CRM Rebel Contraire's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2026-03-25 to present • 55 trades in period
-7.06%
Last 6 Months Return
$6,039.48
Current Value
58%
Win Rate
$6,497.98
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
18.8 oversold
20d Trend
-22.1%
5d Trend
-11.2%
EMA20 Dist
-13.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
11
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality
10.7/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 10.6
30-Day Momentum
9
-6.4%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
8
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.9
Conf: 0.81×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
127 days
Data Gaps
None (5 market holidays)
Market Closed (5 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$6,497.98
Current Value
$6,039.48
Period P&L
$-458.50
Max Drawdown
-46.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
55
Winners / Losers
32 /
23
Best Trade
+4.06%
Worst Trade
-6.55%
Avg Trade Return
-0.09%
Avg Hold Time
2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$676,489.68
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-458.50
Net P&L (after fees)
$-458.50
Gross Return
-7.06%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.06%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 CRM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 127 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 55 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Rebel Contraire had $6,497.98 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 10:00am ET | $184.26 | 35 | $6,449.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 10:00am ET | $182.50 | 35 | $6,387.50 | $6,436.20 |
$-61.77 (-1.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 12:00pm ET | $186.10 | 34 | $6,327.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $187.54 | 34 | $6,376.36 | $6,484.99 |
+$48.79 (+0.8%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.9d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $184.76 | 35 | $6,466.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 2:35pm ET | $178.92 | 35 | $6,262.20 | $6,280.41 |
$-204.58 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:45am ET | $166.70 | 37 | $6,167.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 10:05am ET | $171.01 | 37 | $6,327.26 | $6,439.77 |
+$159.36 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 10:20am ET | $173.95 | 37 | $6,435.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 11:30am ET | $177.50 | 37 | $6,567.50 | $6,571.30 |
+$131.53 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 11:35am ET | $179.91 | 36 | $6,476.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $186.20 | 36 | $6,703.02 | $6,797.38 |
+$226.08 (+3.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.9h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 10:10am ET | $187.85 | 36 | $6,762.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 10:00am ET | $191.99 | 36 | $6,911.64 | $6,946.42 |
+$149.04 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 10:00am ET | $189.49 | 36 | $6,821.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $177.09 | 36 | $6,375.24 | $6,499.84 |
$-446.58 (-6.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.5h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 10:25am ET | $175.51 | 37 | $6,493.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $180.81 | 37 | $6,689.97 | $6,695.94 |
+$196.10 (+3.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 10:55am ET | $182.23 | 36 | $6,560.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $174.76 | 36 | $6,291.36 | $6,427.02 |
$-268.92 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 10:00am ET | $180.54 | 35 | $6,318.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 3:35pm ET | $184.21 | 35 | $6,447.35 | $6,555.47 |
+$128.45 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.6h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 3:50pm ET | $185.93 | 35 | $6,507.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 3:00pm ET | $180.24 | 35 | $6,308.31 | $6,356.41 |
$-199.06 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 3:15pm ET | $186.53 | 34 | $6,342.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $179.68 | 34 | $6,109.12 | $6,123.51 |
$-232.90 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 9:55am ET | $180.07 | 34 | $6,122.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 9:50am ET | $174.20 | 34 | $5,922.63 | $5,923.93 |
$-199.58 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 10:35am ET | $167.82 | 35 | $5,873.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 9:50am ET | $171.84 | 35 | $6,014.40 | $6,064.63 |
+$140.70 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 11:00am ET | $177.83 | 34 | $6,046.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $185.05 | 34 | $6,291.70 | $6,310.11 |
+$245.48 (+4.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.5h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $176.04 | 35 | $6,161.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 3:45pm ET | $179.74 | 35 | $6,290.90 | $6,439.44 |
+$129.33 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.3h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 9:50am ET | $182.12 | 35 | $6,374.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 9:50am ET | $182.27 | 35 | $6,379.62 | $6,444.86 |
+$5.42 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 10:15am ET | $180.54 | 35 | $6,318.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $184.41 | 35 | $6,454.52 | $6,580.66 |
+$135.80 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 10:30am ET | $205.39 | 32 | $6,572.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 10:50am ET | $209.82 | 32 | $6,714.24 | $6,722.42 |
+$141.76 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 12:30pm ET | $197.81 | 33 | $6,527.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 11:15am ET | $191.73 | 33 | $6,327.09 | $6,521.86 |
$-200.56 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 11:30am ET | $190.85 | 34 | $6,488.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 12:05pm ET | $185.03 | 34 | $6,291.02 | $6,323.98 |
$-197.88 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 12:05pm ET | $182.07 | 34 | $6,190.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET | $176.57 | 34 | $6,003.55 | $6,137.32 |
$-186.66 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 11:15am ET | $173.51 | 35 | $6,072.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $167.06 | 35 | $5,847.10 | $5,911.57 |
