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET | $67.58 | 191 | $12,907.78 | $12,915.21 |
+$104.09 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 12:15pm ET | $66.93 | 192 | $12,850.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $64.44 | 192 | $12,372.48 | $12,437.13 |
$-478.08 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 11:10am ET | $64.37 | 193 | $12,423.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 11:10am ET | $64.26 | 193 | $12,402.18 | $12,415.90 |
$-21.23 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 11:55am ET | $63.73 | 194 | $12,363.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $63.13 | 194 | $12,247.22 | $12,299.50 |
$-116.40 (-0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,299.50
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,299.50
Total Return:
+22.99%