CMCSA Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 41 trades in period
-19.50%
Last 6 Months Return
$4,784.14
Current Value
44%
Win Rate
$5,943.13
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
68.5 neutral
20d Trend
+6.3%
5d Trend
+4.4%
EMA20 Dist
+5.2%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
6
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
2.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality
6.5/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 6.5
30-Day Momentum
6
-12.0%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
8
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 7.1
Conf: 0.81×
Cooling (-1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$5,943.13
Current Value
$4,784.14
Period P&L
$-1,158.98
Max Drawdown
-47.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.20
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
41
Winners / Losers
18 /
23
Best Trade
+2.97%
Worst Trade
-4.87%
Avg Trade Return
-0.50%
Avg Hold Time
3.4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$417,558.22
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,158.98
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,158.98
Gross Return
-19.50%
Net Return (after fees)
-19.50%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 CMCSA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 41 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $5,943.13 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 10:40am ET | $28.93 | 205 | $5,930.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 10:40am ET | $28.73 | 205 | $5,888.63 | $5,901.10 |
$-42.02 (-0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 10:55am ET | $28.49 | 207 | $5,896.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 9:55am ET | $27.63 | 207 | $5,719.41 | $5,724.11 |
$-176.99 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 10:10am ET | $28.06 | 204 | $5,723.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.91 | 204 | $5,693.64 | $5,694.53 |
$-29.58 (-0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $27.90 | 204 | $5,691.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 1:15pm ET | $28.48 | 204 | $5,809.92 | $5,812.85 |
+$118.32 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 11:15am ET | $29.70 | 195 | $5,792.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 11:15am ET | $29.35 | 195 | $5,724.22 | $5,744.60 |
$-68.25 (-1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 1:05pm ET | $31.84 | 180 | $5,731.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $30.29 | 180 | $5,452.20 | $5,465.60 |
$-279.00 (-4.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.4h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.43 | 199 | $5,458.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.99 | 199 | $5,371.01 | $5,378.04 |
$-87.56 (-1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 9:45am ET | $26.78 | 200 | $5,357.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 9:45am ET | $25.97 | 200 | $5,194.00 | $5,215.04 |
$-163.00 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 10:25am ET | $25.36 | 205 | $5,199.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $24.54 | 205 | $5,030.70 | $5,046.69 |
$-168.35 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 10:25am ET | $25.07 | 201 | $5,039.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 10:25am ET | $25.18 | 201 | $5,062.18 | $5,069.80 |
+$23.11 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 11:00am ET | $24.90 | 203 | $5,053.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.32 | 203 | $5,139.96 | $5,156.07 |
+$86.27 (+1.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 9:55am ET | $25.52 | 202 | $5,155.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $24.61 | 202 | $4,972.23 | $4,973.26 |
$-182.81 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 10:40am ET | $24.76 | 200 | $4,953.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 11:00am ET | $23.99 | 200 | $4,798.00 | $4,818.26 |
$-155.00 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 11:00am ET | $23.77 | 202 | $4,801.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 11:00am ET | $23.75 | 202 | $4,797.50 | $4,814.22 |
$-4.04 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 11:50am ET | $24.16 | 199 | $4,806.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 11:50am ET | $24.32 | 199 | $4,838.69 | $4,846.06 |
+$31.84 (+0.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 12:00pm ET | $23.73 | 204 | $4,840.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 1:20pm ET | $23.01 | 204 | $4,695.06 | $4,700.20 |
$-145.86 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 2:30pm ET | $22.68 | 207 | $4,695.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 2:30pm ET | $22.95 | 207 | $4,750.65 | $4,755.06 |
+$54.86 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 3:40pm ET | $22.64 | 210 | $4,753.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 11:15am ET | $23.17 | 210 | $4,866.75 | $4,868.46 |
+$113.40 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 12:45pm ET | $24.67 | 197 | $4,859.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 2:10pm ET | $23.92 | 197 | $4,713.22 | $4,721.69 |
$-146.77 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 9:55am ET | $23.53 | 200 | $4,706.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 9:55am ET | $24.07 | 200 | $4,813.00 | $4,828.69 |
+$107.00 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 11:15am ET | $23.59 | 204 | $4,813.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $22.83 | 204 | $4,656.30 | $4,671.61 |
$-157.08 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 10:40am ET | $23.58 | 198 | $4,668.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:50am ET | $24.15 | 198 | $4,781.50 | $4,784.27 |
+$112.66 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 11:15am ET | $23.59 | 202 | $4,764.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 11:40am ET | $24.08 | 202 | $4,865.17 | $4,884.75 |
+$100.47 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 12:55pm ET | $23.81 | 205 | $4,880.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 12:55pm ET | $23.78 | 205 | $4,874.90 | $4,879.62 |
$-5.12 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 1:20pm ET | $22.55 | 216 | $4,869.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $21.63 | 216 | $4,672.08 | $4,681.98 |
$-197.64 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.2h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 11:15am ET | $23.02 | 203 | $4,674.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $23.58 | 203 | $4,787.75 | $4,795.66 |
+$113.68 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 10:40am ET | $23.58 | 198 | $4,668.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $23.94 | 198 | $4,740.12 | $4,866.94 |
+$71.28 (+1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 10:20am ET | $23.60 | 206 | $4,861.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 2:15pm ET | $24.08 | 206 | $4,959.45 | $4,964.79 |
+$97.85 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 10:15am ET | $24.55 | 202 | $4,958.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 10:45am ET | $25.07 | 202 | $5,063.13 | $5,069.83 |
+$105.04 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 11:05am ET | $25.31 | 200 | $5,061.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 11:05am ET | $25.30 | 200 | $5,059.00 | $5,067.23 |
$-2.60 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 11:10am ET | $25.86 | 195 | $5,043.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 11:00am ET | $26.39 | 195 | $5,146.05 | $5,169.60 |
+$102.37 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 11:10am ET | $25.75 | 200 | $5,151.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 9:35am ET | $26.52 | 200 | $5,303.98 | $5,322.58 |
+$152.98 (+3.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 12:25pm ET | $26.27 | 202 | $5,307.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 10:50am ET | $26.83 | 202 | $5,420.67 | $5,435.70 |
+$113.12 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 12:40pm ET | $27.05 | 200 | $5,409.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.78 | 200 | $5,356.00 | $5,382.70 |
$-53.00 (-1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6.9d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 12:40pm ET | $27.05 | 200 | $5,409.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 11:35am ET | $26.63 | 200 | $5,326.00 | $5,299.70 |
$-83.00 (-1.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
10d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 11:35am ET | $26.41 | 200 | $5,281.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 11:25am ET | $25.44 | 200 | $5,088.00 | $5,105.82 |
$-193.88 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 11:40am ET | $24.86 | 205 | $5,097.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $25.39 | 205 | $5,204.95 | $5,213.44 |
+$107.62 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 9:45am ET | $25.24 | 206 | $5,199.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 3:50pm ET | $24.42 | 206 | $5,031.55 | $5,045.55 |
$-167.89 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 9:40am ET | $23.55 | 214 | $5,038.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $22.55 | 214 | $4,824.63 | $4,831.55 |
$-214.00 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 9:45am ET | $22.55 | 214 | $4,824.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 10:25am ET | $23.03 | 214 | $4,928.42 | $4,935.34 |
+$103.79 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
40m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 10:50am ET | $22.83 | 216 | $4,930.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 9:50am ET | $22.13 | 216 | $4,779.00 | $4,784.14 |
$-151.20 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$4,784.14
Net Profit/Loss:
$-5,215.86
Total Return:
-52.16%