$-225.75 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 10:20am ET | $163.49 | 36 | $5,885.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $167.72 | 36 | $6,037.92 | $6,063.67 |
+$152.10 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 10:25am ET | $162.15 | 37 | $5,999.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET | $157.10 | 37 | $5,812.52 | $5,876.82 |
$-186.85 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 2:30pm ET | $153.75 | 38 | $5,842.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 11:10am ET | $148.93 | 38 | $5,659.34 | $5,693.66 |
$-183.16 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 11:25am ET | $152.71 | 37 | $5,650.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 9:45am ET | $156.87 | 37 | $5,804.19 | $5,847.58 |
+$153.92 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 10:30am ET | $152.51 | 38 | $5,795.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $155.99 | 38 | $5,927.81 | $5,980.01 |
+$132.43 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.1h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 11:00am ET | $160.28 | 37 | $5,930.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 10:40am ET | $155.27 | 37 | $5,744.99 | $5,794.64 |
$-185.37 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 12:15pm ET | $164.74 | 35 | $5,765.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 12:15pm ET | $166.74 | 35 | $5,835.90 | $5,864.64 |
+$70.00 (+1.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 12:20pm ET | $170.67 | 34 | $5,802.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 9:55am ET | $165.07 | 34 | $5,612.55 | $5,674.41 |
$-190.23 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.6h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 10:10am ET | $161.72 | 35 | $5,660.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $166.01 | 35 | $5,810.35 | $5,824.56 |
+$150.15 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 11:55am ET | $171.65 | 33 | $5,664.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $164.15 | 33 | $5,416.95 | $5,577.06 |
$-247.50 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.6h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 9:45am ET | $169.60 | 32 | $5,427.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 1:15pm ET | $173.25 | 32 | $5,544.00 | $5,693.86 |
+$116.80 (+2.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 2:25pm ET | $171.43 | 33 | $5,657.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 2:05pm ET | $174.91 | 33 | $5,772.03 | $5,808.54 |
+$114.68 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 3:40pm ET | $170.10 | 34 | $5,783.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 10:25am ET | $164.94 | 34 | $5,607.96 | $5,632.93 |
$-175.61 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 10:40am ET | $156.27 | 36 | $5,625.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $160.61 | 36 | $5,781.96 | $5,789.17 |
+$156.24 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 11:40am ET | $173.60 | 33 | $5,728.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $179.13 | 33 | $5,911.13 | $5,971.49 |
+$182.32 (+3.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 10:15am ET | $183.86 | 32 | $5,883.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 11:30am ET | $187.62 | 32 | $6,003.68 | $6,091.51 |
+$120.01 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 12:05pm ET | $178.93 | 34 | $6,083.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 12:00pm ET | $182.54 | 34 | $6,206.53 | $6,214.59 |
+$123.08 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 12:20pm ET | $188.54 | 32 | $6,033.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $192.39 | 32 | $6,156.48 | $6,337.63 |
+$123.04 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 10:05am ET | $184.22 | 34 | $6,263.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $191.15 | 34 | $6,499.10 | $6,573.25 |
+$235.62 (+3.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 1:45pm ET | $197.74 | 33 | $6,525.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 11:50am ET | $191.81 | 33 | $6,329.73 | $6,377.40 |
$-195.85 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 12:10pm ET | $197.21 | 32 | $6,310.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 9:50am ET | $191.06 | 32 | $6,113.92 | $6,180.60 |
$-196.80 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 10:40am ET | $196.13 | 31 | $6,080.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 9:40am ET | $200.76 | 31 | $6,223.56 | $6,324.13 |
+$143.53 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 11:25am ET | $206.65 | 30 | $6,199.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $210.95 | 30 | $6,328.50 | $6,452.98 |
+$128.85 (+2.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 11:25am ET | $206.65 | 30 | $6,199.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $199.45 | 30 | $5,983.50 | $6,236.83 |
$-216.15 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 9:55am ET | $241.80 | 25 | $6,045.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 10:15am ET | $247.64 | 25 | $6,191.00 | $6,382.81 |
+$145.98 (+2.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20m held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 10:30am ET | $257.92 | 24 | $6,189.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $263.95 | 24 | $6,334.80 | $6,527.65 |
+$144.84 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 10:30am ET | $257.92 | 24 | $6,189.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET | $263.74 | 24 | $6,329.78 | $6,667.47 |
+$139.82 (+2.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 12:50pm ET | $259.90 | 25 | $6,497.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $248.48 | 25 | $6,212.02 | $6,381.87 |
$-285.60 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 10:25am ET | $249.15 | 25 | $6,228.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $255.98 | 25 | $6,399.50 | $6,552.74 |
+$170.87 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $256.95 | 25 | $6,423.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $243.89 | 25 | $6,097.25 | $6,226.16 |
$-326.58 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 55 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 9:50am ET | $239.22 | 26 | $6,219.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 10:45am ET | $232.04 | 26 | $6,033.04 | $6,039.48 |
$-186.68 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$6,039.48
Net Profit/Loss:
$-3,960.52
Total Return:
-39.61%