COST Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 39 trades in period
+9.46%
Last 6 Months Return
$13,641.50
Current Value
59%
Win Rate
$12,462.55
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
68.2 neutral
20d Trend
+5.1%
5d Trend
+5.5%
EMA20 Dist
+3.1%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
93%
Bounce Ratio
2.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
34
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
7.3/35
Total Return
13.1/25
Win Rate
6.4/15
Profit Factor
1.7/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality
34.5/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 34.3
30-Day Momentum
6
-1.4%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.0
Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-28 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$12,462.55
Current Value
$13,641.50
Period P&L
$1,178.94
Max Drawdown
-17.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.12
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
39
Winners / Losers
23 /
16
Best Trade
+5.25%
Worst Trade
-3.67%
Avg Trade Return
+0.28%
Avg Hold Time
4.3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$980,030.81
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,178.94
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,178.94
Gross Return
+9.46%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.46%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 COST Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 39 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $12,462.55 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 3:15pm ET | $975.89 | 12 | $11,710.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $989.85 | 12 | $11,878.20 | $12,598.58 |
+$167.58 (+1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 10:00am ET | $999.00 | 12 | $11,988.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,012.26 | 12 | $12,147.12 | $12,757.70 |
+$159.12 (+1.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,015.35 | 12 | $12,184.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 2:20pm ET | $1,035.70 | 12 | $12,428.40 | $13,001.90 |
+$244.20 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 2:50pm ET | $997.79 | 13 | $12,971.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:55am ET | $967.06 | 13 | $12,571.78 | $12,602.41 |
$-399.49 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 2:40pm ET | $981.81 | 12 | $11,781.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,006.20 | 12 | $12,074.40 | $12,895.09 |
+$292.68 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $988.96 | 13 | $12,856.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,010.81 | 13 | $13,140.53 | $13,179.14 |
+$284.05 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 10:40am ET | $1,009.64 | 13 | $13,125.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 10:40am ET | $987.51 | 13 | $12,837.57 | $12,891.38 |
$-287.76 (-2.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 10:50am ET | $1,012.20 | 12 | $12,146.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 10:50am ET | $1,011.07 | 12 | $12,132.78 | $12,877.76 |
$-13.62 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 11:15am ET | $994.20 | 12 | $11,930.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 12:15pm ET | $1,014.53 | 12 | $12,174.30 | $13,121.66 |
+$243.90 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 1:00pm ET | $991.69 | 13 | $12,891.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 10:00am ET | $1,011.88 | 13 | $13,154.44 | $13,384.13 |
+$262.47 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 10:20am ET | $1,033.94 | 12 | $12,407.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 10:00am ET | $1,056.76 | 12 | $12,681.12 | $13,657.91 |
+$273.78 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 11:00am ET | $1,067.65 | 12 | $12,811.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 10:05am ET | $1,089.00 | 12 | $13,068.00 | $13,914.16 |
+$256.25 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.1h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 12:05pm ET | $1,084.27 | 12 | $13,011.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $1,044.43 | 12 | $12,533.16 | $13,436.14 |
$-478.02 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.5h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 9:45am ET | $1,038.32 | 12 | $12,459.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:50am ET | $1,001.01 | 12 | $12,012.06 | $12,988.30 |
$-447.84 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 10:05am ET | $1,004.60 | 12 | $12,055.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $973.12 | 12 | $11,677.44 | $12,610.54 |
$-377.76 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $948.51 | 13 | $12,330.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 10:35am ET | $967.79 | 13 | $12,581.27 | $12,861.18 |
+$250.64 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 10:35am ET | $985.46 | 13 | $12,810.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 10:35am ET | $971.42 | 13 | $12,628.46 | $12,678.66 |
$-182.52 (-1.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 11:40am ET | $978.30 | 12 | $11,739.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 11:40am ET | $976.05 | 12 | $11,712.60 | $12,651.60 |
$-27.06 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 12:00pm ET | $987.74 | 12 | $11,852.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $957.13 | 12 | $11,485.56 | $12,284.25 |
$-367.35 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 9:45am ET | $947.56 | 12 | $11,370.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $955.26 | 12 | $11,463.06 | $12,376.59 |
+$92.34 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 9:45am ET | $947.56 | 12 | $11,370.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $952.01 | 12 | $11,424.12 | $12,429.99 |
+$53.40 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 11:00am ET | $955.10 | 13 | $12,416.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $923.86 | 13 | $12,010.18 | $12,023.87 |
$-406.12 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $908.00 | 13 | $11,804.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 1:50pm ET | $927.00 | 13 | $12,051.00 | $12,270.87 |
+$247.00 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.2d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 1:50pm ET | $920.64 | 13 | $11,968.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 12:40pm ET | $939.19 | 13 | $12,209.47 | $12,512.02 |
+$241.15 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 12:55pm ET | $934.90 | 13 | $12,153.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 12:55pm ET | $923.92 | 13 | $12,010.94 | $12,369.32 |
$-142.70 (-1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 10:55am ET | $931.24 | 13 | $12,106.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 10:25am ET | $949.92 | 13 | $12,348.96 | $12,612.16 |
+$242.84 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $908.00 | 13 | $11,804.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $955.68 | 13 | $12,423.90 | $13,232.06 |
+$619.90 (+5.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 10:35am ET | $948.24 | 13 | $12,327.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $967.62 | 13 | $12,579.06 | $13,484.00 |
+$251.94 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 9:40am ET | $938.31 | 14 | $13,136.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $960.18 | 14 | $13,442.52 | $13,790.18 |
+$306.18 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 11:00am ET | $946.94 | 14 | $13,257.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 11:00am ET | $946.04 | 14 | $13,244.56 | $13,777.58 |
$-12.60 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 11:25am ET | $952.01 | 14 | $13,328.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 11:00am ET | $971.45 | 14 | $13,600.30 | $14,049.74 |
+$272.16 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 12:30pm ET | $966.13 | 14 | $13,525.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $931.15 | 14 | $13,036.10 | $13,560.02 |
$-489.72 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 10:55am ET | $948.66 | 14 | $13,281.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 11:50am ET | $967.98 | 14 | $13,551.72 | $13,830.57 |
+$270.55 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 10:55am ET | $948.66 | 14 | $13,281.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 10:55am ET | $955.81 | 14 | $13,381.34 | $13,930.74 |
+$100.17 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 10:55am ET | $939.53 | 14 | $13,153.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 10:55am ET | $947.25 | 14 | $13,261.50 | $14,038.75 |
+$108.01 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 10:55am ET | $939.53 | 14 | $13,153.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET | $928.48 | 14 | $12,998.72 | $13,883.98 |
$-154.77 (-1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
7d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 11:45am ET | $915.93 | 15 | $13,738.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 11:45am ET | $900.95 | 15 | $13,514.25 | $13,659.28 |
$-224.70 (-1.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 1:35pm ET | $899.58 | 15 | $13,493.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $918.91 | 15 | $13,783.72 | $13,949.30 |
+$290.02 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $911.59 | 15 | $13,673.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $891.07 | 15 | $13,366.05 | $13,641.50 |
$-307.80 (-2.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
6d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$13,641.50
Net Profit/Loss:
+$3,641.50
Total Return:
+36.41%