BRK-B Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 30 trades in period
-2.95%
Last 6 Months Return
$14,062.77
Current Value
43%
Win Rate
$14,490.11
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
65.5 neutral
20d Trend
+1.8%
5d Trend
+4.8%
EMA20 Dist
+2.7%
ATR%
1.4%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
43
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
14.3/35
Total Return
13.5/25
Win Rate
6.5/15
Profit Factor
2.6/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality
43.4/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 43.2
30-Day Momentum
10
+0.6%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 13.6
Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-33 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
13,535
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
139 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$14,490.11
Current Value
$14,062.77
Period P&L
$-427.36
Max Drawdown
-10.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.06
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
30
Winners / Losers
13 /
17
Best Trade
+2.36%
Worst Trade
-3.12%
Avg Trade Return
-0.09%
Avg Hold Time
4.7d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$850,529.65
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-427.36
Net P&L (after fees)
$-427.36
Gross Return
-2.95%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.95%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 BRK-B Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 139 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 30 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $14,490.11 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 10:20am ET | $490.03 | 29 | $14,210.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 11:20am ET | $499.89 | 29 | $14,496.81 | $14,776.04 |
+$285.91 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 11:20am ET | $496.90 | 29 | $14,409.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 9:35am ET | $508.61 | 29 | $14,749.69 | $15,115.76 |
+$339.72 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 9:45am ET | $510.30 | 29 | $14,798.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 9:45am ET | $499.14 | 29 | $14,475.19 | $14,792.39 |
$-323.36 (-2.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 10:00am ET | $502.78 | 29 | $14,580.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 10:00am ET | $508.79 | 29 | $14,754.77 | $14,966.55 |
+$174.16 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 12:15pm ET | $512.14 | 29 | $14,852.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 12:15pm ET | $510.79 | 29 | $14,812.79 | $14,927.28 |
$-39.27 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 12:45pm ET | $506.25 | 29 | $14,681.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $497.99 | 29 | $14,441.57 | $14,687.74 |
$-239.54 (-1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 10:15am ET | $496.40 | 29 | $14,395.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $502.57 | 29 | $14,574.53 | $14,866.67 |
+$178.93 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 9:40am ET | $505.15 | 29 | $14,649.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $497.12 | 29 | $14,416.48 | $14,633.80 |
$-232.87 (-1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $499.74 | 29 | $14,492.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $499.31 | 29 | $14,480.08 | $14,621.57 |
$-12.24 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 1:55pm ET | $504.15 | 29 | $14,620.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $498.20 | 29 | $14,447.80 | $14,449.02 |
$-172.55 (-1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 10:55am ET | $498.15 | 29 | $14,446.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $495.88 | 29 | $14,380.52 | $14,383.19 |
$-65.83 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $496.14 | 28 | $13,891.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $489.32 | 28 | $13,700.96 | $14,192.23 |
$-190.96 (-1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 10:25am ET | $485.55 | 29 | $14,080.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 10:25am ET | $481.83 | 29 | $13,972.93 | $14,084.28 |
$-107.95 (-0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 11:00am ET | $477.10 | 29 | $13,835.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $481.45 | 29 | $13,962.05 | $14,210.43 |
+$126.15 (+0.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $484.51 | 29 | $14,050.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 12:35pm ET | $494.23 | 29 | $14,332.67 | $14,492.31 |
+$281.88 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.1h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 12:35pm ET | $507.28 | 28 | $14,203.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 12:35pm ET | $500.76 | 28 | $14,021.28 | $14,309.75 |
$-182.56 (-1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:55am ET | $503.03 | 28 | $14,084.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $500.32 | 28 | $14,008.96 | $14,233.87 |
$-75.88 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $492.57 | 28 | $13,791.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 2:35pm ET | $502.42 | 28 | $14,067.76 | $14,509.81 |
+$275.94 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 2:35pm ET | $502.58 | 28 | $14,072.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $486.90 | 28 | $13,633.20 | $14,070.77 |
$-439.04 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $475.17 | 29 | $13,779.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 10:05am ET | $485.20 | 29 | $14,070.66 | $14,361.64 |
+$290.87 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 10:45am ET | $495.15 | 29 | $14,359.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 11:45am ET | $496.71 | 29 | $14,404.73 | $14,407.03 |
+$45.39 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 11:50am ET | $490.40 | 29 | $14,221.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 11:50am ET | $492.71 | 29 | $14,288.59 | $14,474.02 |
+$66.99 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 11:50am ET | $492.56 | 29 | $14,284.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $483.12 | 29 | $14,010.48 | $14,200.26 |
$-273.76 (-1.9%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $479.14 | 29 | $13,895.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $471.69 | 29 | $13,679.01 | $13,984.21 |
$-216.05 (-1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 10:10am ET | $477.15 | 29 | $13,837.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $477.64 | 29 | $13,851.70 | $13,998.56 |
+$14.35 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $474.51 | 29 | $13,760.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 10:25am ET | $484.05 | 29 | $14,037.45 | $14,275.22 |
+$276.66 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 10:25am ET | $483.54 | 29 | $14,022.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 10:25am ET | $475.24 | 29 | $13,782.10 | $14,034.66 |
$-240.56 (-1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 10:30am ET | $473.48 | 29 | $13,731.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 10:30am ET | $472.76 | 29 | $13,709.90 | $14,013.49 |
$-21.17 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 11:20am ET | $467.55 | 29 | $13,558.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 11:20am ET | $474.81 | 29 | $13,769.49 | $14,224.03 |
+$210.54 (+1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 12:00pm ET | $478.56 | 29 | $13,878.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $473.00 | 29 | $13,717.00 | $14,062.77 |
$-161.26 (-1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$14,062.77
Net Profit/Loss:
+$4,062.77
Total Return:
+40.63%